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Rule of thumb

 

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Rule of thumb


 
 

A rule of thumb is a principle with broad application that is not intended to be strictly accurate or reliable for every situation. It is an easily learned and easily applied procedure for approximately calculating or recalling some value, or for making some determination. Compare this to heuristicHeuristic Overview

A heuristic is a replicable method or approach for directing one's attention in learning, discovery, or problem-solving....
, a similar concept used in mathematical discourseMathematics Summary

Mathematics is the discipline that deals with concepts such as quantity, structure, space and change....
, psychologyPsychology

Psychology is an academic and applied field involving the study of the human mind, brain, and behavior....
 and computer scienceComputer science

Computer science, or computing science, is the study of the theoretical foundations of information and computation and...
, particularly in algorithmAlgorithm Overview

In mathematics and computing, an algorithm is a procedure for accomplishing some task which, given an initial state, will t...
 design. See also mnemonicMnemonic

A mnemonic is a memory aid, and most serve as an educational purpose....
.

Origin of the phrase

The earliest citation comes from Sir William Hope’s The Compleat Fencing-Master, second edition, 1692, page 157: "What he doth, he doth by rule of thumb, and not by art." The term is thought to originate with wood workers who used the length of their thumbs rather than rulers for measuring things, cementing its modern use as an inaccurate, but reliable and convenient standard.

It is often claimed that the term originally referred to a law that limited the maximum thickness of a stick with which it was permissible for a man to beat his wifeDomestic violence

Domestic violence occurs when a family member, partner or ex-partner attempts to physically or psychologically dominate or h...
, but this has been fully discredited as a hoax. Sir Francis Buller, a British judge, was alleged to have stated that a man may legally beat his wife, provided that he used a stick no thicker than his thumb. However, it is questionable whether Buller ever made such a pronouncement and there is even less evidence that he phrased it as a "rule of thumb"; the rumoured statement was so unpopular that it caused him to be lambasted as "Judge Thumb" in a satirical James GillrayJames Gillray Overview

James Gillray, sometimes spelled Gilray, was a British caricaturist. ...
 cartoon. The "rule of thumb" was referenced in at least four legal cases from 1782 to 1897, and in each of the known cases it was referred to only to state its invalidity, with one judge calling it "...a barbarous custom which modern authorities condemn."
"It's certainly the case that, although British common lawCommon law

The common law forms a major part of the law of many countries, especially those with a history as British territories or co...
 once held
that it was legal for a man to chastise his wife in moderation, the 'rule of thumb' has never been the law in
England." In the modern period, this non-law gained popularity after feminist Del Martin wrote about it in 1976.

Examples of usage

Financial - Rule of 72Rule of 72

In finance, the rule of 72, the rule of 70 and the rule of 69.3 all refer to a method for estimating an investme...
.
A rule of thumb for exponential growthExponential growth

In mathematics, a quantity that grows exponentially is one whose growth rate is always proportional to its current size....
 at a constant rate. An approximation of the doubling time formula used in population growth, which says divide 70 by the percent growth rate (the actual number is 69.3147181 from the natural logarithm of 2, if the percent growth is much much less than 1%). In terms of money, it is frequently easier to use 72 (rather than 70) because it works better in the 4%-10% range where interest rates often lie. Therefore, divide 72 by the percent interest rate to determine the approximate amount of time to double your money in an investment. For example, at 8% interest, your money will double in approximately 9 years (72/8 = 9).

Tailors' Rule of Thumb. This is the fictional rule described by Jonathan SwiftJonathan Swift

Jonathan Swift was an Anglo Irish priest, satirist, essayist, political pamphleteer, and poet, famous for works like Gull...
 in his satirical novel Gulliver's TravelsGulliver's Travels

Gulliver's Travels , officially Travels into Several Remote Nations of the World, is a novel by Jonathan Swift that...
:

Marine Navigation. A ship's captain should navigate to keep the ship more than a thumb's width from the shore, as shown on the nautical chartNautical chart

A nautical chart is a graphic representation of a maritime area and adjacent coastal regions....
 being used. Thus, with a coarse scale chart, that provides few details of nearshore hazards such as rocks, a thumb's width would represent a great distance, and the ship would be steered far from shore; whereas on a fine scale chart, in which more detail is provided, a ship could be brought closer to shore.

Statistics. The Statistical Rule of Thumb says that for most large data sets, 68% of data points will occur within one standard deviationStandard deviation

In probability and statistics, the standard deviation of a probability distribution, random variable, or population or multi...
 from the mean, and 95% will occur within two standard deviations. Chebyshev's inequalityChebyshev's inequality

In probability theory, Chebyshev's inequality, named after Pafnuty Chebyshev, who first proved it, states that in any data s...
 is a more general rule along these same lines and applies to all data sets.

Hazardous Material Emergency Response. Hazardous material (hazmat) emergency responders in the US are trained to various levels of capability for action during a hazmat incident, with names for the capabilities varying by locale. Typically, basic-level responders are trained to be able to recognize various types of hazardous materials and establish an isolation perimeter around the site of the incident. Basic-level responders will observe the rule of thumb for establishing a minimum safe distance from a hazmat site. If the responder is uphill and upwind from the incident, and they are able to visually cover the site with a thumb held at arm's length, they are assumed to be a safe distance away from the event. Of course, this varies greatly depending on the nature of the hazmat incident, and should only be used as a general guideline. More specific information about hazardous material isolation is available in a material's material safety data sheetMaterial safety data sheet

A material safety data sheet is a form containing data regarding the properties of a particular substance....
, or in such documents as the Emergency Response Guidebook, published by Chemtrec in the US. Other countries typically have their own hazmat emergency response resources.

Etiquette. In a formal place setting, the silverware and the dinner plate should be set back from the edge of the table a length equal to the distal phalanxDistal phalanges

Distal phalanges are bones found in the limbs of most vertebrate skeletons....
 of the thumb.

Brewing. Before the invention of thermometers, the brewer tested the wortWort (brewing)

Wort is the liquid extracted from the mashing process during the brewing of beer or whisky....
 by placing his thumb in it. When he could reliably place his thumb in the wort without having to remove it because of the heat, the wort was cool enough to pitch the yeastYeast

Yeasts are single-celled fungi, a few species of which are commonly used to leaven bread, ferment alcoholic beverages, and ...
.

See also

  • Heuristic argumentHeuristic argument

    An heuristic argument is an argument that reasons from the value of a method or principle that has been shown by experimenta...
  • Common senseCommon sense Overview

    One meaning of the term common sense on a strict construction of the term, is what people in common would agree; that which...
  • Back-of-the-envelope calculationBack-of-the-envelope calculation Summary

    The phrase back-of-the-envelope calculations refers to rough calculations that, while not rigorous, test or support a point....


External links

  • - A user participation reference project based on Tom Parker's 3 best-selling books and more than 25 years of research.
  • - A wiki based collection of user submitted rules of thumb
  • - Discussion of the origins of the term by Cecil Adams.
  • - A collection of business-oriented rules of thumb
  • - Plenty of evidence against the wife-beating urban myth
  • - Faulty legal citations of the bogus wife-beating law.