United States Senate election in Ohio, 2010
Encyclopedia
The 2010 United States Senate election in Ohio was held on November 2, 2010, as one of many Ohio elections in 2010. Incumbent two-term Republican
Republican Party (United States)
The Republican Party is one of the two major contemporary political parties in the United States, along with the Democratic Party. Founded by anti-slavery expansion activists in 1854, it is often called the GOP . The party's platform generally reflects American conservatism in the U.S...

 U.S. Senator George Voinovich
George Voinovich
George Victor Voinovich is a former United States Senator from the state of Ohio, and a member of the Republican Party. Previously, he served as the 65th Governor of Ohio from 1991 to 1998, and as the 54th mayor of Cleveland from 1980 to 1989.-Personal life:Born in Cleveland, Ohio, his father was...

 decided to retire instead of seeking a third term. Republican Rob Portman
Rob Portman
Robert Jones "Rob" Portman is the junior United States Senator from Ohio. He is a member of the Republican Party. He succeeded retiring Senator George Voinovich....

 won the open seat.

Background

Congressman Tim Ryan, Secretary of State
Ohio Secretary of State
The Secretary of State is responsible for overseeing elections in the State of Ohio. The Secretary of State also is responsible for registering business entities and granting them the authority to do business within the state, registering secured transactions, and granting access to public...

 Jennifer Brunner
Jennifer Brunner
Jennifer Lee Brunner is an American politician of the Democratic Party who served as the Ohio Secretary of State. Brunner was the first woman to serve in this capacity. She took office after sixteen years of Republican control, which included two four-year terms by her predecessor J. Kenneth...

, and Lieutenant Governor
Lieutenant Governor of Ohio
The position of lieutenant governor of Ohio was established in 1852. The lieutenant governor becomes governor if the governor resigns, dies in office or is removed by impeachment. Before 1852, the president of the Ohio State Senate would serve as acting governor if a vacancy in the governorship...

 Lee Fisher
Lee Fisher
Lee Fisher was the 64th Lieutenant Governor of Ohio, who served with Governor Ted Strickland from 2007 until 2011.He is a member of the Democratic Party.In addition to serving as Lt...

 were considered leading contenders to run against George Voinovich. Ohio Governor Ted Strickland
Ted Strickland
Theodore "Ted" Strickland was the 68th Governor of Ohio, serving from 2007 to 2011. A member of the Democratic Party, he previously served in the United States House of Representatives, representing ....

 urged Jennifer Brunner to run for re-election rather than run for the Senate. Cuyahoga County Commissioner Peter Lawson Jones
Peter Lawson Jones
Peter Lawson Jones is an African American politician of the Democratic party. A resident of Shaker Heights, Ohio, he currently serves as a county commissioner in Cuyahoga County....

 and Ohio State Representative
Ohio House of Representatives
The Ohio House of Representatives is the lower house of the Ohio General Assembly, the state legislature of the U.S. state of Ohio; the other house of the bicameral legislature being the Ohio Senate....

 Tyrone Yates
Tyrone Yates
Tyrone Keith Yates is a Hamilton County Municipal Court Judge. He was elected on November 8, 2011. He was unopposed to fill the unexpired term of Judge Nadine Lovelace Allen who was elected to the Hamilton County Court of Common Pleas. His new term runs until January 1, 2014. He was appointed...

 considered running, but both withdrew from consideration.

Candidates

  • Lee Fisher
    Lee Fisher
    Lee Fisher was the 64th Lieutenant Governor of Ohio, who served with Governor Ted Strickland from 2007 until 2011.He is a member of the Democratic Party.In addition to serving as Lt...

    , Lieutenant Governor
    Lieutenant Governor of Ohio
    The position of lieutenant governor of Ohio was established in 1852. The lieutenant governor becomes governor if the governor resigns, dies in office or is removed by impeachment. Before 1852, the president of the Ohio State Senate would serve as acting governor if a vacancy in the governorship...

