, also known as the 2010 midterm elections, were held on November 2, 2010, at the midpoint of
's first term in office. Voters of the 50
s chose 435 U.S. Representatives. Voters of the U.S. territories, commonwealths, and the District of Columbia chose their
.
Republicans regained control of the chamber they had lost in the 2006 midterm elections, picking up a net total of 63 seats and erasing the gains Democrats made in 2006 and 2008. Although the sitting U.S. President's party usually loses seats in a midterm election, the 2010 election resulted in the highest loss of a party in a House midterm election since 1938. The Republican Party gained control of the most House seats since 1946. Republicans gained the most in New York state where they picked up six seats, defeating five incumbents and winning an open Democratic district. The heavy Democratic Party losses were attributed to anger with President Obama, strong opposition to the new health insurance bill that was commonly called "Obamacare", and the weak economy.
Following the 2006 elections, Democrats took control of the House as well as the Senate. In the 2008 elections, which coincided with Democrat
, Democrats increased their majorities in both chambers. Of the 435 congressional districts, 242 were carried by Obama, while 193 voted for McCain. Of the districts Obama won, 34 elected a Republican to the House, while 49 of the districts McCain won elected a Democrat.
| style="background-color: #f2f2f2; text-align:right; font-weight: bold" colspan="2" | Totals
| align="right" style="background-color: #f2f2f2; font-weight: bold" | 86,784,957
37 U.S. Representatives retired at the end of their term and five vacancies were filled by special elections before November.
: Retired; "It should be a seat inherited by someone who can represent everyone in this district." :
for the U.S. Senate.:
for the U.S. Senate.:
for the U.S. Senate.:
: Retired; "Life is about change. I think it's healthy. It's time.":
for the U.S. Senate.: Joe Sestak: To
for the U.S. Senate.:
: Retired; "But even more frankly, I am bone tired."Media reports indicate Obey's future plans include joining a DC lobbying firm run by former Representative
.
for the U.S. Senate.:
The following were predictions of the outcome of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections.
The following table contains the final ratings of the competitiveness of selected races according to noted political analysts. Races which were considered safe for the incumbent's party are not included. Incumbents that did not run for re-election have parentheses around their name.
| District |
Winner |
Incumbent |
Cook |
Rothenberg |
CQ Politics |
Crystal Ball Sabato’s Crystal Ball is a free, nonpartisan weekly online newsletter and comprehensive website in the United States that analyzes the current American political scene and predicts electoral outcomes for U.S House of Representatives, U.S. Senate, governors, and U.S. president races...
|
RealClear RealClearPolitics is a political news and polling data aggregator based in Chicago, Illinois. The site's founders say their goal is to give readers "ideological diversity." They have described themselves as frustrated with what they perceive as anti-conservative, anti-Christian media bias, and...
|
AL-2Alabama's 2nd congressional district is a U.S. congressional district in Alabama, which elects a representative to the United States House of Representatives...
|
Roby (R) |
Bright (D) |
Tossup |
Tossup/Tilts R |
Tossup |
Leans D |
Tossup |
AL-5Alabama's 5th congressional district is a U.S. congressional district in Alabama, which elects a representative to the United States House of Representatives. It encompasses the counties of Colbert, Lauderdale, Lawrence, Limestone, Madison and Jackson. It also includes parts of Morgan County.It is...
|
Brooks (R) |
(Griffith) (R) |
Likely R |
Safe R |
Safe R |
Likely R |
Likely R |
AZ-1Arizona's 1st congressional district is a congressional district located in the U.S. state of Arizona. Geographically, it is the tenth largest congressional district in the country and includes much of the state outside the Phoenix and Tucson metropolitan areas.It is currently represented by...
|
Gosar (R) |
Kirkpatrick (D) |
Leans R |
Leans R |
Leans R |
Leans R |
Leans R |
AZ-3Arizona's 3rd congressional district is a congressional district located in the U.S. state of Arizona and contains most of the northern portion of the city of Phoenix as well as some of its northern suburbs...
|
Quayle (R) |
(Shadegg) (R) |
Lean R |
Safe R |
Safe R |
Leans R |
Leans R |
AZ-5Arizona's 5th congressional district is a congressional district located in the U.S. state of Arizona and contains much of the eastern and northeastern suburbs of Phoenix...
|
Schweikert (R) |
Mitchell (D) |
Tossup |
Tossup/Tilts R |
Tossup |
Leans R |
Leans R |
AZ-7Arizona's 7th congressional district is a congressional district located in the U.S. state of Arizona. Situated in the southwestern part of the state, it includes all of Yuma County and parts of La Paz, Maricopa, Pima, Pinal, and Santa Cruz counties....
|
Grijalva (D) |
Grijalva (D) |
Tossup |
Leans D |
Leans D |
Leans D |
Tossup |
AZ-8Arizona's 8th congressional district is a congressional district located in the U.S. state of Arizona and encompasses the extreme southeastern part of the state...
|
Giffords (D) |
Giffords (D) |
Tossup |
Pure Tossup |
Tossup |
Leans D |
Leans R |
| AR-1 |
Crawford (R) |
(Berry) (D) |
Lean R |
Tossup/Tilts R |
Tossup |
Leans R |
Leans R |
| AR-2 |
Griffin (R) |
(Snyder) (D) |
Likely R |
R Favored |
Likely R |
Likely R |
Likely R |
CA-3California's 3rd congressional district is a congressional district located in the U.S. state of California. It covers most of Sacramento County and part of Solano County, as well as all of Alpine, Amador and Calaveras counties...
