International opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Encyclopedia
This article lists international opinion poll
Opinion poll
An opinion poll, sometimes simply referred to as a poll is a survey of public opinion from a particular sample. Opinion polls are usually designed to represent the opinions of a population by conducting a series of questions and then extrapolating generalities in ratio or within confidence...

s taken in various countries around the world during 2008 relating to the United States presidential election, 2008
United States presidential election, 2008
The United States presidential election of 2008 was the 56th quadrennial presidential election. It was held on November 4, 2008. Democrat Barack Obama, then the junior United States Senator from Illinois, defeated Republican John McCain, the senior U.S. Senator from Arizona. Obama received 365...

. Most polls measured foreign preference for Democratic candidate Barack Obama
Barack Obama
Barack Hussein Obama II is the 44th and current President of the United States. He is the first African American to hold the office. Obama previously served as a United States Senator from Illinois, from January 2005 until he resigned following his victory in the 2008 presidential election.Born in...

 and Republican candidate John McCain
John McCain
John Sidney McCain III is the senior United States Senator from Arizona. He was the Republican nominee for president in the 2008 United States election....

. For international reaction to the election, see International reaction to the United States presidential election, 2008
International reaction to the United States presidential election, 2008
This article lists international reaction to the 2008 United States presidential election, in addition to Barack Obama's election as the 44th President of the United States on November 4, 2008 and his inauguration on January 20, 2009....

.

Summary

Most polls during the 2008 election year showed greater global support for Senator Barack Obama over Senator John McCain. A poll for the BBC World Service
BBC World Service
The BBC World Service is the world's largest international broadcaster, broadcasting in 27 languages to many parts of the world via analogue and digital shortwave, internet streaming and podcasting, satellite, FM and MW relays...

 conducted in 22 countries found Obama favored in each one by varying margins, with an overall average of 49% preference for Obama, 12% for McCain, and 40% with no preference. Similarly, a 73 country Gallup poll found that 24% of those polled favored Obama compared with 7% who favored McCain; 69% of those surveyed had no opinion. An international Reader's Digest
Reader's Digest
Reader's Digest is a general interest family magazine, published ten times annually. Formerly based in Chappaqua, New York, its headquarters is now in New York City. It was founded in 1922, by DeWitt Wallace and Lila Bell Wallace...

survey also reported more support for Obama than McCain in all 16 foreign countries polled, though not in the U.S. itself. However, certain countries did prefer McCain to Obama in some polls, including Israel
Israel
The State of Israel is a parliamentary republic located in the Middle East, along the eastern shore of the Mediterranean Sea...

, Georgia
Georgia (country)
Georgia is a sovereign state in the Caucasus region of Eurasia. Located at the crossroads of Western Asia and Eastern Europe, it is bounded to the west by the Black Sea, to the north by Russia, to the southwest by Turkey, to the south by Armenia, and to the southeast by Azerbaijan. The capital of...

, Laos
Laos
Laos Lao: ສາທາລະນະລັດ ປະຊາທິປະໄຕ ປະຊາຊົນລາວ Sathalanalat Paxathipatai Paxaxon Lao, officially the Lao People's Democratic Republic, is a landlocked country in Southeast Asia, bordered by Burma and China to the northwest, Vietnam to the east, Cambodia to the south and Thailand to the west...

 by a small margin, and the Philippines
Philippines
The Philippines , officially known as the Republic of the Philippines , is a country in Southeast Asia in the western Pacific Ocean. To its north across the Luzon Strait lies Taiwan. West across the South China Sea sits Vietnam...

 (which is in contrast to the capital Manila
Metro Manila
Metropolitan Manila , the National Capital Region , or simply Metro Manila, is the metropolitan region encompassing the City of Manila and its surrounding areas in the Philippines...

).

A poll done by the Pew Global Attitudes Project investigated whether other countries believed American foreign policy "will change for the better" with a new president. Although majorities held this belief in several major European and African countries, 67% of Japanese
Japan
Japan is an island nation in East Asia. Located in the Pacific Ocean, it lies to the east of the Sea of Japan, China, North Korea, South Korea and Russia, stretching from the Sea of Okhotsk in the north to the East China Sea and Taiwan in the south...

 respondents said it would not change very much and more Jordanians and Egyptians believed American foreign policy would get worse than better. In terms of confidence in the candidates, the Pew poll found most but not all countries had more confidence in Obama to do the right thing in global affairs. In several countries a majority of those polled said they were following the campaign closely, including Australia
Australia
Australia , officially the Commonwealth of Australia, is a country in the Southern Hemisphere comprising the mainland of the Australian continent, the island of Tasmania, and numerous smaller islands in the Indian and Pacific Oceans. It is the world's sixth-largest country by total area...

