Kenyan presidential election, 2012
Encyclopedia
Incumbent President Mwai Kibaki
Mwai Kibaki
Mwai Kibaki is the current and third President of the republic of Kenya.Kibaki was previously Vice President of Kenya for ten years from 1978–1988 and also held cabinet ministerial positions, including a widely acclaimed stint as Minister for Finance , Minister for Home Affairs and Minister for...

's second and final term comes to an end on or before December 31, 2012. This will be the first presidential election under the new constitution
Constitution of Kenya
The 1963 Constitution of Kenya was drawn up at independence. This constitution, heavily indebted to English law, had already been amended more than 30 times by 2010, but was widely agreed to require a major overhaul...

 that was passed during the 2010 referendum. Due to the terms of the new constitution, it could also be the first presidential election in Kenya where the candidates face a second round between the first and the second if none achieves simple (50%+1 vote)majority in the first round or if the winner does not get 25% of the votes in at least 24 counties.

Prospective Candidates

The following are some of the candidates who have made public their intentions to run or speculated to run by media analysts and polling organizations:
  • Raila Odinga
    Raila Odinga
    Raila Amollo Odinga , also popularly known to Kenyans as Agwambo, is a Kenyan politician, currently serving as the Prime Minister of Kenya in a coalition government. He has served as a Member of Parliament for Langata since 1992, was Minister of Energy from 2001 to 2002, and was Minister of Roads,...

     current Prime Minister of Kenya
  • Stephen Kalonzo Musyoka current Vice President of Kenya
  • Uhuru Kenyatta
    Uhuru Kenyatta
    Uhuru Muigai Kenyatta is a Kenyan politician, currently serving as Deputy Prime Minister, Minister for Finance and MP for Gatundu South Constituency. He is the Chairman of Kenya African National Union , the former ruling party, which is currently part of the Party of National Unity...

     current Deputy Prime Minister of Kenya
  • William Ruto
    William Ruto
    William Kipchirchir Samoei arap Ruto is a Kenyan politician who was Minister for Higher Education until 19 October 2010 after being suspended for corruption. He is also one of the two deputy party leaders of the Orange Democratic Movement. He had previously served in the Ministry of Agriculture...

     MP for Eldoret North Constituency
    Eldoret North Constituency
    Eldoret North Constituency is an electoral constituency in Kenya. It is one of three constituencies in Uasin Gishu District. The constituency was established for the 1966 elections.The current Eldoret North MP is William Ruto, a prominent Kenyan politician....

  • Martha Karua
    Martha Karua
    Martha Wangari Karua is a Kenyan politician. She is a Member of Parliament for Gichugu Constituency and an Advocate of the High Court of Kenya...

     MP for Gichugu Constituency
    Gichugu Constituency
    Gichugu Constituency is an electoral constituency in Kenya. It is one of four constituencies in Kirinyaga District, Central Province. The constituency was established for the 1963 elections. Between 1966 and 1983 elections it was known as Kirinyaga East Constituency.- Members of Parliament :-...

  • Eugene Wamalwa MP for Saboti Constituency
    Saboti Constituency
    Saboti Constituency is an electoral constituency in Kenya. It is one of three constituencies in Trans-Nzoia District. The constituency was established for the 1988 elections....

  • Mutava Musyimi
    Mutava Musyimi
    Mutava Musyimi is a Kenyan politician. He belongs to the Party of National Unity and was elected to represent the Gachoka Constituency in the National Assembly of Kenya since the Kenyan parliamentary election, 2007.-Early Life & Family:...

     current Gachoka MP
  • Kingwa Kamencu
    Kingwa Kamencu
    Kingwa Kamencu is a Kenyan politician. Educated at Nairobi university, at present she is contesting for the position of President in Kenya's forthcoming 2012 election....

    current graduate of Nairobi university

Opinion Polling

Pollster Date !! Sample !! Raila Odinga !! Kalonzo Musyoka !! Uhuru Kenyatta !! Martha Karua !! William Ruto !! Eugene Wamalwa
Ipsos-Synovate Oct 15-23, 2011 2000 34% 9% 24% 5% 10% 2%
Infotrak Harris Poll Sept 20-23, 2011 1500 41% 9% 19% 11% 7% 2%
Smart Octopus Limited August 15, 2011 -- 26% 16% 23% 3% 19% 6%
Synovate Research Reinvented July 15, 2011 3070 42.6% 9.5% 21.4% 7.8% 8.3% --
Synovate Research Reinvented April 15, 2011 -- 38% 18% 13% 6% 8% 3%
Research International March 24, 2011 -- 33% 12% 14% 2% 12% 2%
Synovate Research Reinvented February 9, 2011 -- 34% 8% 16% 7% 6% 2%
Synovate Research Reinvented December 24, 2010 -- 42% 12% 14% 5% 4% 2%
Synovate Research Reinvented September 24, 2010 -- 47% 8% 10% 5% 6% 1%
Synovate Research Reinvented July 23, 2010 -- 36% 12% 8% 5% 11% 1%
Infotrak Research & Consulting August 15, 2010 -- 46% 6% 12% 6% 10% --
Synovate Research Reinvented October, 2009 -- 31% 14% 10% 8% 7% --
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