|
Lungren (R) |
Lungren (R) |
Leans R |
Leans R |
Leans R |
Leans R |
Leans R |
CA-11California's 11th congressional district is a congressional district located in the U.S. state of California. Based in Northern California, it encompasses parts of San Joaquin, Alameda, Contra Costa, and Santa Clara counties....
|
McNerney (D) |
McNerney (D) |
Tossup |
Pure Tossup |
Tossup |
Leans R |
Leans R |
CA-18California's 18th congressional district is a congressional district located in the U.S. state of California. The district is located in the northern San Joaquin Valley and includes the cities of Modesto, Stockton, Ceres, Atwater, Merced and Los Banos...
|
Cardoza (D) |
Cardoza (D) |
Likely D |
Safe D |
Safe D |
Likely D |
Leans D |
CA-20California's 20th congressional district is a congressional district in the U.S. state of California that covers parts of Fresno and Kern counties and all of Kings county. It contains most of the city of Fresno....
|
Costa (D) |
Costa (D) |
Tossup |
Leans D |
Leans D |
Leans D |
Leans R |
CA-47California's 47th congressional district is a congressional district in the U.S. state of California based in Orange County. The district covers the cities of Garden Grove and Santa Ana and parts of Fullerton and Anaheim, and includes Disneyland....
|
Sanchez (D) |
Sanchez (D) |
Leans D |
Leans D |
Leans D |
Likely D |
Leans D |
CO-3Colorado's 3rd congressional district is a congressional district in the U.S. state of Colorado. The district is located in western and south central Colorado, encompassing most of the rural Western Slope...
|
Tipton (R) |
Salazar (D) |
Tossup |
Tossup/Tilts R |
Tossup |
Leans R |
Leans R |
CO-4Colorado's 4th congressional district is a congressional district in the U.S. state of Colorado. Located in the eastern part of the state, the district encompasses most of the rural Eastern Plains as well as the larger cities of Fort Collins, Greeley, Loveland and Longmont along Colorado's Front...
|
Gardner (R) |
Markey (D) |
Leans R |
R Favored |
Likely R |
Leans R |
Leans R |
CO-7Colorado's 7th congressional district is a congressional district in the U.S. state of Colorado. Located in the central part of the state, the district encompasses much of the northern parts of the Denver-Aurora Metropolitan Area, including the suburbs of Lakewood, Arvada, and Aurora as well as the...
|
Perlmutter (D) |
Perlmutter (D) |
Leans D |
D Favored |
Leans D |
Likely D |
Tossup |
CT-4Connecticut's 4th congressional district is a congressional district in the U.S. state of Connecticut. Located in the southwestern part of the state, the district is largely suburban and consists of Bridgeport, the largest city in the state, and Stamford....
|
Himes (D) |
Himes (D) |
Leans D |
D Favored |
Leans D |
Leans D |
Tossup |
| CT-5 Connecticut's 5th congressional district is a congressional district in the U.S. state of Connecticut. Located in the northwestern part of the state, the district runs from...
|
C. Murphy (D) |
C. Murphy (D) |
Leans D |
D Favored |
Leans D |
Leans D |
Tossup |
DE-ALDelaware's At-large congressional district is a congressional district that includes the entire U.S. state of Delaware.It is currently represented by Democrat John C. Carney, Jr., the former Lieutenant Governor of Delaware.-Voting:-History:...
|
Carney (D) |
(Castle) (R) |
Likely D |
Leans D |
Likely D |
Leans D |
Leans D |
FL-2Florida's 2nd congressional district is a congressional district in the U.S. state of Florida. The district consists of the eastern part of the Florida Panhandle along with much of the Big Bend region along the Emerald Coast, and is anchored in the state capital of Tallahassee and includes Panama...
|
Southerland (R) |
Boyd (D) |
Leans R |
R Favored |
Leans R |
Leans R |
Leans R |
FL-8Florida's 8th congressional district lies in central Florida. The district takes in parts of Orange County, Lake County, Marion County and Osceola County. Most of Orlando is in the district, including Walt Disney World...
|
Webster (R) |
Grayson (D) |
Likely R |
R Favored |
Leans R |
Leans R |
Leans R |
FL-12Florida's 12th congressional district is a congressional district in the U.S. state of Florida that encompasses much of Polk County as well as parts of rural and suburban east Hillsborough County and a small piece of western Osceola County....
|
Ross (R) |
(Putnam) (R) |
Lean R |
Tossup/Tilts R |
Leans R |
Leans R |
Likely R |
FL-22Florida's 22nd congressional district is a congressional district in the U.S. state of Florida. Based in South Florida, the district encompasses the coastline from northern...
|
West (R) |
Klein (D) |
Tossup |
Pure Tossup |
Leans D |
Leans R |
Leans R |
FL-24Florida's 24th congressional district is a congressional district in the U.S. state of Florida. Created after the 2000 U.S. Census, the district includes portions of Brevard County and parts of Orange, Seminole, and Volusia counties...
|
Adams (R) |
Kosmas (D) |
Lean R |
R Favored |
Likely R |
Leans R |
Leans R |
FL-25Florida's 25th congressional district is a congressional district in the U.S. state of Florida. Based in South Florida, the district includes parts of Collier, Miami-Dade, and Monroe counties...
|
Rivera (R) |
(M. Diaz-Balart) (R) |
Lean R |
Leans R |
Leans R |
Leans R |
Leans R |
GA-2Georgia's 2nd congressional district is a congressional district in the U.S. state of Georgia. One of the largest districts by size, it takes in most of the southwestern fourth of the state of Georgia...