, Germany
Germany
Germany , officially the Federal Republic of Germany , is a federal parliamentary republic in Europe. The country consists of 16 states while the capital and largest city is Berlin. Germany covers an area of 357,021 km2 and has a largely temperate seasonal climate...

, Jordan
Jordan
Jordan , officially the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan , Al-Mamlaka al-Urduniyya al-Hashemiyya) is a kingdom on the East Bank of the River Jordan. The country borders Saudi Arabia to the east and south-east, Iraq to the north-east, Syria to the north and the West Bank and Israel to the west, sharing...

, and the United Kingdom
United Kingdom
The United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern IrelandIn the United Kingdom and Dependencies, other languages have been officially recognised as legitimate autochthonous languages under the European Charter for Regional or Minority Languages...

.

A global non-scientific Internet vote conducted by The Economist
The Economist
The Economist is an English-language weekly news and international affairs publication owned by The Economist Newspaper Ltd. and edited in offices in the City of Westminster, London, England. Continuous publication began under founder James Wilson in September 1843...

, with 52,000 respondents, indicated that Obama was favored over McCain by a vast majority of poll respondents, with over 44,000 votes for Obama, or roughly 85% (there were no third party or abstain options).

Multi-country polls

Country Candidates YouGov/
Daily Telegraph
May 27-29
Reader's Digest/
Synovate Omnibus
June 2-July 7
BBC/
GlobeScan
July 28-Aug 27
Gallup
May-Oct
Harris/
France24/IHT
Oct 1-13
Various
Oct
 Argentina Obama
McCain
- - - 31%
6%
 Armenia Obama
McCain
- - - 43%
10%
 Australia Obama
McCain
- 76%
10%
67%
13%
64%
14%
 Austria Obama
McCain
- - - 58%
10%
 Bangladesh Obama
McCain
- - - 19%
8%
 Belgium Obama
McCain
- - - 64%
6%
62%
8%
 Benin Obama
McCain
- - - 20%
2%
 Bolivia Obama
McCain
- - - 30%
8%
 Botswana Obama
McCain
- - - 62%
6%
 Brazil Obama
McCain
- 78%
11%
51%
8%
-
 Burkina Faso Obama
McCain
- - - 50%
7%
 Burundi Obama
McCain
- - - 61%
8%
 Cambodia Obama
McCain
- - - 4%
9%
 Cameroon Obama
McCain
- - - 44%
7%
 Canada Obama
McCain
- 64%
14%
66%
14%
67%
22%
70%
14%
 Chile Obama
McCain
- - - 43%
9%
 Mainland China Obama
McCain
- - 35%
15%
12%
5%
 Colombia Obama
McCain
- - - 38%
16%
 Costa Rica Obama
McCain
- - - 44%
9%
 Denmark Obama
McCain
- - - 69%
8%
 Egypt Obama
McCain
- - 26%
13%
-
 El Salvador Obama
McCain
- - - 24%
14%
 Estonia Obama
McCain
- - - 22%
17%
 Ethiopia Obama
McCain
- - - 76%
6%
 Finland Obama
McCain
- 71%
13%
- 54%
14%
 Early Modern France Obama
McCain
65%
8%
75%
10%
69%
6%
64%
4%
78%
1%
68%
5%
 Georgia (country) Obama
McCain
- - - 15%
23%
 Germany Obama
McCain
67%
6%
61%
26%
65%
7%
62%
10%
72%
5%
 Ghana Obama
McCain
- - - 31%
13%
 Guatemala Obama
McCain
- - - 27%
11%
 Honduras Obama
McCain
- - - 27%
9%
 India Obama
McCain
- 85%
7%
24%
15%
7%
2%
 Indonesia Obama
McCain
- 67%
17%
46%
11%
-
 Republic of Ireland Obama
McCain
- - - 67%
19%
 Italy Obama
McCain
70%
15%
- 76%
12%
56%
6%
66%
12%
 Japan Obama
McCain
- - - 66%
15%
61%
13%
 Kenya Obama
McCain
- - 87%
5%
89%
3%
 Kuwait (nationals for Gallup) Obama
McCain
- - - 32%
12%
 Laos Obama
McCain
- - - 24%
25%
 Latvia Obama
McCain
- - - 23%
15%
 Lebanon Obama
McCain
- - 39%
27%
45%
18%
 Liberia Obama
McCain
- - - 45%
27%
 Lithuania Obama
McCain
- - - 13%
13%
 Madagascar Obama
McCain
- - - 47%
28%
 Mali Obama
McCain
- - - 70%
16%
 Mauritania Obama
McCain
- - - 68%
3%
 Mexico Obama
McCain
- 70%
25%
54%
16%
27%
9%
46%
13%
 Netherlands Obama
McCain
- 92%
8%
- 74%
10%
 Nicaragua Obama
McCain
- - - 23%
7%
 Nigeria Obama
McCain
- - 66%
11%
23%
11%
 Norway Obama
McCain
- - - 71%
13%
 Pakistan Obama
McCain
- - - 5%
5%
 Palestinian territories Obama
McCain
- - - 33%
11%
 Panama Obama
McCain
- - 43%
15%
35%
10%
 Paraguay Obama
McCain
- - - 26%
11%
 Peru Obama
McCain
- - - 31%
11%
 Philippines Obama
McCain
- - 46%
22%
20%
28%
 Poland Obama
McCain
- 65%
19%
38%
13%
43%
24%
43%
26%
 Russia Obama
McCain
31%
24%
52%
17%
18%
7%
-
 Rwanda Obama
McCain
- - - 57%
12%
 Saudi Arabia Obama
McCain
- - - 50%
19%
 Senegal Obama
McCain
- - - 54%
15%
 Sierra Leone Obama
McCain
- - - 68%
18%
 Singapore Obama
McCain
- - 29%
7%
21%
11%
 South Africa Obama
McCain
- 70%
26%
- -
 South Korea Obama
McCain
- - - 50%
24%
 Spain Obama
McCain
- 76%
13%
- 49%
6%
68%
8%
 Sweden Obama
McCain
- - - 64%
6%
 Switzerland Obama
McCain
- - - -
83%
7%
 Republic of China Obama
McCain
- 81%
6%
- -
 Tanzania Obama
McCain
- - - 76%
9%
 Togo Obama
McCain
- - - 38%
6%
 Turkey Obama
McCain
- - 26%
11%
22%
8%
 United Arab Emirates Obama
McCain
- - 46%
13%
-
 Uganda Obama
McCain
- - - 85%
8%
Obama
McCain
49%
14%
70%
14%
59%
9%
60%
15%
48%
11%
64%
15%
 Uruguay Obama
McCain
- - - 39%
7%
 Zambia Obama
McCain
- - - 47%
12%
 Zimbabwe Obama
McCain
- - - 41%
15%

