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Russia-Ukraine gas dispute

 

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Russia-Ukraine gas dispute


 
 

The dispute between Russian state-owned gas supplier GazpromGazprom

Gazprom is the largest Russian company and the biggest extractor of natural gas in the world....
 and Ukraine
over natural gasFacts About Natural gas

Natural gas, commonly referred to as gas, is a gaseous fossil fuel consisting primarily of methane....
 prices started in March of 2005 (over the price of natural gas and prices for the transition of Gazprom's gas to Europe). The two parties were unable to reach an agreement to resolve the dispute, and RussiaRussia

Russia , also the Russian Federation , is a country that stretches over a vast expanse of Eurasia....
 cut gas exports to UkraineUkraine

Ukraine is a country in Eastern Europe....
 on January 1 2006 at 10:00 MSKMoscow Time

Moscow Time is observed in Russias second Time Zone in which Moscow is situated....
. The supply was restored on January 4 2006, when a preliminary agreement between two gas companies was settled. However, the inter-government treaty has not been signed yet.

Amidst speculation that preceded the signing of the agreement, the presidents of both countries declared on January 11 2006 in KazakhstanKazakhstan

Kazakhstan, also spelled Kazakstan, , officially the Republic of Kazakhstan, is a country that stretches over a ...
 that both sides did indeed arrive at compromises in a mutually satisfying agreement, and declared that they would more work of cooperation in other areas of conduct of the neighbour countries.

A new gas dispute arose in October 2007 and it culminated with the gas reduction in March 2008.

Background

Ukraine consumed around 80 billion cubic meters (bcm) of natural gas a year in 2004–2005. 20 bcm of that were of Ukraine's own production, around 36 bcm were bought from TurkmenistanTurkmenistan Summary

Turkmenistan is a country in Central Asia....
, and about 17 bcm were received from Russia as a payment for transporting Russian gas to Europe. The remaining 6-7 bcm were purchased from Russia. According to the CIA's World Factbook 2005, Ukraine is the 4th largest importer and 6th largest consumer of natural gas in the world. This is partly due to waste and inefficiency of industry dating back to the Soviet times.

RussiaRussia Summary

Russia , also the Russian Federation , is a country that stretches over a vast expanse of Eurasia....
 supplies about 8 % of UkraineFacts About Ukraine

Ukraine is a country in Eastern Europe....
's annual gas requirements. This gas had been supplied at heavily subsidized prices - about US$50 per 1,000 cubic meters compared to the market rate of about US$230 per 1,000 cubic meters. Note, however, Ukraine charges Russia transit fees for gas Russia passes through the Ukrainian gas pipeline network to Western customers. Transit fees were taken in the form of gas, with Ukraine taking 15 % of gas passing through their pipes.

It was noted by Pascal LamyPascal Lamy

Pascal Lamy is the Director-General of the World Trade Organization, a French political advisor, a businessman, and a former...
 of the World Trade Organisation that all Post-Soviet statesPost-Soviet states

The Post-Soviet states, also commonly known as former Soviet republics, are the independent nations that split off fro...
 that buy gas from GazpromGazprom

Gazprom is the largest Russian company and the biggest extractor of natural gas in the world....
 must pay today's market prices for their energy needs in order to improve the efficiency of their economies. Lamy recalled, that it would have been much easier to resolve the conflict if both Russia and Ukraine had been WTO members. Moreover, he added that the problem had arisen in the first place because neither Russia nor Ukraine have true market prices for energy resources, thus resulting in an inefficient energy uses amongst the states. He added that the incident would not have any influence over the acceptance of Russia into the WTO.

Andrei Illarionov, former economic adviser to Vladimir PutinVladimir Putin

Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin is a Russian politician, and the current President of the Russian Federation....
 dismissed in December 2005, noted in this respect that there was no such thing as a gas market prices, because there was no such thing as gas market.

On 8 December 2005, Russian President Vladimir PutinVladimir Putin

Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin is a Russian politician, and the current President of the Russian Federation....
 noted in his speech that household consumers in Ukraine get gas for lower prices than do household consumers in Russia, the country that sells gas to Ukraine. He noted that Russia subsidised Ukraine on the gas matter by the amount of US$1 billion a year from the Russian budget (money that Gazprom would have paid into the budget from its revenues) — given that 25 million Russians still live below the poverty line, such a load onto the Russian economy is more than questionable, Putin noted.