|
S. Bishop (D) |
S. Bishop (D) |
Tossup |
Leans D |
Tossup |
Leans R |
Leans R |
GA-8Georgia's 8th congressional district is a congressional district in the U.S. state of Georgia. Located in central Georgia, the district is based in Macon and also includes Warner Robins, Tifton, and Moultrie...
|
Scott (R) |
Marshall (D) |
Lean R |
Leans R |
Leans R |
Leans R |
Leans R |
HI-1Hawaii's 1st congressional district is a congressional district in the U.S. state of Hawaii. The district encompasses the urban areas of the City and County of Honolulu, a consolidated city-county that is coextensive with the island of Oahu. The district includes Oahu's central plains and southern...
|
Hanabusa (D) |
Djou (R) |
Tossup |
Pure Tossup |
Tossup |
Leans R |
Tossup |
ID-1Idaho's 1st congressional district is a congressional district in the U.S. state of Idaho. The district encompasses the western and northern parts of the state and includes the western third of the state capital, Boise, and most of its suburbs, including Nampa, Caldwell, and Meridian...
|
Labrador (R) |
Minnick (D) |
Tossup |
Tossup/Tilts D |
Leans D |
Leans R |
Tossup |
| IL-8 |
Walsh (R) |
Bean (D) |
Likely D |
Safe D |
Safe D |
Likely D |
Leans D |
| IL-10 |
Dold (R) |
(Kirk) (R) |
Leans D |
Tossup/Tilts D |
Leans D |
Leans D |
Tossup |
| IL-11 |
Kinzinger (R) |
Halvorson (D) |
Leans R |
R Favored |
Likely R |
Leans R |
Likely R |
| IL-14 |
Hultgren (R) |
Foster (D) |
Tossup |
Tossup/Tilts R |
Tossup |
Leans R |
Leans R |
| IL-17 |
Schilling (R) |
Hare (D) |
Tossup |
Tossup/Tilts R |
Tossup |
Leans R |
Leans R |
IN-2Indiana's 2nd congressional district is a congressional district in the U.S. state of Indiana. Based in South Bend, the district is located in north-central Indiana and takes in the Indiana portion of the Michiana region...
|
Donnelly (D) |
Donnelly (D) |
Tossup |
Leans D |
Leans D |
Leans D |
Tossup |
IN-8Indiana's 8th congressional district is a congressional district in the U.S. state of Indiana. Based in Southwest and west central Indiana, the district is anchored in Evansville and also includes Terre Haute, Vincennes and Washington....
|
Bucshon (R) |
(Ellsworth) (D) |
Likely R |
R Favored |
Likely R |
Likely R |
Leans R |
IN-9Indiana's 9th congressional district is a congressional district in the U.S. state of Indiana. Located in south-central and southeastern Indiana, the district is based in Bloomington....
|
Young (R) |
Hill (D) |
Tossup |
Tossup/Tilts R |
Leans R |
Leans R |
Leans R |
IA-1Iowa's 1st congressional district is a congressional district in the U.S. state of Iowa that covers the northeastern part of the state. The district includes Dubuque, Clinton, Davenport and Waterloo....
|
Braley (D) |
Braley (D) |
Lean D |
D Favored |
Leans D |
Likely D |
Leans D |
IA-2Iowa's 2nd congressional district is a congressional district in the U.S. state of Iowa that generally covers most of the southeastern part of the state including Iowa City and Cedar Rapids.The district is currently represented by Democrat Dave Loebsack....
|
Loebsack (D) |
Loebsack (D) |
Lean D |
D Favored |
Leans D |
Likely D |
Leans D |
IA-3Iowa's 3rd congressional district is a congressional district in the U.S. state of Iowa that currently covers an area from Des Moines to the western outskirts of the Cedar Falls-Waterloo Metropolitan Area to the western outskirts of the Cedar Rapids area and to Lucas and Monroe counties .The...
|
Boswell (D) |
Boswell (D) |
Lean D |
D Favored |
Leans D |
Leans D |
Leans D |
KS-3Kansas's 3rd congressional district is a congressional district in the U.S. state of Kansas. Located in eastern Kansas, the district encompasses Wyandotte and Johnson counties, which include the Kansas City Metropolitan Area, and portions of Douglas County, which includes part of the college town...
|
Yoder (R) |
(Moore) (D) |
Likely R |
R Favored |
Likely R |
Likely R |
Likely R |
KY-3Kentucky's 3rd congressional district is a congressional district in the U.S. state of Kentucky encompassing nearly the whole city of Louisville, which, since the merger of 2003, is contiguous with Jefferson County...
|
Yarmuth (D) |
Yarmuth (D) |
Likely D |
D Favored |
Likely D |
Likely D |
Leans D |
KY-6Kentucky's 6th congressional district is a congressional district in the U.S. state of Kentucky. Based in Central Kentucky, the district contains the cities of Lexington , Richmond, and Frankfort, the state capital....
|
Chandler (D) |
Chandler (D) |
Tossup |
Leans D |
Leans D |
Leans D |
Tossup |
LA-2Louisiana's 2nd congressional district is a congressional district in the U.S. state of Louisiana. The district contains nearly all of the city of New Orleans , and some of its suburbs, including the West Bank portion of Jefferson Parish and South South Kenner.The district is currently represented...