Argentina

A poll taken on August 26 by Ibarómetro reported that 53.2% of those polled preferred Obama against 8.8% for McCain; 38% were unsure.

France

A poll conducted on September 2-3 by TNS Sofres/Logica for the French-American Foundation
French-American Foundation
The French-American Foundation is the principal non-governmental organization linking France and the United States at leadership levels and across the full range of the French-American relationship....

 and Fondation Robert Schuman
Robert Schuman
Robert Schuman was a noted Luxembourgish-born French statesman. Schuman was a Christian Democrat and an independent political thinker and activist...

 found that 80% of the French polled hoped for an Obama victory, 8% for a McCain victory, 7% for neither, and 5% without an opinion. A later poll done on October 10-11 by BVA for La Tribune
La Tribune
La Tribune is a French financial newspaper that was founded in 1985. The paper is in tabloid format and has a circulation of around 78,000.- External links :**...

found an even higher 86% who preferred to see Obama elected, with 6% hoping the same for McCain and 8% not expressing an opinion.

The day after the election, a poll conducted by CSA for Le Parisien
Le Parisien
Le Parisien is a French daily newspaper covering both international and national news, and local news of Paris and its suburbs. It was established as Le Parisien libéré by Émilien Amaury in 1944, and the name was changed to the current one in 1986...

found that 84% of those polled were satisfied with the election of Obama, while 6% were dissatisfied and 10% expressed no opinion.

Germany

During the Democratic primary campaign, 43% of Germans supported Obama and 39% supported challenger Senator Hillary Clinton according to a poll by Forsa for Stern
Stern (magazine)
Stern is a weekly news magazine published in Germany. It was founded in 1948 by Henri Nannen, and is currently published by Gruner + Jahr, a subsidiary of Bertelsmann. In the first quarter of 2006, its print run was 1.019 million copies and it reached 7.84 million readers according to...

. In terms of the general election, a Forsa poll carried out on August 20-21 found 74% of respondents would vote for Obama, 11% for McCain, and 15% other or not sure.

Israel

The Rabin Center for Israel Studies commissioned a poll by TNS Teleseker in the months before the election, which found that 46.4% of those polled supported McCain, 34% supported Obama, and 18.6% were undecided.

Palestinian territories

A poll by the Palestinian Center for Public Opinion taken September 1-10 reported 33.5% of respondents favoring McCain, 27.7% Obama, 30.4% neither, and 8.3% unsure.
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