On 26 December 2005, Prime Minister of UkrainePrime Minister of Ukraine

The Prime Minister of Ukraine presides over the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine, which is the top body of the executive bran...
 Yuriy YekhanurovYuriy Yekhanurov

Yuriy Ivanovych Yekhanurov is a former Prime Minister of Ukraine ....
 confirmed that public-utility prices for gas are lower in Ukraine than those in Russia, and said that a change is to be made, although the officials of the public utility company Naftohaz UkrainyNaftohaz Ukrainy

NJSC Naftohaz Ukrainy or Naftogas of Ukraine is the state company of Ukraine concerned with extraction, transportation...
, which is the supplier of gas for household and budget consumers, said that they are going to keep the same prices for households and budget-organisation in 2006 as they were in 2005.

2002 contract

According to the contract signed by Russian state company GazpromGazprom

Gazprom is the largest Russian company and the biggest extractor of natural gas in the world....
 and Ukrainian state company Naftohaz UkrainyNaftohaz Ukrainy

NJSC Naftohaz Ukrainy or Naftogas of Ukraine is the state company of Ukraine concerned with extraction, transportation...
 on June 21 2002, which was supposed to be valid to the end of 2013, the payment for the transfer of Russian natural gas through Ukrainian pipelinePipeline transport

Pipeline transport is a transportation of goods through a pipe....
 system had been made in the form of barterBarter

Barter is a type of trade where goods or services are exchanged for a certain amount of other goods or services; no money is...
 exchange – up to 15% of gas pumped through the Ukrainian territory was taken by Ukraine instead of payment for the transfer transport. Originally, the amount of gas to be shipped as payment for the transfer was supposed to be negotiated every year and to be fixed by inter-governmental protocols.

Addendum #4

On August 9 2004 the two companies signed an addendum #4 to the contract, according to which the amount of gas given as a payment was calculated based on the tariff of US$1.09 for transportation of 1,000 cubic meters over a distance of 100 km and the price of the natural gas was US$50 per 1,000 cubic meters (approximately US$1.40 per million Btu, see Calorific value of natural gasHeating value

Heating value is used to define the amount of heat released during the combustion of a fuel or food....
). According to the addendum the price was not subject to changes until the end of 2009.

Gazprom argued that addendum #4 was only applicable provided that the two countries sign an annual Intergovernmental Protocol specifying the terms of gas transit. According to GazpromGazprom

Gazprom is the largest Russian company and the biggest extractor of natural gas in the world....
, the addendum #4 becomes void as the annual Protocol had not been signed for 2006 under the required terms.

Initially, Russia insisted on a new contract in which Ukraine would be paying about US$160 per 1,000 cubic meters (approximately US$4.40 per mmBtu). However, under Ukraine's hesitations, on 14 December 2005 Gazprom demanded US$230 per 1,000 cubic meters (~ US$6.35/mmBtu) claiming that such a price hike would reflect the trends in the world markets. Some commentators point out that the notion of "world market price" is hardly applicable to natural gas, especially in the region where supplies are dominated by a state-controlled monopoly. Still, the market price for natural gas traded in NYMEX was significantly higher than many existing contract prices due to the price hike of oil and gas in 2005. As of January 2006, the price for natural gas on NYMEX was about US$10/mmBtu. The spot priceSpot price

The spot price or spot rate of a commodity, a security or a currency is the price that is quoted for immediate settlem...
s in Europe ranged from US$10 to US$20 per mmBtu. Existing Russian contract prices to most European countries ranged from US$110 to US$280 per 1,000 cubic meters).

Russia agreed that the tariff for transit should be also increased, but only to US$1.74 per 1,000 cubic meters/100 km. (Transportation tariffs in Western Europe in 2005 ranged from $0.9 per 1,000 cubic meters/100 km in Belgium to US$4.5 in Greece; in the most important transit countries the tariff were: US$2.5 in Germany and US$2.7 in Austria). However, there were no market prices for transit; they were formed by the specific service costs of a pipeline, and in the EU subject to national energy market regulators' approval.

Russia claims that Gazprom's subsidies to the Ukrainian economy amounted to billions of dollars. Russian President Vladimir PutinVladimir Putin

Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin is a Russian politician, and the current President of the Russian Federation....
 claimed that Ukraine has enough money in its budget to pay the market price: "This is a heavy burden for the Russian budget... The consumers in Ukraine are getting gas today for a much lower price than Russian citizens pay in their own country! And we still have about 25 million citizens, who live below the poverty line". Ukraine, however, contended that Russian demands violated the contract of June 21 2002 and the addendum #4 to it of August 9 2004. Gazprom insisted that both contract and the addendum #4 were not and could not be active without the annual Intergovernmental Protocol that is the base and that has higher legal status.