|
Richmond (D) |
Cao (R) |
Leans D |
D Favored |
Likely D |
Leans D |
Leans D |
LA-3Louisiana's 3rd congressional district is a congressional district in the U.S. state of Louisiana. The district surrounds the southern tier of the Greater New Orleans Area. The district contains large portions of southeastern and south central Louisiana, including River Parishes and East Acadiana...
|
Landry (R) |
(Melancon) (D) |
Likely R |
R Favored |
Safe R |
Likely R |
Likely R |
ME-1Maine's 1st congressional district is a congressional district in the U.S. state of Maine. The geographically smaller of the two congressional districts in the state, the district covers the southern coastal area of the state. The district consists of all of Cumberland, Knox, Lincoln, Sagadahoc,...
|
Pingree (D) |
Pingree (D) |
Tossup |
D Favored |
Leans D |
Leans D |
Tossup |
ME-2Maine's 2nd congressional district is a congressional district in the U.S. state of Maine. Covering , it comprises nearly 80% of the state. It is the largest district east of the Mississippi River and the 24th-largest overall. The district consists of all of the state north of the Portland and...
|
Michaud (D) |
Michaud (D) |
Lean D |
D Favored |
Likely D |
Safe D |
Tossup |
MD-1Maryland's 1st congressional district is a congressional district in the U.S. state of Maryland. The district encompasses the entire Eastern Shore, including Salisbury, as well as parts of Anne Arundel, Baltimore and Harford counties....
|
Harris (R) |
Kratovil (D) |
Lean R |
Leans R |
Leans R |
Leans R |
Leans R |
MA-4Massachusetts's 4th congressional district is mostly in southern Massachusetts and includes the South Coast region. It is represented by Barney Frank, who has served the district since January 1981....
|
Frank (D) |
Frank (D) |
Lean D |
Safe D |
Likely D |
Likely D |
Leans D |
MA-5Massachusetts's 5th congressional district is a congressional district in northeastern Massachusetts. It contains the cities of Lowell, Lawrence, Haverhill, and Methuen...
|
Tsongas (D) |
Tsongas (D) |
Likely D |
Safe D |
Likely D |
Safe D |
Likely D |
MA-10Massachusetts's 10th congressional district is a political constituency that includes parts of the South Shore of Massachusetts, and all of Cape Cod and the islands. With a population of 635,901 and a land area of , it is the most populous of Massachusetts's ten congressional districts and the...
|
Keating (D) |
(Delahunt) (D) |
Tossup |
Pure Tossup |
Tossup |
Leans D |
Tossup |
MI-1Michigan's 1st congressional district is a United States Congressional district containing the entire Upper Peninsula of Michigan as well as part of the Lower Peninsula. Currently the district is represented by Republican Dan Benishek.-Geography:...
|
Benishek (R) |
(Stupak) (D) |
Leans R |
Tossup/Tilt R |
Leans R |
Leans R |
Leans R |
MI-7Michigan's 7th congressional district is a United States congressional district in Southern Michigan. It consists of all of Branch, Eaton, Hillsdale, Jackson, and Lenawee counties, and includes most of Calhoun and a large portion of western and northern Washtenaw counties.In the November 2, 2010...
|
Walberg (R) |
Schauer (D) |
Tossup |
Pure Tossup |
Tossup |
Leans R |
Tossup |
MI-9Michigan's 9th congressional district is contained within Oakland County in the southeast areas of the state of Michigan and encompasses most of the county. It is the only congressional district to lie entirely within Oakland County....
|
Peters (D) |
Peters (D) |
Lean D |
Leans D |
Likely D |
Leans D |
Tossup |
MN-1Minnesota's 1st congressional district extends across southern Minnesota from the border with South Dakota to the border with Wisconsin. The First District is primarily a rural district built on a strong history of agriculture, although this is changing rapidly due to strong population growth in...
|
Walz (D) |
Walz (D) |
Leans D |
D Favored |
Leans D |
Leans D |
Leans D |
MN-6Minnesota's 6th congressional district includes most or all of Benton, Sherburne, Stearns, Wright, Anoka, and Washington counties. The district is Republican-leaning with a CPVI of R + 7. It is currently represented by Republican Michele Bachmann....
|
Bachmann (R) |
Bachmann (R) |
Likely R |
Safe R |
Safe R |
Likely R |
Likely R |
MN-8Minnesota's 8th congressional district covers the northeastern part of Minnesota. It is anchored by Duluth, Minnesota which is the fourth largest city in state. It also includes most of the Mesabi and Vermilion iron ranges. The district is best-known for its mining, agriculture, tourism, and...
|
Cravaack (R) |
Oberstar (D) |
Tossup |
D Favored |
Likely D |
Leans D |
Tossup |
MS-1Mississippi's 1st congressional district is in the northeast corner of the state. It includes much of the northern portion of the state including Columbus, Grenada, Oxford, Southaven, and Tupelo....
|
Nunnelee (R) |
Childers (D) |
Tossup |
Tossup/Tilts R |
Tossup |
Leans R |
Leans R |
MS-4Mississippi's 4th congressional district covers the southeastern region of the state. The people of the Mississippi's 4th are currently represented by Republican Steven Palazzo. During the 111th Congress, MS-4, along with TX-17, was the most Republican district in the nation to be represented by a...
|
Palazzo (R) |
Taylor (D) |
Tossup |
Pure Tossup |
Tossup |
Leans D |
Tossup |
MO-3Missouri's third congressional district is in the eastern portion of the state. It includes much of southern St Louis City, much of southern St Louis County, and all of Jefferson County and St Genevieve County....
