Idaho gubernatorial election, 2010
Encyclopedia
The 2010 Idaho gubernatorial election was held on Tuesday, November 2, 2010 to elect the Governor of Idaho. Incumbent Republican
Republican Party (United States)
The Republican Party is one of the two major contemporary political parties in the United States, along with the Democratic Party. Founded by anti-slavery expansion activists in 1854, it is often called the GOP . The party's platform generally reflects American conservatism in the U.S...

 Governor Butch Otter won re-election, defeating his Democratic
Democratic Party (United States)
The Democratic Party is one of two major contemporary political parties in the United States, along with the Republican Party. The party's socially liberal and progressive platform is largely considered center-left in the U.S. political spectrum. The party has the lengthiest record of continuous...

 opponent Keith G. Allred
Keith G. Allred
Keith G. Allred, Ph.D. is the 2010 Democratic nominee for Governor of Idaho.Born in Redondo Beach, California, Allred grew up near Twin Falls, Idaho. He graduated from Twin Falls High School in 1983.After earning a Ph.D...

.

A former Lieutenant Governor
Lieutenant Governor of Idaho
Lieutenant Governor of Idaho is a constitutional statewide elected office in the State of Idaho. According to the Idaho Constitution, the lieutenant governor is elected to a four-year term....

 and U.S. Representative
United States House of Representatives
The United States House of Representatives is one of the two Houses of the United States Congress, the bicameral legislature which also includes the Senate.The composition and powers of the House are established in Article One of the Constitution...

, Otter won an open seat race in 2006
Idaho gubernatorial election, 2006
The Idaho gubernatorial election of 2006 was held on November 7, 2006. Incumbent Governor Jim Risch succeeded Dirk Kempthorne, who resigned May 26 to become Secretary of the Interior. Risch served as Governor until the end of the term, but had committed to a reelection campaign for Lieutenant...

 against Democratic Party
Democratic Party (United States)
The Democratic Party is one of two major contemporary political parties in the United States, along with the Republican Party. The party's socially liberal and progressive platform is largely considered center-left in the U.S. political spectrum. The party has the lengthiest record of continuous...

 nominee Jerry Brady
Jerry Brady
Jerry Michael Brady is an Idaho politician and owns a newspaper that is distributed in southeast Idaho...

 with 52.67% of the vote.

Candidates

  • Butch Otter, Governor of Idaho
  • Walt Bayes
  • Pete Peterson (endorsed independent
    Independent (politician)
    In politics, an independent or non-party politician is an individual not affiliated to any political party. Independents may hold a centrist viewpoint between those of major political parties, a viewpoint more extreme than any major party, or they may have a viewpoint based on issues that they do...

     candidate Jana Kemp, but still filed for the primary)
  • Rex Rammell
    Rex Rammell
    Rex Rammell is a conservative politician from Idaho. Rammell ran unsuccessfully in the 2008 Idaho senatorial election against Republican Jim Risch, polling 5.4% of the vote, and in 2009 announced that he would seek the Republican nomination for governor in the 2010 Idaho gubernatorial election. He...

    , veterinarian
    Veterinarian
    A veterinary physician, colloquially called a vet, shortened from veterinarian or veterinary surgeon , is a professional who treats disease, disorder and injury in animals....

    , conservative activist, and 2008
    United States Senate election in Idaho, 2008
    The 2008 United States Senate election in Idaho was held on November 4, 2008. The primary elections were held on May 27th. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Larry Craig decided to retire instead of seeking a fourth term...

     independent candidate for U.S. Senate
  • Sharon Ullman, Ada County
    Ada County, Idaho
    Ada County is a county in the southwestern part of the U.S. state of Idaho. As of the 2010 Census, the county had a population of 392,365. The county seat and largest city is Boise, which is also the state capital. Other cities in the county with over 10,000 residents include Meridian, Eagle,...

     Commissioner
  • Tamara Wells

Campaign

Both Rammell and Ullman sought support from followers of the Tea Party movement
Tea Party movement
The Tea Party movement is an American populist political movement that is generally recognized as conservative and libertarian, and has sponsored protests and supported political candidates since 2009...

 by criticizing Otter's 2009 attempt to raise Idaho's gas tax
Fuel tax
A fuel tax is an excise tax imposed on the sale of fuel. In most countries the fuel tax is imposed on fuels which are intended for transportation...

.

In August 2009, Rammell drew criticism for joking about buying a license
Hunting license
A hunting license is a regulatory or legal mechanism to control recreational and sports hunting.Hunting may be regulated informally by "unwritten law", "self restraint", or "morality" and by laws "enforced by government authority."...

 to hunt President Barack Obama
Barack Obama
Barack Hussein Obama II is the 44th and current President of the United States. He is the first African American to hold the office. Obama previously served as a United States Senator from Illinois, from January 2005 until he resigned following his victory in the 2008 presidential election.Born in...