  • Jennifer Brunner
    Jennifer Brunner
    Jennifer Lee Brunner is an American politician of the Democratic Party who served as the Ohio Secretary of State. Brunner was the first woman to serve in this capacity. She took office after sixteen years of Republican control, which included two four-year terms by her predecessor J. Kenneth...

    , Secretary of State
    Ohio Secretary of State
    The Secretary of State is responsible for overseeing elections in the State of Ohio. The Secretary of State also is responsible for registering business entities and granting them the authority to do business within the state, registering secured transactions, and granting access to public...


Campaign

On February 17, 2009, Brunner and Fisher both officially announced their candidacies for the now-open seat election, with Strickland officially endorsing Fisher. Ryan declined to run and endorsed Fisher in July.

Fisher has been endorsed by Governor Ted Strickland
Ted Strickland
Theodore "Ted" Strickland was the 68th Governor of Ohio, serving from 2007 to 2011. A member of the Democratic Party, he previously served in the United States House of Representatives, representing ....

 and U.S. Representatives John Boccieri
John Boccieri
John Boccieri is a one-term U.S. Representative for , serving from 2009 until 2011. He was defeated by Republican Jim Renacci on November 2, 2010. He is a member of the Democratic Party. He previously served in the Ohio Senate and the Ohio House of Representatives.-Early life and career:Boccieri...

, Tim Ryan, Zack Space
Zack Space
Zachary T. "Zack" Space is an American politician and the former U.S. Representative for , serving from 2007 until 2011. He is a member of the Democratic Party.-Early life, education and career:...

, and Charlie Wilson
Charlie Wilson (Ohio politician)
Charles A. "Charlie" Wilson is the former U.S. Representative for . He is a member of the Democratic Party. He previously served in the Ohio State Senate and the Ohio House of Representatives...

.

Polling in late 2009 and January 2010 showed Brunner to be more competitive than Fisher in a general election matchup against Portman, while Fisher and Brunner were deadlocked in Democratic primary polling.

Charlene Renee Bradley and Traci Johnson also filed to run in the Democratic primary.

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Jennifer Brunner Lee Fisher Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University January 29-Feb. 2, 2009 492 ± 4.4% 16% 18% 14% 53%
Quinnipiac University March 10–15, 2009 506 ± 4.4% 14% 18% 1% 46%
Quinnipiac University April 28-May 4, 2009 437 ± 4.7% 16% 20% 1% 59%
Quinnipiac University June 26-July 1, 2009 483 ± 4.5% 21% 24% 2% 51%
Research 2000 July 6–8, 2009 400 ± 5.0% 17% 22% 61%
Quinnipiac University September 10–13, 2009 421 ± 4.8% 17% 26% 2% 55%
Quinnipiac University November 5–9, 2009 394 ± 4.9% 22% 24% 1% 51%
Quinnipiac University February 16–21, 2010 604 ± 4.0% 20% 29% 2% 48%
Quinnipiac University March 25–28, 2010 978 ± 3.1% 26% 33% 1% 40%
Research 2000 April 5–7, 2010 400 ± 4.0% 26% 35% 39%
Quinnipiac University April 22–26, 2010 987 ± 3.1% 24% 41% 1% 34%
Suffolk University April 27–29, 2010 400 ± 4.9% 27% 55% 18%
Quinnipiac University April 29-May 2, 2010 980 ± 3.1% 23% 43% 1% 32%

Results

Background

With rumors circulating about Voinovich's possible retirement, former Director of the Office of Management and Budget, United States Trade Representative, and Congressman
Ohio's 2nd congressional district
Ohio's 2nd congressional district is a district in southern Ohio. It is currently represented by Jean Schmidt.The district stretches along the Ohio River from the Hamilton County suburbs of Cincinnati east to Scioto County...

 Rob Portman
Rob Portman
Robert Jones "Rob" Portman is the junior United States Senator from Ohio. He is a member of the Republican Party. He succeeded retiring Senator George Voinovich....

 and State Auditor
Ohio State Auditor
The Ohio State Auditor is responsible for auditing all the public offices of the state of Ohio. The auditor is elected to a four-year term. The current Auditor is Dave Yost....