|
Carnahan (D) |
Carnahan (D) |
Lean D |
D Favored |
Likely D |
Likely D |
Leans D |
MO-4Missouri's 4th Congressional District consists of west central Missouri. The district includes much of the state capital of Jefferson City in Cole County as well as the eastern Kansas City suburbs. The district is predominantly rural and relatively conservative; George W. Bush defeated John Kerry...
|
Hartzler (R) |
Skelton (D) |
Tossup |
Pure Tossup |
Tossup |
Leans D |
Tossup |
NE-2Nebraska's 2nd congressional district encompasses the core of the Omaha metropolitan area. It includes all of Douglas County, which includes Omaha, and the urbanized areas of Sarpy County...
|
Terry (R) |
Terry (R) |
Likely R |
Safe R |
Safe R |
Likely R |
Likely R |
NV-3The 3rd Congressional District of Nevada is a congressional district occupying the suburbs of Las Vegas, including Henderson, parts of North Las Vegas and Summerlin, and much of unincorporated Clark County...
|
Heck (R) |
Titus (D) |
Lean R |
Tossup/Tilts R |
Leans R |
Leans R |
Leans R |
NH-1New Hampshire's 1st congressional district covers the southeastern part of New Hampshire. The district consists of three general areas: Greater Manchester, the Seacoast and the Lakes Region....
|
Guinta (R) |
Shea-Porter (D) |
Lean R |
R Favored |
Leans R |
Leans R |
Leans R |
NH-2New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district covers the western and northern parts of New Hampshire. It includes the state's second-largest city, Nashua, as well as the state capital, Concord...
|
Bass (R) |
(Hodes) (D) |
Tossup |
Pure Tossup |
Tossup |
Leans R |
Tossup |
NJ-3New Jersey's Third Congressional District is currently represented by Republican Jon Runyan. It is a swing district, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+1. Former NFL player Republican Jon Runyan defeated John Adler in the 2010 House elections...
|
Runyan (R) |
Adler (D) |
Tossup |
Tossup/Tilts R |
Leans D |
Leans R |
Leans R |
NJ-12New Jersey's Twelfth Congressional district is currently represented by Democrat Rush D. Holt Jr. The district is known for its research centers and educational institutions such as Princeton University, Institute for Advanced Study, Johnson & Johnson and Bristol-Myers Squibb.-Voting trends:The...
|
Holt (D) |
Holt (D) |
Likely D |
Safe D |
Safe D |
Likely D |
Leans D |
NM-1New Mexico District 1 of the United States House of Representatives serves the central area of New Mexico, in and around Albuquerque. The current Representative is Democrat Martin Heinrich, who became the district's first Democratic representative in 2009.-History:Until the 1968 elections, New...
|
Heinrich (D) |
Heinrich (D) |
Tossup |
Pure Tossup |
Leans D |
Leans D |
Tossup |
NM-2New Mexico's second congressional district to the United States House of Representatives serves the southern half of New Mexico, including Las Cruces and Roswell. Geographically, it is the sixth largest district in the nation, and the 2nd-largest not to comprise an entire state...
|
Pearce (R) |
Teague (D) |
Lean R |
Leans R |
Tossup |
Leans R |
Leans R |
NY-1The 1st Congressional District of New York is a congressional district for the United States House of Representatives in eastern Long Island. It includes most of Central and Eastern Suffolk County, including most of Smithtown, as well as the entirety of the towns of Brookhaven, Riverhead, Southold,...
|
T. Bishop (D) |
T. Bishop (D) |
Tossup |
Tossup/Tilts D |
Tossup |
Likely D |
Tossup |
NY-4The 4th Congressional District of New York is a congressional district for the United States House of Representatives in west-central Nassau County...
|
McCarthy (D) |
McCarthy (D) |
Likely D |
Safe D |
Likely D |
Safe D |
Likely D |
NY-13New York's 13th Congressional District is a congressional district for the United States House of Representatives located in New York City. It includes all of Staten Island and the neighborhoods of Bay Ridge, Bensonhurst, Dyker Heights, and Gravesend in Brooklyn.A swing district, it is represented...
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Grimm (R) |
McMahon (D) |
Lean D |
D Favored |
Leans D |
Likely D |
Tossup |
NY-19United States House of Representatives, New York District 19 is located in the southern part of the state of New York. District 19 lies north of New York City and is composed of parts of Dutchess, Orange, Rockland, and Westchester Counties, in addition to the entirety of Putnam County.District 19...
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Hayworth (R) |
Hall (D) |
Tossup |
Tossup/Tilts R |
Tossup |
Leans R |
Tossup |
NY-20The 20th Congressional District of New York is a congressional district for the United States House of Representatives in eastern New York. It includes all or parts of Columbia, Dutchess, Delaware, Essex, Greene, Otsego, Rensselaer, Saratoga, Warren, and Washington counties. It includes the...
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Gibson (R) |
S. Murphy (D) |
Tossup |
Tossup/Tilts R |
Tossup |
Leans R |
Leans R |
NY-22The 22nd Congressional District of New York is a congressional district for the United States House of Representatives that includes all or parts of Broome, Delaware, Dutchess, Orange, Sullivan, Tioga, Tompkins, and Ulster counties. It includes the cities of Binghamton, Ithaca, Kingston,...
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Hinchey (D) |
Hinchey (D) |
Lean D |
Safe D |
Likely D |
Likely D |
Leans D |
NY-23The 23rd Congressional District of New York is New York's northernmost congressional district for the United States House of Representatives. The district includes all or parts of Clinton, Essex, Franklin, Fulton, Hamilton, Jefferson, Lewis, Madison, Oneida, Oswego and St. Lawrence counties. It...