.

Polling

Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Walt
Bayes
Butch
Otter
Ron"Pete"
Peterson
Rex
Rammell
Sharon
Ullman
Tamara
Wells
Un-
decided
Mason-Dixon (report) May 17–19, 2010 625 ± 4.0% 1% 60% 3% 6% 4% 1% 25%

Results

Candidates

  • Keith Allred
    Keith G. Allred
    Keith G. Allred, Ph.D. is the 2010 Democratic nominee for Governor of Idaho.Born in Redondo Beach, California, Allred grew up near Twin Falls, Idaho. He graduated from Twin Falls High School in 1983.After earning a Ph.D...

    , activist and mediator
  • Lee Chaney, laborer

Declined to run

  • Jerry Brady, the Democratic nominee in 2002 and 2006
    Idaho gubernatorial election, 2006
    The Idaho gubernatorial election of 2006 was held on November 7, 2006. Incumbent Governor Jim Risch succeeded Dirk Kempthorne, who resigned May 26 to become Secretary of the Interior. Risch served as Governor until the end of the term, but had committed to a reelection campaign for Lieutenant...

    , will be 74 in 2010 and declined to run again in 2010.

Results

Independents

  • Jana Kemp, former Republican state Representative
    Idaho House of Representatives
    The Idaho House of Representatives is the lower chamber of the Idaho State Legislature. It consists of 70 representatives elected to two-year terms and meets at the Idaho State Capitol in Boise, Idaho.-Composition of the House:...

  • Pro-Life, formerly known as Marvin Richardson, organic strawberry farmer, 2006 Constitution Party
    Constitution Party (United States)
    The Constitution Party is a paleoconservative political party in the United States. It was founded as the U.S. Taxpayers' Party by Howard Philips in 1991. Phillips was the party's candidate in the 1992, 1996 and 2000 presidential elections...

     gubernatorial candidate, and 2008
    United States Senate election in Idaho, 2008
    The 2008 United States Senate election in Idaho was held on November 4, 2008. The primary elections were held on May 27th. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Larry Craig decided to retire instead of seeking a fourth term...

     U.S. Senate candidate.

Campaign

Between January 1 and May 9, 2010, Allred led Otter in fundraising, having raised $241,000 to Otter's $193,000. Allred said, "We are picking up momentum and are right where we want to be." However, Otter limited his fundraising activity while the Idaho Legislature
Idaho Legislature
The Idaho Legislature is the state legislature of the U.S. state of Idaho. It consists of the upper Idaho Senate and the lower Idaho House of Representatives. The Idaho Senate contains 35 Senators, who are elected from 35 districts...

 was in session.

Allred has criticized Otter for backing cuts to public education spending, which led the Idaho Association of Commerce and Industry to launch a website attacking Allred.

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report
Cook Political Report
The Cook Political Report is an independent, non-partisan online newsletter that analyzes elections and campaigns for the United States House of Representatives, the United States Senate, Governor's offices and the American Presidency. The Cook Political Report is led by a staff of five...

Solid R September 30, 2010
Rothenberg
Stuart Rothenberg
Stuart Rothenberg is an American editor, publisher, and political analyst best known for his Washington-based, biweekly, self-proclaimed non-partisan political newsletter The Rothenberg Political Report...

Safe R October 15, 2010
Swing State Project Likely R
RealClearPolitics
RealClearPolitics
RealClearPolitics is a political news and polling data aggregator based in Chicago, Illinois. The site's founders say their goal is to give readers "ideological diversity." They have described themselves as frustrated with what they perceive as anti-conservative, anti-Christian media bias, and...

Safe R October 16, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Sabato’s Crystal Ball is a free, nonpartisan weekly online newsletter and comprehensive website in the United States that analyzes the current American political scene and predicts electoral outcomes for U.S House of Representatives, U.S. Senate, governors, and U.S. president races...

Likely R October 14, 2010
CQ Politics
Congressional Quarterly
Congressional Quarterly, Inc., or CQ, is a privately owned publishing company that produces a number of publications reporting primarily on the United States Congress...

Likely R October 16, 2010

Polling

Poll source Dates administered Butch Otter (R) Keith Allred (D)
Rasmussen Reports August 31, 2010 52% 36%
Rasmussen Reports July 15, 2010 53% 36%
Rasmussen Reports May 11, 2010 54% 32%
Rasmussen Reports March 23, 2010 60% 28%

Results

External links


Official campaign websites
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