 Mary Taylor
Mary Taylor (Ohio politician)
Mary Taylor is the 65th and current Lieutenant Governor of Ohio.-Early life and business career:Taylor was born in 1961. She attended the Springfield Township school system. She attended the University of Akron, obtaining a Bachelor degree in Accounting and Master's degree in Taxation...

 were considered the main contenders for the Republican nomination. Former Ohio Secretary of State
Ohio Secretary of State
The Secretary of State is responsible for overseeing elections in the State of Ohio. The Secretary of State also is responsible for registering business entities and granting them the authority to do business within the state, registering secured transactions, and granting access to public...

 Ken Blackwell
Ken Blackwell
John Kenneth Blackwell is an American politician and activist who served as the mayor of Cincinnati, Ohio from 1979 to 1980 and Ohio Secretary of State from 1999 to 2007. A Republican, he was the first African-American to be the candidate for governor of a major party in Ohio. In 2006, Blackwell...

 was also considered a potential candidate, but declined in order to run for chairman of the Republican National Committee
Republican National Committee
The Republican National Committee is an American political committee that provides national leadership for the Republican Party of the United States. It is responsible for developing and promoting the Republican political platform, as well as coordinating fundraising and election strategy. It is...

.

Campaign

When Voinovich made his retirement official, Portman declared his candidacy the next day. Thomas Ganley, a Cleveland car dealer, launched his campaign for the nomination in April, after Portman had collected support from most of the Ohio Republican establishment. Taylor officially declined to run in May and was announced as gubernatorial
Ohio gubernatorial election, 2010
The 2010 Ohio gubernatorial election took place on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Governor Ted Strickland, a Democrat, was defeated by former Republican House Budget Chairman John Kasich.-Background:...

 candidate John Kasich
John Kasich
John Richard Kasich is the 69th and current Governor of Ohio. A member of the Republican Party, he previously served as a member of the United States House of Representatives, representing from 1983 to 2001...

's running mate on January 12, 2010

Ganley was the only other declared candidate, but on February 17, 2010, he announced that he would switch races and run against Betty Sutton
Betty Sutton
Betty Sue Sutton is the U.S. Representative for , serving since 2007. She is a member of the Democratic Party.The district includes most of the western and southern suburbs of Cleveland, and includes North Royalton, Akron, Lorain, Elyria, Strongsville, Avon and Cuyahoga Falls.-Early life and...

 in Ohio's 13th congressional district
Ohio's 13th congressional district
The 13th congressional district of Ohio is represented by Representative Betty Sutton, who defeated Republican Craig L. Foltin on Nov. 7, 2006. It was formerly represented by Sherrod Brown...

 instead, leaving Portman as the only Republican candidate. He had over $7 million dollars in campaign funds.

Results

Candidates

  • Rob Portman
    Rob Portman
    Robert Jones "Rob" Portman is the junior United States Senator from Ohio. He is a member of the Republican Party. He succeeded retiring Senator George Voinovich....

     (R), former U.S. Congressman and Cabinet member for George W. Bush
    George W. Bush
    George Walker Bush is an American politician who served as the 43rd President of the United States, from 2001 to 2009. Before that, he was the 46th Governor of Texas, having served from 1995 to 2000....

  • Lee Fisher
    Lee Fisher
    Lee Fisher was the 64th Lieutenant Governor of Ohio, who served with Governor Ted Strickland from 2007 until 2011.He is a member of the Democratic Party.In addition to serving as Lt...

     (D), Lieutenant Governor
    Lieutenant Governor of Ohio
    The position of lieutenant governor of Ohio was established in 1852. The lieutenant governor becomes governor if the governor resigns, dies in office or is removed by impeachment. Before 1852, the president of the Ohio State Senate would serve as acting governor if a vacancy in the governorship...