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Owens (D) |
Owens (D) |
Tossup |
Pure Tossup |
Tossup |
Leans R |
Leans R |
NY-24The 24th Congressional District of New York includes all or parts of Broome, Cayuga, Chenango, Cortland, Herkimer, Oneida, Ontario, Otsego, Seneca, Tioga and Tompkins counties.This district is currently represented by Republican Richard L...
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Hanna (R) |
Arcuri (D) |
Tossup |
Pure Tossup |
Tossup |
Leans D |
Tossup |
NY-25The 25th Congressional District of New York is a congressional district for the United States House of Representatives that stretches from Syracuse to the northeastern suburbs of Rochester. The district comprises all of Onondaga and Wayne counties, the northernmost portion of Cayuga County and the...
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Buerkle (R) |
Maffei (D) |
Leans D |
D Favored |
Likely D |
Likely D |
Leans D |
NY-29The Twenty-ninth district of New York is a congressional district for the United States House of Representatives which covers a portion of the Appalachian mountains in New York known as the "Southern Tier." It is represented by Tom Reed...
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Reed (R) |
Zeller (D) |
Likely R |
R Favored |
Safe R |
Likely R |
Likely R |
NC-2North Carolina's 2nd congressional district is located in the central and eastern parts of the state. Today, the district, which is represented by Republican Rep...
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Ellmers (R) |
Etheridge (D) |
Leans D |
Tossup/Tilts D |
Likely D |
Likely D |
Tossup |
NC-7North Carolina's 7th congressional district is located in the southeastern corner of North Carolina. It covers Bladen, Brunswick, Columbus, Cumberland, Duplin, New Hanover, Pender, Robeson, and Sampson counties....
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McIntyre (D) |
McIntyre (D) |
Tossup |
Tossup/Tilts D |
Leans D |
Likely D |
Tossup |
NC-8North Carolina's eighth congressional district consists of a large portion of southern North Carolina from Charlotte to Fayetteville, including Concord, Albemarle, Monroe, Wadesboro, Troy, Rockingham, Laurinburg, and Raeford...
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Kissell (D) |
Kissell (D) |
Tossup |
Leans D |
Tossup |
Leans R |
Tossup |
NC-11The 11th Congressional District encompasses most of Western North Carolina, anchored by Asheville. Starting in the 110th Congress, it is represented by Heath Shuler, a Democrat. Shuler defeated 8-term Republican representative Charles H. Taylor in the 2006 midterm elections.The 11th District is...
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Shuler (D) |
Shuler (D) |
Lean D |
D Favored |
Likely D |
Likely D |
Tossup |
ND-ALNorth Dakota's At-large congressional district is the sole congressional district for the state of North Dakota. All of North Dakota is contained within one at large Congressional District making it the eighth largest district in the nation.- History:...
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Berg (R) |
Pomeroy (D) |
Tossup |
Tossup/Tilt R |
Tossup |
Leans R |
Leans R |
OH-1Ohio's 1st congressional district is currently represented by Republican Steve Chabot. This district includes parts of Cincinnati, and borders both Kentucky and Indiana.-Cities:Cincinnati Cheviot Deer Park Forest Park Harrison Mount Healthy...
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Chabot (R) |
Driehaus (D) |
Leans R |
R Favored |
Likely R |
Leans R |
Leans R |
OH-6Ohio's 6th congressional district is currently represented by Representative Bill Johnson . This district runs along the southeast side of the state, bordering Kentucky, West Virginia, and Pennsylvania...
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Johnson (R) |
Wilson (D) |
Tossup |
Pure Tossup |
Tossup |
Leans D |
Tossup |
OH-12Ohio's 12th congressional district is currently represented by Republican Representative Patrick J. Tiberi. This district includes the heavily African-American part of Ohio's capital city, Columbus, Ohio along with its northern suburbs, including Westerville, Ohio.Historically it has been a safe...
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Tiberi (R) |
Tiberi (R) |
Likely R |
Safe R |
Safe R |
Likely R |
Likely R |
| OH-13 The 13th congressional district of Ohio is represented by Representative Betty Sutton, who defeated Republican Craig L. Foltin on Nov. 7, 2006. It was formerly represented by Sherrod Brown...
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Sutton (D) |
Sutton (D) |
Likely D |
D Favored |
Likely D |
Likely D |
Leans D |
OH-15The 15th congressional district of Ohio is currently represented by Republican Steve Stivers.Union County and Madison County are entirely within the district's boundaries as is approximately half of Franklin County...
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Stivers (R) |
Kilroy (D) |
Leans R |
R Favored |
Likely R |
Leans R |
Likely R |
OH-16The 16th congressional district of Ohio is currently represented by Representative Jim Renacci . The district is based in Stark County and the Canton area and also includes Wayne County and most of Medina and Ashland counties.On Nov...
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Renacci (R) |
Boccieri (D) |
Tossup |
Leans R |
Tossup |
Leans R |
Leans R |
OH-18The 18th congressional district of Ohio is currently represented by Republican Bob Gibbs. The district ranges around the eastern part of Ohio, taking in a collection of small cities and rural areas. The district voted for the majority party in the House of Representatives in every election since...
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Gibbs (R) |
Space (D) |
Tossup |
Tossup/Tilts R |
Tossup |
Leans R |
Leans R |
OR-1Oregon's 1st congressional district consists of the northwest corner of Oregon. It includes Clatsop, Columbia, Washington, and Yamhill counties, and southwest Portland, part of Multnomah County, which belonged to the 3rd district before the 2002 redistricting....
