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Saros cycle

 
Saros Cycle

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Saros cycle



 
 
The Saros cycle is an eclipse cycle
Eclipse cycle

Eclipses may occur repeatedly, separated by certain intervals of time: these intervals are called eclipse cycles. The series of eclipses separated by a repeat of one of these intervals is called an eclipse series....
 with a period of about 18 years 11 days 8 hours (approximately 6585? days) that can be used to predict eclipse
Eclipse

An eclipse is an astronomical event that occurs when one celestial object moves into the shadow of another. The term is derived from the ancient Greek noun , from verb , "I cease to exist," a combination of prefix , from preposition , "out," and of verb , "I am absent"....
s of the Sun
Sun

The Sun , a G V star, is the star at the center of the Solar System. The Earth and other matter orbit the Sun, which by itself accounts for about 98.6% of the Solar System's mass....
 and Moon
Moon

The Moon is Earth's only natural satellite and the List of natural satellites by diameter satellite in the Solar System. The average centre-to-centre distance from the Earth to the Moon is km, about thirty times the diameter of the Earth....
. One cycle after an eclipse, the Sun, Earth
Earth

Earth is the third planet from the Sun. Earth is the largest of the terrestrial planets in the Solar System in diameter, mass and density. It is also referred to as the World and Wiktionary:Terra.Note that by International Astronomical Union convention, the term "Terra" is used for naming extensive land masses, rather...
, and Moon return to approximately the same relative geometry, and a nearly identical eclipse will occur west of the original location.

earliest discovered historical record of the Saros cycle is by the Chaldeans
Neo-Babylonian Empire

The term Neo-Babylonian or Chaldean refers to Babylonia under the rule of the 11th dynasty, from the revolt of Nabopolassar in 626 BC until the invasion of Cyrus the Great in 539 BC, notably including the reign of Nebuchadnezzar II....
 (ancient Babylonian astronomers) in the last several centuries BC, and was later known to Hipparchus
Hipparchus

Hipparchus, the common Latinization of the Greek Hipparkhos, can mean:* Hipparchus, the ancient Greek astronomer** Hipparchic cycle, an astronomical cycle he created...
, Pliny
Pliny the Elder

Gaius Plinius Secundus , better known as Pliny the Elder, was an ancient author, naturalist or natural philosopher and naval and military commander of some importance who wrote Natural History ....
 (Naturalis Historia II.10[56]) and Ptolemy
Ptolemy

Claudius Ptolemaeus , known in English as Ptolemy , was a Roman Greek mathematics, Greek astronomy, geographer and astrologer. He lived in History of Roman Egypt, and was probably born there in a town in the Thebaid called Ptolemais Hermiou; he died in Alexandria around 168 AD....
 (Almagest
Almagest

Almagest is the Latin form of the Arabic language name of a mathematical and astronomical treatise proposing the complex motions of the stars and planetary paths, originally written in Greek language as by Ptolemy of Alexandria, Egypt, written in the 2nd century....
 IV.2), but under different names.






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Encyclopedia


The Saros cycle is an eclipse cycle
Eclipse cycle

Eclipses may occur repeatedly, separated by certain intervals of time: these intervals are called eclipse cycles. The series of eclipses separated by a repeat of one of these intervals is called an eclipse series....
 with a period of about 18 years 11 days 8 hours (approximately 6585? days) that can be used to predict eclipse
Eclipse

An eclipse is an astronomical event that occurs when one celestial object moves into the shadow of another. The term is derived from the ancient Greek noun , from verb , "I cease to exist," a combination of prefix , from preposition , "out," and of verb , "I am absent"....
s of the Sun
Sun

The Sun , a G V star, is the star at the center of the Solar System. The Earth and other matter orbit the Sun, which by itself accounts for about 98.6% of the Solar System's mass....
 and Moon
Moon

The Moon is Earth's only natural satellite and the List of natural satellites by diameter satellite in the Solar System. The average centre-to-centre distance from the Earth to the Moon is km, about thirty times the diameter of the Earth....
. One cycle after an eclipse, the Sun, Earth
Earth

Earth is the third planet from the Sun. Earth is the largest of the terrestrial planets in the Solar System in diameter, mass and density. It is also referred to as the World and Wiktionary:Terra.Note that by International Astronomical Union convention, the term "Terra" is used for naming extensive land masses, rather...
, and Moon return to approximately the same relative geometry, and a nearly identical eclipse will occur west of the original location.