2005 negotiations

The 2005 negotiations for new contracts were conducted between Russian Gazprom and its Ukrainian counterpart Naftohaz UkrainyNaftohaz Ukrainy

NJSC Naftohaz Ukrainy or Naftogas of Ukraine is the state company of Ukraine concerned with extraction, transportation...
. At first, the Ukrainian side staunchly opposed any gas price increases, proposing to pay for gas with weapon supplies, but eventually Ukrainian President Viktor YushchenkoViktor Yushchenko

Viktor Andriyovych Yushchenko is the current President of Ukraine....
 agreed to some concessions, in which the price of gas would be gradually increased over time. He stated that Ukrainian industry would become unprofitable if the price of gas rose above $90. He also called for avoiding the politicization of the dispute, and expressed his confidence that the problem could be solved by economical rather than political means.

About 80 % of Russian gas exports to Western Europe were made through Ukraine. Russia stated that it would like to have a consortium company created from Gazprom and Naftogaz, while Ukraine opposed that as it would mean that it would lose control over its own gas pipeline structure. Some Ukrainian officials called for a review of the lease price Russia paid to Ukraine for keeping its Black Sea FleetBlack Sea Fleet

The Black Sea Fleet is a large sub-unit of the Russian Navy, operating in the Black Sea and the Mediterranean Sea since the ...
 in SevastopolSevastopol

enname = Sevastopol| runame = ???????????...
, CrimeaCrimea

Crimea /kra?'mia/ or the Autonomous Republic of Crimea is an autonomous republic of Ukraine on the northern coast of ...
: Russia currently pays about $97 million per year for the lease. Ukrainian officials declared that the lease of the port facilities to Russia is underpriced and called for a complete valuation of inventory of the facilities, which as some suggest could be worth up to US$2 billion, while Russia resisted any discussions that might affect the conditions of the lease. There were speculations that the calls to reconsider the lease price were prompted by US pressure, especially since they were made within hours of the US State SecretaryUnited States Secretary of State

The United States Secretary of State is the head of the United States Department of State, concerned with foreign affairs....
 Condoleezza RiceCondoleezza Rice

Condoleezza Rice is the 66th and current United States Secretary of State, and the second in the administration of President...
's visit to KievKiev Summary

Kiev, also written as Kyiv is the capital and the largest city of Ukraine, located in the north central part of the co...
 on December 8 2005. Such reevaluation, if undertaken, would be equivalent to revocation of 1997 Russia-Ukraine treaty in which Russia acknowledges predominantly Russian-populated Crimea as part of Ukraine in the first place, so it is a sensitive issue with further potential repercussions.

Andrei Illarionov, then Vladimir PutinVladimir Putin

Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin is a Russian politician, and the current President of the Russian Federation....
 economic adviser, was offered by the Russian government to explain the price hike and other issues in the Russia-Ukraine relations as liberal economic policies, but refused to do so and resigned as this had nothing to do with liberal economic policies according to his beliefs.

Course of events

In March of 2005 GazpromGazprom

Gazprom is the largest Russian company and the biggest extractor of natural gas in the world....
, the Russian state-owned gas monopoly company informed Ukraine that gas prices were to be raised to market rates. Ukraine objected; on one hand accepting the need to pay at the going rate, on the other hand objecting to the short notice of such a large increase in gas price. In March of 2005 UkraineFacts About Ukraine

Ukraine is a country in Eastern Europe....
 took steps to change radically the method of compensation for the transition of Gazprom's gas to Europe, requiring a change from barter to actual money. The RussiaRussia

Russia , also the Russian Federation , is a country that stretches over a vast expanse of Eurasia....
n company GazpromGazprom

Gazprom is the largest Russian company and the biggest extractor of natural gas in the world....
 (owned by the RussiaRussia

Russia , also the Russian Federation , is a country that stretches over a vast expanse of Eurasia....
n stateState

A state is a set of institutions that possess the authority to make the rules that govern the people in one or more societie...
) took steps (March 2005) to change radically the prices for natural gasNatural gas

Natural gas, commonly referred to as gas, is a gaseous fossil fuel consisting primarily of methane....
 sold to UkraineUkraine

Ukraine is a country in Eastern Europe....
. Ukraine’s new government did agree to buy natural gas from Russia’s gas monopoly Gazprom at higher prices in return for increased gas transit fees (source: Russian newspaper Kommersant daily, Tuesday, March 29 2005). Negotiations started, Gazprom first suggested to raise the price to 300% and later to 460% (from US$50 per 1,000 cubic meters to US$150 to US$230). The old price Ukraine paid was about 486% lower than TurkeyTurkey