    , former Ohio Attorney General, former State Senator, and former State Representative
  • Dan La Botz
    Dan La Botz
    Daniel H. La Botz is a prominent American labor union activist, academic, journalist, and author. He was a co-founder of Teamsters for a Democratic Union and has written extensively on worker rights in the United States and Mexico...

     (Socialist Party
    Socialist Party USA
    The Socialist Party USA is a multi-tendency democratic-socialist party in the United States. The party states that it is the rightful continuation and successor to the tradition of the Socialist Party of America, which had lasted from 1901 to 1972.The party is officially committed to left-wing...

    )
  • Eric Deaton (Constitution Party
    Constitution Party (United States)
    The Constitution Party is a paleoconservative political party in the United States. It was founded as the U.S. Taxpayers' Party by Howard Philips in 1991. Phillips was the party's candidate in the 1992, 1996 and 2000 presidential elections...

    )
  • Michael Pryce (Independent)

Campaign

When the incumbent announced he would retire, Portman jumped into the race in early 2009. During the two-year time period, Portman raised over $9 million. Originally, the election was seen as a toss up. His experience as a former Bush
George W. Bush
George Walker Bush is an American politician who served as the 43rd President of the United States, from 2001 to 2009. Before that, he was the 46th Governor of Texas, having served from 1995 to 2000....

 official was considered to be a big problem for Portman. Both President Barack Obama
Barack Obama
Barack Hussein Obama II is the 44th and current President of the United States. He is the first African American to hold the office. Obama previously served as a United States Senator from Illinois, from January 2005 until he resigned following his victory in the 2008 presidential election.Born in...

 and Vice President Joe Biden have campaigned for Fisher.

Television advertisements have been very negative. Fisher attacked Portman for helping to ship jobs overseas during his entire political career, backing deals that shipped jobs overseas, and the trade deficit with China, which grew by over $41 billion. Portman claimed in response that most jobs were being lost to other states, not countries. Portman has attacked Fisher for supporting Obama's stimulus and cap and trade
Emissions trading
Emissions trading is a market-based approach used to control pollution by providing economic incentives for achieving reductions in the emissions of pollutants....

.

Debates

Three debates were held in Cleveland, Columbus, and Toledo. The first one was in Toledo on October 5. The second one was in Cleveland on October 8, while the third was in Columbus on October 12.

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report
Cook Political Report
The Cook Political Report is an independent, non-partisan online newsletter that analyzes elections and campaigns for the United States House of Representatives, the United States Senate, Governor's offices and the American Presidency. The Cook Political Report is led by a staff of five...

Safe R October 22, 2010
Electoral-vote.com
Electoral-vote.com
Electoral-Vote.com is the website of computer scientist Andrew S. Tanenbaum. The site's primary content is poll analysis to project the outcome of U.S. elections. The site also includes commentary on related news stories. Well known for its color-coded electoral map of the United States, the...

Strong R October 21, 2010
FiveThirtyEight.com
FiveThirtyEight.com
FiveThirtyEight is a polling aggregation website with a blog created by Nate Silver. Sometimes colloquially referred to as 538 dot com or just 538, the website takes its name from the number of electors in the United States electoral college...

R October 21, 2010
Rothenberg
Stuart Rothenberg
Stuart Rothenberg is an American editor, publisher, and political analyst best known for his Washington-based, biweekly, self-proclaimed non-partisan political newsletter The Rothenberg Political Report...

R favored October 15, 2010
Swing State Project Safe R
RealClearPolitics
RealClearPolitics
RealClearPolitics is a political news and polling data aggregator based in Chicago, Illinois. The site's founders say their goal is to give readers "ideological diversity." They have described themselves as frustrated with what they perceive as anti-conservative, anti-Christian media bias, and...

Solid R October 22, 2010
Rasmussen Reports
Rasmussen Reports
Rasmussen Reports is an American media company that publishes and distributes information based on public opinion polling. Founded by pollster Scott Rasmussen in 2003, the company updates daily indexes including the President's job approval rating, and provides public opinion data, analysis, and...