History

The earliest discovered historical record of the Saros cycle is by the Chaldeans
Neo-Babylonian Empire

The term Neo-Babylonian or Chaldean refers to Babylonia under the rule of the 11th dynasty, from the revolt of Nabopolassar in 626 BC until the invasion of Cyrus the Great in 539 BC, notably including the reign of Nebuchadnezzar II....
 (ancient Babylonian astronomers) in the last several centuries BC, and was later known to Hipparchus
Hipparchus

Hipparchus, the common Latinization of the Greek Hipparkhos, can mean:* Hipparchus, the ancient Greek astronomer** Hipparchic cycle, an astronomical cycle he created...
, Pliny
Pliny the Elder

Gaius Plinius Secundus , better known as Pliny the Elder, was an ancient author, naturalist or natural philosopher and naval and military commander of some importance who wrote Natural History ....
 (Naturalis Historia II.10[56]) and Ptolemy
Ptolemy

Claudius Ptolemaeus , known in English as Ptolemy , was a Roman Greek mathematics, Greek astronomy, geographer and astrologer. He lived in History of Roman Egypt, and was probably born there in a town in the Thebaid called Ptolemais Hermiou; he died in Alexandria around 168 AD....
 (Almagest
Almagest

Almagest is the Latin form of the Arabic language name of a mathematical and astronomical treatise proposing the complex motions of the stars and planetary paths, originally written in Greek language as by Ptolemy of Alexandria, Egypt, written in the 2nd century....
 IV.2), but under different names. The name "saros" was first given to the eclipse cycle by Edmond Halley
Edmond Halley

Edmond Halley Royal Society was an English astronomer, geophysicist, mathematician, meteorologist, and physicist.Biography and career ...
 in 1691, who took it from the Suda
Suda

The Suda or Souda is a massive 10th century Byzantine Empire Medieval Greek historical encyclopedia of the ancient Mediterranean world. It is an Encyclopedia lexicon with 30,000 entries, many drawing from ancient sources that have since been lost, and often derived from medieval Christian compilers....
, a Byzantine lexicon of the 11th century. Although Halley's naming error was pointed out by Guillaume Le Gentil
Guillaume Le Gentil

Guillaume Joseph Hyacinthe Jean-Baptiste Le Gentil de la Galaisi?re was a French astronomer....
 in 1756, the name continues to be used.

Origin from SAR

The Sumerian/Babylonian word "SAR" was a unit of measure, and as a number appears to have had a value of 3600. From Egypt to the Hindus River, both ancient Greek and oriental Bible chronologists placed the Sar (3600 years) of 300-year Babylon as The Venus Tablet in Adam's year 3600 (either 1900/1600 BC) from the known Epochs 5500/5200 BC debating it as the start or end of Babylon. (Actual tablet is 1625 BC for an 1894-1594 BC Babylon.) Earlier yet, both Genesis and Ramses Papyrus Canon also show indications of reconstruction using 3600 new moons (291 Julian years less one week = 15,184 weeks for 3599 synodic months) for several significant years. The most notable being, the last year of the 12th dynasty (1991 BC) is 1786 BC (Parker, 206 of 213 years) measures this lunar Saros from the lunar year 2078 Jan 7 to Dec 25 (Christmas dates affiliated with Osiris perhaps ho-Saros). The significance here could be with Haran who is affiliated with the city Harran and the city Ur, both of which had identical lunar observatories, ziggurats, temple plans. Genesis says Haran was born 291 years after the Flood. The earliest use of the Sar is then before the Flood where Babylon's high priest Berorsus (and sumerian texts) translate its 3600 days (10-year decade) as 3600 years so that king Alulim rules 28,800 years instead of days which total 80 years. This is comparable to Hindu who translate 432,000 as years instead of days so that it is 1200x 360 years rather than 1200x 360 days. It is because the Calendar Sar is regarded as The Leader, that it was said to be King. The Calendar or element of time will always be king over kings, and so king of kings were also called Sar. This connects the whole scenario story of why the sun, the moon, and rebirth as in eclipses. Two eclipses are known to have reborn or renewed kingship; 817 BC May 13 renewing Assur-Dan and Uzziah, and 763 BC June 15 renewing Jotham with Ahaz, and Pul as Tiglath-pileser.