Turkey, officially the Republic of Turkey, is a Eurasian country that stretches across the Anatolian peninsula in Sou...
 paid Gazprom (Turkey pays US$243 to Russia, US$236 to IranIran

'Throughout history, Iran has been of great geostrategic importance because of its central location in Eurasia....
 for gas). The two parties were unable to reach an agreement to resolve the dispute, and GazpromGazprom

Gazprom is the largest Russian company and the biggest extractor of natural gas in the world....
 cut gas exports to Ukraine on 1 January 2006 at 10:00 MSKMoscow Time

Moscow Time is observed in Russias second Time Zone in which Moscow is situated....
. Gazprom assured Western customers their gas supplies would not be affected. As it transpired, gas supplies were affected, with all customers reporting varying degrees of reduction in gas flow. Gazprom accused Ukraine of taking gas; Ukraine's state-owned energy firm Naftogaz admitted withholding some Russian gas intended for other European countries, but said it would still meet its contractual obligations. A spokesman for Naftogaz said the excess gas was needed to cope with the especially cold January 2006 weather. After great media interest and political discussion in the two countries, the EU and the U.S.United States

The United States of America, also known as the United States, the U.S., the U.S.A., and America, is...
 a compromise contract was reached, where gas prices were roughly doubled, but Ukraine transit fees also increased, offsetting the increase in cost. The supply was restored on January 4 2006, when the preliminary agreement between UkraineUkraine

Ukraine is a country in Eastern Europe....
 and GazpromGazprom

Gazprom is the largest Russian company and the biggest extractor of natural gas in the world....
 was settled.

Many (European and US) mediaNews media

The news media refers to the section of the mass media that focuses on presenting current news to the public....
 and analysts saw the conflict as the Government of RussiaGovernment of Russia

The Government of the Russian Federation is an executive governmental body that brings together the principal officers of th...
 'punishing' the new 'orange' Government of UkraineGovernment of Ukraine Overview

Ukraine is a democracy under a semi-presidential system with separate legislative, executive, and judicial branches....
, who was considered more pro-NATONATO

Aznar also proposed a strategic co-operation with India and Colombia. ...
 and EU than its predecessor. Gazprom say that that's nonsense, they just don't want to subsidize former Soviet republics. On April 3-4 April, 2006 Gazprom indicated it would triple the price of natural gas sold to BelarusBelarus

Belarus is a landlocked nation-state in Eastern Europe, which borders Russia, Ukraine, Poland, Lithuania, and Latvia....
 after December 31 2006. Unlike Ukraine that time, Belarus has close political ties to Moscow and this action created doubts about the supposed political motives of raising Ukraine's fuel rates. However when the 'orange' Government of UkraineGovernment of Ukraine

Ukraine is a democracy under a semi-presidential system with separate legislative, executive, and judicial branches....
 was ousted later in 2006 and replaced by a new more Moscow-friendly Government lead by prime-minister Viktor YanukovychViktor Yanukovych

Viktor Fedorovych Yanukovych, is the Prime Minister of Ukraine....
, the price for 2007 grew up further to US$135 per 1,000 cubic meters (from US$95 in 2006). On the other hand, Belarus has agreed to pay US$100 per 1,000 cubic meters for 2007.

During speculation about the signing of the agreement, the presidents of the two countries declared on 11 January 2006 in KazakhstanKazakhstan

Kazakhstan, also spelled Kazakstan, , officially the Republic of Kazakhstan, is a country that stretches over a ...
 that both sides had indeed come, through compromise, to a mutually satisfying agreement. They declared plans for further cooperation. Gas supplies to Western customers have since been on agreed level. To date, this agreement appears to be in force but unratified.

Cutting off the supply

On December 13 2005, Gazprom threatened that if an agreement about the new price is not reached before January 1 2006 10:00 MSKMoscow Time

Moscow Time is observed in Russias second Time Zone in which Moscow is situated....
, it would cut off supply of natural gas to Ukraine. The next day, December 14, Gazprom stated unilaterally that the new price would have to be US$220-230 per 1,000 cubic meters. Ukraine claimed that such steps would violate the past contracts and brought up the possibility to resort to international arbitration. On December 19 2005, Ukrainian Prime MinisterPrime Minister of Ukraine

The Prime Minister of Ukraine presides over the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine, which is the top body of the executive bran...
, Yuriy YekhanurovFacts About Yuriy Yekhanurov

Yuriy Ivanovych Yekhanurov is a former Prime Minister of Ukraine ....
, traveled to Moscow but was unable to reach any agreement on the prices. The next day, December 20, Yekhanurov stated that Ukraine would be able to do without Russian gas and urged development of energy efficiency technologies.