Solid R October 20, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Sabato’s Crystal Ball is a free, nonpartisan weekly online newsletter and comprehensive website in the United States that analyzes the current American political scene and predicts electoral outcomes for U.S House of Representatives, U.S. Senate, governors, and U.S. president races...

Likely R October 21, 2010
CQ Politics
Congressional Quarterly
Congressional Quarterly, Inc., or CQ, is a privately owned publishing company that produces a number of publications reporting primarily on the United States Congress...

Safe R October 22, 2010

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Lee Fisher (D) Rob Portman (R) Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (report) January 17–18, 2009 578 ± 4.1% 39% 41% 20%
Quinnipiac University (report) January 29-Feb. 2, 2009 1,127 ± 2.9% 42% 27% 1% 29%
Quinnipiac University (report) March 10–15, 2009 1,299 ± 2.7% 41% 33% 1% 24%
Quinnipiac University (report) April 28-May 4, 2009 1,079 ± 3.0% 42% 31% 1% 26%
Public Policy Polling (report) June 17–19, 2009 619 ± 3.9% 41% 32% 27%
Quinnipiac University (report) June 26-July 1, 2009 1,259 ± 2.8% 37% 33% 2% 26%
Research 2000 (report) July 6–8, 2009 400 ± 5.0% 42% 35% 23%
Quinnipiac University (report) September 10–13, 2009 1,074 ± 3.0% 42% 31% 1% 26%
Rasmussen Reports (report) September 23, 2009 500 ± 4.5% 40% 41% 6% 14%
Quinnipiac University (report) November 5–9, 2009 1,123 ± 2.9% 36% 39% 24%
Rasmussen Reports (report) December 7, 2009 500 ± 4.5% 36% 38% 8% 18%
Rasmussen Reports (report) January 12, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 37% 44% 4% 14%
Rasmussen Reports (report) February 5–6, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 39% 43% 5% 13%
Quinnipiac University (report) February 16–21, 2010 1,662 ± 2.4% 37% 40% 2% 21%
Rasmussen Reports (report) March 4, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 39% 44% 5% 12%
Public Policy Polling (report) March 20–21, 2010 630 ± 3.9% 36% 41% 23%
Quinnipiac (report) March 23–29, 2010 1,526 ± 2.5% 41% 37% 1% 21%
Rasmussen Reports (report) March 30, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 38% 43% 4% 14%
Research 2000 (report) April 5–7, 2010 600 ± 4.0% 43% 39% 18%
Quinnipiac Polling (report) April 21–26, 2010 1,568 ± 2.5% 40% 37% 1% 21%
Rasmussen Reports (report) May 7, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 43% 42% 4% 14%
UC/The Ohio Poll (report) May 11–20, 2010 668 ± 3.8% 47% 46% 6%
Rasmussen Reports (report) June 3, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 43% 43% 4% 10%
Quinnipiac Polling (report) June 22–27, 2010 1,107 ± 3.0% 42% 40% 1% 17%
Public Policy Polling (report) June 26–27, 2010 482 ± 4.5% 40% 38% –– 22%
Rasmussen Reports (report) June 29, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 39% 43% 4% 13%
Rasmussen Reports (report) July 19, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 39% 45% 5% 11%
Rasmussen Reports (report) August 2, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 40% 44% 5% 11%
Reuters/Ipsos (report) August 6–8, 2010 600 ± 4.0% 36% 43% 21%
Rasmussen Reports (report) August 16, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 37% 45% 5% 13%
Public Policy Polling (report) August 27–29, 2010 475 ± 4.5% 38% 45% 18%
Rasmussen Reports (report) August 30, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 39% 44% 7% 11%
The Columbus Dispatch (report) August 25-Sept. 3, 2010 1,622 ± 2.2% 37% 50% 3% 9%
Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research (report) September 11, 2010 1,000 ± 3.0% 41% 48% 3% 8%