Description

The Saros cycle of 18 years 11 days 8 hours is very useful for predicting the times at which nearly identical eclipses will occur, and is intimately related to three periodicities of the lunar orbit: the synodic month, the draconic month, and the anomalistic month. For an eclipse to occur, either the Moon must be located between the Earth and Sun (for a solar eclipse
Solar eclipse

A solar eclipse occurs when the Moon passes between the Sun and the Earth so that the Sun is wholly or partially obscured. This can only happen during a new moon, when the Sun and Moon are in conjunction as seen from the Earth....
) or the Earth must be located between the Sun and Moon (for a lunar eclipse
Lunar eclipse

A lunar eclipse occurs whenever the Moon passes through some portion of the Earth's shadow. This can occur only when the Sun, Earth, and Moon are aligned exactly, or very closely so, with the Earth in the middle....
). This can happen only when the Moon is new
New moon

In astronomical terminology, the new moon is the lunar phase that occurs when the Moon, in its monthly orbital motion around Earth, lies between Earth and the Sun, and is therefore in Conjunction with the Sun as seen from Earth....
 or full
Full moon

Full moon is a lunar phase that occurs when the Moon is on the opposite side of the Earth from the Sun. More precisely, a full moon occurs when the geocentric apparent longitudes of the Sun and Moon differ by 180 degrees; the Moon is then in opposition with the Sun....
, and repeat occurrences of these lunar phase
Lunar phase

Lunar phase refers to the appearance of the illuminated portion of the Moon as seen by an observer, usually on Earth. The lunar phases vary cyclically as the Moon orbits the Earth, according to the changing relative positions of the Earth, Moon, and Sun....
s are controlled by the Moon's synodic period, which is about 29.53 days. Most of the times during a full and new moon, however, the shadow of the Earth or Moon falls to the north or south of the other body. Thus, if an eclipse is to occur, the three bodies must also be nearly in a straight line. This condition occurs only when the Moon passes close to the ecliptic plane and is at one of its two nodes
Lunar node

The lunar nodes are the orbital nodes of the Moon, that is, the points where the Planetary orbit of the Moon crosses the ecliptic . The ascending node is where the moon crosses to the north of the ecliptic....
 (the ascending or descending node). The period of time for two successive passes of the ecliptic plane at the same node is given by the draconic month, which is 27.21 days. Finally, if two eclipses are to have the same appearance and duration, then the distance between the Earth and Moon must be the same for both events. The time it takes the Moon to orbit the Earth once and return to the same distance is given by the anomalistic month, which has a period of 27.55 days.

The origin of the Saros cycle comes from the recognition that 223 synodic months is approximately equal to 242 draconic months, which is approximately equal to 239 anomalistic months (this approximation is good to within about 2 hours). What this means is that after one Saros cycle, the Moon will have completed roughly an integer number of synodic, draconic, and anomalistic months, and the Earth-Sun-Moon geometry will be nearly identical: the Moon will have the same phase, be at the same node, and have the same distance from the Earth. If one knew the date of an eclipse, then one Saros later, a nearly identical eclipse should occur. However, the Saros cycle (18.031 years) is not equal to the precessional period of the lunar orbit (18.60 years). Therefore, even though the relative geometry of the Earth-Sun-Moon system will be nearly identical, the Moon will be in a different position with respect to the fixed stars.

A complication with the Saros cycle is that its period is not an integer number of days, but contains a fraction of ? of a day. Thus, as a result of the Earth's rotation, for each successive Saros cycle, an eclipse will occur about 8 hours later in the day. In the case of an eclipse of the Sun, this means that the region of visibility will shift westward by 120°, or one third of the way around the globe, and the two eclipses will thus not be visible from the same place on Earth. In the case of an eclipse of the Moon, the next eclipse might still be visible from the same location as long as the Moon is above the horizon. However, if one waits three Saros cycles, the local time of day of an eclipse will be nearly the same. This period of three Saros cycles (54 years 1 month, or almost 19756 full days), is known as a Triple Saros or exeligmos (Greek
Greek language

Greek is an Indo-European languages native to the southern Balkan peninsula, the language of the Greek people. It forms an independent branch within Indo-European....
: "turn of the wheel").

Saros Series


As described above, the Saros cycle is based on the recognition that 223 synodic months is to a good approximation equal to 242 draconic months and 239 anomalistic months. However, as this relationship is not perfect, the geometry of two eclipses separated by one Saros cycle will differ slightly. In particular, the place where the Sun and Moon come in conjunction shifts westward by about 0.5° with respect to the Moon's nodes every Saros cycle, and this gives rise to a series of eclipses, called a Saros series, that slowly change in appearance.

Each Saros series starts with a partial eclipse, and each successive Saros cycle the path of the Moon is shifted either northward (when near the descending node) or southward (when near the ascending node). At some point, eclipses are no longer possible and the series terminates. For solar eclipses the statistics for the complete Saros series within the era between 2000 BCE and 3000 CE are as follows. The series last from about 1226 to 1550 years, which corresponds to 69 to 87 eclipses; most series have 71 or 72 eclipses. From 39 to 59 (mostly about 43) eclipses in a given series will be central (that is, total, annular, or hybrid annular-total). Lunar eclipse series are not as long-lived. At any given time, approximately 40 different Saros series will be in progress.

