Krichevsky–Trofimov estimator
Encyclopedia
In information theory
Information theory
Information theory is a branch of applied mathematics and electrical engineering involving the quantification of information. Information theory was developed by Claude E. Shannon to find fundamental limits on signal processing operations such as compressing data and on reliably storing and...

, given an unknown stationary
Stationary process
In the mathematical sciences, a stationary process is a stochastic process whose joint probability distribution does not change when shifted in time or space...

 source π with alphabet A, and a sample w from π, the Krichevsky–Trofimov (KT) estimator produces an estimate πi(w) of the probabilities of each symbol i ∈ A. This estimator is optimal in the sense that it minimizes the worst-case regret
Regret (decision theory)
Regret is defined as the difference between the actual payoff and the payoff that would have been obtained if a different course of action had been chosen. This is also called difference regret...

.

For a binary alphabet, and a string w with m zeroes and n ones, the KT estimator can be defined recursively as:
The source of this article is wikipedia, the free encyclopedia.  The text of this article is licensed under the GFDL.
 
x
OK