Rasmussen Reports (report) September 13, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 41% 49% 2% 8%
CNN/Time Magazine (report) September 10–14, 2010 820 ± 3.5% 41% 52% 4% 2%
SurveyUSA (report) September 14, 2010 1000 ± 4.0% 40% 49% 7% 4%
Quinnipiac University (report) September 17, 2010 730 ± 3.6% 35% 55% 1%
Ohio Newspapers Poll/UC (report) September 24, 2010 850 ± 4.0% 40% 55% 5%
Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research (report) September 25, 2010 1,000 ± 3.0% 37% 50% 3% 11%
CBS/NY Times report) September 23–27, 2010 941 ± 3.0% 34% 45% 18%
Reuters/Ipsos report) September 23–25, 2010 440 ± 3.0% 37% 50% 13%
Rasmussen Reports (report) September 27, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 42% 51% 1% 6%
Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research (report) October 2, 2010 1,000 ± 3.0% 37% 53% 2% 8%
Quinnipiac University (report) September 29-Oct. 3, 2010 1,025 ± 3.1% 36% 55%
Angus Reid Public Opinion (report) Oct. 5-8, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 43% 52% 6%
Rasmussen Reports (report) October 11, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 34% 57% 2% 7%
University of Cincinnati (report) October 8–13, 2010 705 ± 3.7% 36% 58% 1% 6%
Quinnipiac University (report) October 12–17, 2010 1,183 ± 2.8% 34% 55% 1% 10%
University of Cincinnati (report) October 14–18, 2010 839 ± 3.3% 39% 58% 0% 3%
CNN/Time/Opinion Research (report) October 15–19, 2010 1,502 ± 2.5% 40% 55% 2% 3%
Quinnipiac University (report) October 20, 2010 686 ± 2.5% 34% 55% 2%
Wilson Research Strategies (report) October 20–21, 2010 500 ± 3.0% 38% 49% 8%
SurveyUSA (report) October 22–26, 2010 950 ± 4.0% 37% 52% 4%
Rasmussen Reports (report) October 26, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 33% 57% 3% 7%
Columbus Dispatch (report) October 20–29, 2010 1,445 ± 2.3% 40% 56% 0% 4%
Quinnipiac University (report) October 25–30, 2010 848 ± 3.4% 37% 56% 1% 8%
Angus Reid Public Opinion (report) October 27–29, 2010 460 ± 4.6% 40% 57% 3%
Public Policy Polling (report) October 28–30, 2010 1,356 ± 2.7% 39% 57% 0% 4%
University of Cincinnati (report) October 27–31, 2010 930 ± 3.2% 39% 60% 0% 1%
University of Cincinnati (report) November 1, 2010 930 ± 3.2% 39% 61% 0% 0%

Fundraising

Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Lee Fisher (D) $6,191,361 $5,882,729 $308,631 $0
Rob Portman (R) $15,998,398 $10,493,211 $5,505,186 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission

Results

Winning the election, Portman received 57% of the votes. He received the majority of votes in 82 of 88 counties and in 15 of 18 Congressional districts, including the district of liberal U.S. Congressman Dennis Kucinich
Dennis Kucinich
Dennis John Kucinich is the U.S. Representative for , serving since 1997. He was furthermore a candidate for the Democratic nomination for President of the United States in the 2004 and 2008 presidential elections....

.

See also

  • Ohio elections, 2010
    Ohio elections, 2010
    Elections were held in Ohio on November 2, 2010. Primary elections took place on May 4, 2010 for the Democratic Party, Republican Party, Constitution Party, Green Party, Libertarian Party, and Socialist Party.- United States Senate:...

  • United States House of Representatives elections in Ohio, 2010
    United States House of Representatives elections in Ohio, 2010
    The 2010 congressional elections in Ohio will be held on November 2, 2010. Ohio has eighteen seats in the United States House of Representatives, and all eighteen incumbent Representatives will be seeking re-election in 2010...


External links


Official campaign websites
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