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Wu (D) |
Wu (D) |
Likely D |
Safe D |
Likely D |
Safe D |
Likely D |
OR-5Oregon's 5th congressional district represents Oregon's central coast through Salem, north to the southern Portland suburbs, and east to the summit of Mount Hood. It includes Lincoln, Marion, Polk, and Tillamook counties, most of Clackamas County, and part of Benton and Multnomah counties...
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Schrader (D) |
Schrader (D) |
Tossup |
Pure Tossup |
Tossup |
Leans D |
Tossup |
PA-3Pennsylvania's third district is located in the northwestern part of the state and includes the cities of Erie, Sharon, Hermitage, Butler and Meadville....
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Kelly (R) |
Dahlkemper (D) |
Leans R |
R Favored |
Likely R |
Leans R |
Leans R |
PA-4Pennsylvania's fourth district is located in western Pennsylvania and includes suburbs of Pittsburgh as well as Beaver County, Lawrence County, and Mercer County....
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Altmire (D) |
Altmire (D) |
Lean D |
D Favored |
Likely D |
Likely D |
Leans D |
PA-6Pennsylvania's 6th Congressional District was substantially redrawn in 2002. Its strange shape brought charges of gerrymandering by Democrats who argued it "looms like a dragon descending on Philadelphia from the west, splitting up towns and communities throughout Montgomery and Berks Counties." ...
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Gerlach (R) |
Gerlach (R) |
Likely R |
Safe R |
Safe R |
Likely R |
Leans R |
PA-7Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district incorporates parts of the Philadelphia suburbs, including most of Delaware County. It is currently represented by Republican Pat Meehan in the 112th United States Congress....
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Meehan (R) |
(Sestak) (D) |
Leans R |
Tossup/Tilts R |
Tossup |
Leans R |
Tossup |
PA-8The 8th Pennsylvania Congressional District serves Bucks County, along with a small portion of Montgomery County and Northeast Philadelphia, in Pennsylvania...
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Fitzpatrick (R) |
P. Murphy (D) |
Tossup |
Tossup/Tilts R |
Tossup |
Leans R |
Tossup |
| PA-10 Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district is located primarily in the northeast corner of the state. The district was one of the 12 original districts created prior to the 4th Congress. It is currently represented by Republican Tom Marino, who defeated Democratic incumbent Chris Carney during the...
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Marino (R) |
Carney (D) |
Tossup |
Pure Tossup |
Tossup |
Leans R |
Leans R |
PA-11Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district is in the northeastern part of the state and includes Scranton, Wilkes-Barre, Hazleton and most of the Poconos. Republican Lou Barletta has represented the district since 2011, the first Republican to do so in almost 30 years...
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Barletta (R) |
Kanjorski (D) |
Tossup |
Tossup/Tilts R |
Leans R |
Leans R |
Tossup |
PA-12Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district is represented by Congressman Mark Critz after a special election was held on May 18, 2010 following the death of Democrat John Murtha. The district has a Cook Partisan Voting Index score of R+1...
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Critz (D) |
Critz (D) |
Lean D |
Pure Tossup |
Leans D |
Leans D |
Tossup |
PA-15Pennsylvania's 15th Congressional District is located in eastern Pennsylvania, comprising all of Northampton County, most of Lehigh County, and small parts of Berks and Montgomery Counties...
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Dent (R) |
Dent (R) |
Likely R |
R Favored |
Leans R |
Leans R |
Likely R |
PA-17Pennsylvania’s 17th congressional district is located in the central part of the state, including the state capital, Harrisburg. The district was significantly redrawn after the 2000 census. It is composed of all of Dauphin County, Lebanon County, Schuylkill County, and parts of Berks County and...
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Holden (D) |
Holden (D) |
Likely D |
Safe D |
Likely D |
Likely D |
Likely D |
RI-1Rhode Island's 1st congressional district is a congressional district in northern and eastern Rhode Island. The district is currently represented by David Cicilline, who has represented the district since January 2011....
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Cicilline (D) |
(Kennedy) (D) |
Lean D |
Leans D |
Leans D |
Leans D |
Tossup |
SC-5The 5th Congressional District of South Carolina is a congressional district in northern South Carolina bordering North Carolina. It includes all of Cherokee, Chester, Chesterfield, Darlington, Dillon, Fairfield, Kershaw, Lancaster, Marlboro, Newberry and York counties and parts of Florence, Lee...
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Mulvaney (R) |
Spratt (D) |
Tossup |
Leans R |
Leans R |
Leans R |
Leans R |
SD-ALThe South Dakota at-large congressional district covers the entire state of South Dakota. It was created in 1982, after South Dakota lost its 2nd District. From 1889 to 1913, it existed with two representatives elected statewide at-large....
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Noem (R) |
Herseth Sandlin (D) |
Tossup |
Tossup/Tilts R |
Tossup |
Leans R |
Leans R |
TN-4The 4th Congressional District of Tennessee is a congressional district in Middle and East Tennessee. It is the state's largest district in terms of area, and one of the largest east of the Mississippi River, because of low population density and rural character...
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DesJarlais (R) |
Davis (D) |
Tossup |
Tossup/Tilts R |
Tossup |
Leans R |
Tossup |
TN-6The 6th Congressional District of Tennessee is a congressional district in Middle Tennessee. It currently includes all of Bedford, Cannon, Clay, DeKalb, Jackson, Macon, Marshall, Overton, Putnam, Robertson, Rutherford, Smith, Sumner, and Trousdale Counties, as well as a portion of Wilson County...
