Tasmanian state election, 2014
Encyclopedia
The next Tasmanian state election is scheduled to be held before March 2014. The 16-year incumbent Labor
Australian Labor Party
The Australian Labor Party is an Australian political party. It has been the governing party of the Commonwealth of Australia since the 2007 federal election. Julia Gillard is the party's federal parliamentary leader and Prime Minister of Australia...

 government, currently led by the Premier of Tasmania Lara Giddings
Lara Giddings
Larissa Tahireh "Lara" Giddings is an Australian politician and the 44th and current Premier of Tasmania since January 2011...

, will attempt to win a fifth consecutive term against the Liberal
Liberal Party of Australia
The Liberal Party of Australia is an Australian political party.Founded a year after the 1943 federal election to replace the United Australia Party, the centre-right Liberal Party typically competes with the centre-left Australian Labor Party for political office...

 opposition, led by Opposition Leader
Leader of the Opposition (Tasmania)
The role of Leader of the Opposition in Tasmania is a title held by the leader of the largest minority party in the state lower house, the Tasmanian House of Assembly. He or she acts as the public face of the opposition, leading the government on the floor of parliament...

 Will Hodgman
Will Hodgman
William Edward Felix Hodgman , is an Australian politician, and is the leader of the opposition Liberal Party in Tasmania....

. Also contesting the election will be the Greens
Tasmanian Greens
The Tasmanian Greens are a political party in Australia which developed from numerous environmental campaigns in Tasmania, including the flooding of Lake Pedder and the Franklin Dam campaign...

, currently led by Nick McKim.

The House of Assembly
Tasmanian House of Assembly
The House of Assembly, or Lower House, is one of the two chambers of the Parliament of Tasmania in Australia. The other is the Legislative Council or Upper House...

 uses the proportional Hare-Clark system to elect 25 members in five constituencies electing five members each. Upper house elections in the 15-seat single-member district Legislative Council
Tasmanian Legislative Council
The Legislative Council, or upper house, is one of the two chambers of the Parliament of Tasmania in Australia. The other is the House of Assembly. It sits in Parliament House in the state capital, Hobart...

 are staggered and are conducted separately from lower house state elections. The election will be conducted by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission.

Background

The results from the previous election
Tasmanian state election, 2010
The 2010 Tasmanian state election was held on 20 March 2010 to elect members to the Tasmanian House of Assembly. The 12-year incumbent Labor government, led by Premier of Tasmania David Bartlett, won a fourth consecutive term against the Liberal opposition, led by Will Hodgman, after Labor formed a...

 saw a tie between the two major parties, who both won ten seats. The Greens
Tasmanian Greens
The Tasmanian Greens are a political party in Australia which developed from numerous environmental campaigns in Tasmania, including the flooding of Lake Pedder and the Franklin Dam campaign...

, led by Nick McKim, won five seats and hold the balance of power. The outcome in all five multimember seats was two Labor, two Liberal, and one Green. Governor Peter Underwood commissioned Bartlett to form a government, detailing several reasons for his decision including a higher chance of stability. The Liberal Party has attempted to issue motions of no-confidence in parliament against the Labor government, but have been unsuccessful.

The Bartlett cabinet was sworn in on 13 April 2010, with Bartlett as Premier and Lara Giddings
Lara Giddings
Larissa Tahireh "Lara" Giddings is an Australian politician and the 44th and current Premier of Tasmania since January 2011...

 as Deputy Premier. On 24 January 2011, Bartlett stood down from the Premiership to be replaced by Giddings who was elected unopposed as Tasmania's first female Premier.

Polling

Polling is regularly conducted for Tasmanian state politics by Enterprise Marketing and Research Services (EMRS). Unlike other pollsters, EMRS don't "push" their respondents for an answer on the first request, contributing to the large "undecided" percentage. The sample size for each poll is 1,000 Tasmanian voters.
House of Assembly opinion polling
Date Political parties
ALP Lib Grn Ind Undecided
Nov 2011 17% 42% 15% 2% 24%
Aug 2011 16% 44% 14% 4% 22%
May 2011 19% 38% 17% 4% 22%
Feb 2011 20% 36% 20% 2% 23%
Nov 2010 23% 35% 20% 3% 19%
Aug 2010 29% 30% 23% 3% 14%
May 2010 23% 38% 24% 3% 12%
2010 election
Tasmanian state election, 2010
The 2010 Tasmanian state election was held on 20 March 2010 to elect members to the Tasmanian House of Assembly. The 12-year incumbent Labor government, led by Premier of Tasmania David Bartlett, won a fourth consecutive term against the Liberal opposition, led by Will Hodgman, after Labor formed a...

36.9% 39.0% 21.6% 2.5%
Feb 2010 23% 30% 22% 2% 23%
Polling conducted by EMRS.

Preferred premier ratings^
Date Labor
Giddings
Liberal
Hodgman
Green
McKim
Nov 2011 19% 48% 14%
Aug 2011 19% 52% 13%
May 2011 22% 42% 18%
Feb 2011 27% 38% 16%
Nov 2010 23%1 39% 21%
Aug 2010 27%1 34% 22%
May 2010 26%1 40% 23%
2010 election
Tasmanian state election, 2010
The 2010 Tasmanian state election was held on 20 March 2010 to elect members to the Tasmanian House of Assembly. The 12-year incumbent Labor government, led by Premier of Tasmania David Bartlett, won a fourth consecutive term against the Liberal opposition, led by Will Hodgman, after Labor formed a...

Feb 2010 29%1 34% 21%
1 David Bartlett
David Bartlett
David John Bartlett is an Australian former politician in the state of Tasmania, serving as the 43rd Premier of Tasmania from May 2008 until January 2011. He was an Australian Labor Party member of the Tasmanian House of Assembly seat of Denison from 2004 to 2011.-Early life:He has been a resident...

.
Polling conducted by EMRS.
^ Remainder were "uncommitted" or "undecided" to any leader.



External links

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