Saros series are numbered according to the type of eclipse (solar or lunar) and whether they occur at the Moon's ascending or descending node. Odd numbers are used for solar eclipses occurring near the ascending node, whereas even numbers are given to descending node solar eclipses. For lunar eclipses, this numbering scheme is reversed. The ordering of these series is determined by the time at which each series peaks, which corresponds to when an eclipse is closest to one of the lunar nodes. For solar eclipses, (in 2003) the 39 series numbered between 117 and 155 are active, whereas for lunar eclipses, there are now 41 active Saros series.

Example: Lunar Saros 131

Saros 131 lunar eclipse dates
May 10, 1427 First penumbral
(southern edge of shadow)
...intervening penumbral eclipses omitted...
July 25, 1553 First partial umbral
...intervening partial eclipses omitted...
March 22, 1932 Final partial umbral
April 2, 1950 First total 20:44 UT
April 13, 1968 4:47 UT
April 24, 1986 12:43 UT
May 4, 2004 20:30 UT
May 16, 2022 4:11 UT
May 26, 2040 11:45 UT
June 6, 2058 19:14 UT
June 17, 2076 Central 2:37 UT
June 28, 2094 9:59 UT
July 8, 2112 17:16 UT
July 21, 2130 00:34 UT
July 31, 2148 07:51 UT
August 11, 2166 15:11 UT
August 21, 2184 22:32 UT
September 3, 2202 Last total 05:59 UT
September 13, 2220 First partial umbral
...intervening partial eclipses omitted...
April 9, 2563 Last partial umbral
...intervening penumbral eclipses omitted...
July 7, 2707 Last penumbral
(northern edge of shadow)
As an example of a single Saros series, the accompanying table gives the dates of lunar eclipses for Saros series 131. This eclipse series began in AD 1427 with a partial eclipse at the southern edge of the Earth's shadow when the Moon was close to its descending node. Each successive Saros cycle, the Moon's orbital path is shifted northward with respect to the Earth's shadow, with the first total eclipse occurring in 1950. For the following 252 years, total eclipses occur, with the central eclipse being predicted to occur in 2078. The first partial eclipse after this is predicted to occur in the year 2220, and the final partial eclipse of the series will occur in 2707. The total lifetime of the lunar Saros series 131 is 1280 years.

Because of the ? fraction of days in a Saros cycle, the visibility of each eclipse will differ for an observer at a given fixed locale. For the lunar Saros series 131, the first total eclipse of 1950 had its best visibility for viewers in Eastern Europe and the Middle East because mid-eclipse was at 20:44 UT. The following eclipse in the series occurred approximately 8 hours later in the day with mid-eclipse at 4:47 UT, and was best seen from North America and South America. The third total eclipse occurred approximately 8 hours later in the day than the second eclipse with mid-eclipse at 12:43 UT, and had its best visibility for viewers in the Western Pacific, East Asia, Australia and New Zealand. This cycle of visibility repeats from the initiation to termination of the series, with minor variations.

See also

  • List of Saros series for lunar eclipses
    List of Saros series for lunar eclipses

    Lunar eclipses are grouped by their Saros cycle, each series lasts between 1200 and 1500 years and contains 70-85 lunar eclipses. Each series begins with a set of penumbral lunar eclipses, and progresses to partial eclipses, crossing into total eclipses and ending with partials and penumbral eclipses....
  • Eclipse cycle
    Eclipse cycle

    Eclipses may occur repeatedly, separated by certain intervals of time: these intervals are called eclipse cycles. The series of eclipses separated by a repeat of one of these intervals is called an eclipse series....
  • Solar eclipse
    Solar eclipse

    A solar eclipse occurs when the Moon passes between the Sun and the Earth so that the Sun is wholly or partially obscured. This can only happen during a new moon, when the Sun and Moon are in conjunction as seen from the Earth....
  • Lunar eclipse
    Lunar eclipse

    A lunar eclipse occurs whenever the Moon passes through some portion of the Earth's shadow. This can occur only when the Sun, Earth, and Moon are aligned exactly, or very closely so, with the Earth in the middle....
  • Metonic cycle
    Metonic cycle

    The Metonic cycle or Enneadecaeteris in astronomy and calendar studies is a particular approximate Least common multiple of the tropical year and the Month#Synodic month....


External links

  • -- here one can search 5,000 years of eclipse data by type, magnitude, Saros number or simply by year.