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Black (R) |
(Gordon) (D) |
Likely R |
R Favored |
Safe R |
Likely R |
Likely R |
TN-8The 8th Congressional District of Tennessee is a congressional district in Tennessee. It currently includes roughly the northwestern part of the state....
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Fincher (R) |
(Tanner) (D) |
Likely R |
R Favored |
Likely R |
Likely R |
Likely R |
TX-17
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Flores (R) |
Edwards (D) |
Leans R |
R Favored |
Likely R |
Leans R |
Likely R |
TX-23Texas's 23rd congressional district is the 8th largest congressional district in the country not counting at-large districts, stretching across the southwestern portion of Texas. It is a Latino-majority district and its current Representative is Republican Quico Canseco...
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Canseco (R) |
Rodriguez (D) |
Tossup |
Pure Tossup |
Tossup |
Leans R |
Leans R |
TX-27Texas District 27 of the United States House of Representatives is a Congressional district that serves a strip in deep south Texas on the Gulf Coast consisting of Corpus Christi and Brownsville...
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Farenthold (R) |
Ortiz (D) |
Lean D |
D Favored |
Likely D |
Safe D |
Tossup |
VA-2Virginia's second congressional district is a U.S. congressional district in the Commonwealth of Virginia. It encompasses all of Accomack and Northampton Counties and the City of Virginia Beach and parts of the cities of Norfolk and Hampton...
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Rigell (R) |
Nye (D) |
Lean R |
Leans R |
Leans R |
Leans R |
Leans R |
VA-5Virginia's fifth congressional district is a United States congressional district in the commonwealth of Virginia. It covers all or part of Greene, Campbell, Bedford, Albermarle, Nelson, Fluvanna, Buckingham, Cumberland, Appomattox, Prince Edward, Charlotte, Lunenburg, Franklin, Henry,...
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Hurt (R) |
Perriello (D) |
Lean R |
Tossup/Tilts R |
Tossup |
Leans R |
Leans R |
VA-9Virginia's ninth congressional district is a United States congressional district in the commonwealth of Virginia, covering much of the southwestern part of the state. The 9th is Virginia's second-largest district in area, covering 8800.24 square miles . The current representative is Morgan Griffith...
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Griffith (R) |
Boucher (D) |
Tossup |
Tossup/Tilts D |
Leans D |
Leans D |
Tossup |
VA-11Virginia's Eleventh Congressional District is a U.S. congressional district in the Commonwealth of Virginia. It comprises most of Fairfax County, all of the city of Fairfax, and part of eastern Prince William County...
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Connolly (D) |
Connolly (D) |
Tossup |
Leans D |
Leans D |
Leans D |
Tossup |
WA-2Washington's 2nd congressional district encompasses the northern portion of Western Washington from the vicinity of the King/Snohomish county line to the Canadian border, including the San Juan Islands. Since 2001, it has been represented by Democrat Rick Larsen.Originally created in 1909 when...
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Larsen (D) |
Larsen (D) |
Tossup |
Leans D |
Leans D |
Leans D |
Tossup |
WA-3Washington's 3rd congressional district encompasses the southernmost portion of Western Washington, from Olympia south to the Columbia River. It includes the counties of Lewis, Pacific, Wahkiakum, Cowlitz, and Clark, and the majority of Thurston and Skamania counties...
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Herrera (R) |
(Baird) (D) |
Lean R |
Tossup/Tilts R |
Leans R |
Leans R |
Tossup |
WA-8Washington's 8th congressional district includes most of the region known as the Eastside and the mostly rural eastern parts of King and Pierce counties. It is currently represented in the U.S. House of Representatives by Republican Dave Reichert....
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Reichert (R) |
Reichert (R) |
Likely R |
R Favored |
Leans R |
Leans R |
Leans R |
WV-1West Virginia's 1st congressional district is located in the northern part of the state. It is the most regularly drawn of the state's three districts....
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McKinley (R) |
(Mollohan) (D) |
Tossup |
Pure tossup |
Tossup |
Leans R |
Tossup |
WV-3West Virginia's 3rd congressional district is located in the southern part of the state, it is based in the state's second largest city, Huntington and includes Bluefield, Princeton, and Beckley.The district is currently represented by Democrat Nick Rahall....
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Rahall (D) |
Rahall (D) |
Likely D |
Safe D |
Likely D |
Likely D |
Leans D |
| WI-3 Wisconsin's 3rd congressional district is a U.S. congressional district covering much of southwestern and western Wisconsin; it is the second-largest congressional district by area in Wisconsin...
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Kind (D) |
Kind (D) |
Leans D |
D Favored |
Leans D |
Likely D |
Tossup |
WI-7Wisconsin's 7th congressional district is a congressional district of the United States House of Representatives in northwestern and central Wisconsin; it is the largest congressional district in the state geographically, covering 20 counties , for a total of 18,787 sq mi...
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Duffy (R) |
(Obey) (D) |
Tossup |
Tossup/Tilts R |
Tossup |
Leans R |
Leans R |
WI-8Wisconsin's 8th congressional district is a congressional district of the United States House of Representatives in northeastern Wisconsin. The district includes Green Bay and Appleton. It is currently represented by Reid Ribble, a Republican. Ribble defeated incumbent Democrat Steve Kagen for...
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Ribble (R) |
Kagen (D) |
Leans R |
Leans R |
Leans R |
Leans R |
Leans R |