European transit withdrawals



On December 26 2005, Yekhanurov stated that Ukraine had a contractual right for 15% of the Russian gas transiting to Western EuropeWestern Europe

Western Europe is mainly a socio-political concept coined, forged and used during the Cold War....
 in his interview to the Ukrainian 5 ChannelKanal 5 (Ukraine)

Kanal 5 is a television station in Ukraine controlled by businessman Petro Poroshenko....
 TV company. This statement came largely in response to the Gazprom threat to resort to the Arbitration Institute of the Stockholm Chamber of Commerce should Ukraine engage in unlawful withdrawal of Russian transit gas. Earlier, Yekhanurov announced that Ukraine could refer the case to the Institute if the compromise is not reached. Both countries are signatories to the Convention on the Recognition and Enforcement of Foreign Arbitral AwardsConvention on the Recognition and Enforcement of Foreign Arbitral Awards

The Convention on the Recognition and Enforcement of Foreign Arbitral Awards was signed in 10 June 1958 and entered into for...
 since 1960, so a decision by the Stockholm Institute in the case would be legally binding. According to Ukraine's government, its transit arrangements allow it to siphon off 15% of gas moving through the country.

On December 29 2005 Vladimir Putin offered Ukraine a US$3.6 billion loan to cover the cost of transition to market natural gas prices. His Ukrainian counterpart, Victor Yushchenko, promptly rejected the offer. In the last days of 2005, European countries, which had stayed out of the dispute until then, began urging Russia and Ukraine to find a compromise. On December 31 2005, in a last-ditch effort to solve the dispute, Russian president offered to postpone the price increase until April of 2006 if Ukraine immediately agreed to the new prices. Ukraine, however, rejected the offer.

On January 1 2006 Gazprom started reducing the pressure in the pipeline system ahead of the deadline of the Russian ultimatum set for 10:00 MSKMoscow Time Summary

Moscow Time is observed in Russias second Time Zone in which Moscow is situated....
. On January 2 2006 Russia accused Ukraine of stealing US$ 25 million worth of gas. This was promptly denied by Ukrainian officials, although they flatly refused to sign any documents that would allow comparison of the volume of gas entering Ukraine from Russia and issued from Ukraine to the EU.

It is worth noting that as supply reductions are known to be occurring, either Ukraine is siphoning off gas, or Russia is undersupplying and falsely accusing Ukraine of siphoning. To address the latter speculation, Gazprom has invited the Switzerland-based goods inspection and testing company SGS to record the amount of gas that is entering Ukraine's pipeline network.

The EU-Russia gas supply contract requires Russia to supply gas to the former USSR border. Therefore, if Ukraine steals from or blocks the pipelines, the EU could sue Russia for violation of the contract. Therefore, as soon as the pressure fell in the EU, Russia had no choice but to turn back on the supply to Ukraine on January 3 2006.

Impact on European countries


Despite Ukrainian reassurances to the contrary, many European countries saw an immediate drop in the supply of the gas:
  • AustriaAustria

    Austria is a landlocked country in central Europe....
     – supplies down by around 33 %
  • CroatiaCroatia

    Croatia , officially the Republic of Croatia , is a country in Europe, at the crossroads of the Mediterranean, Central...
     – supplies down by around 33 %
  • FranceFrance

    France, officially the French Republic, is a country whose metropolitan territory is located in Western Europe and whi...
     – supplies down by 25–30 %
  • GermanyGermany

    Germany , officially the Federal Republic of Germany , is a country in central Europe....
     – supplies down by an unspecified amount
  • HungaryHungary

    Hungary , officially the Republic of Hungary , is a landlocked country in Central Europe, bordered by Austria, Slovaki...
     – Russian imports down 40 %
  • ItalyItaly

    Italy, officially the Italian Republic , is a Southern European country....
     – Russian imports down 24 % (6 % of total imports)
  • PolandPoland

    Poland , officially the Republic of Poland , is a country located in Central Europe....
     – supply down by 14 %
  • RomaniaRomania

    Romania: is a country in Southeastern Europe....
     – supplies down by around 20 %
  • SlovakiaSlovakia

    Slovakia is a landlocked republic in Central Europe with population of more than five million....
     – supplies down by around 33 %
  • SloveniaSlovenia

    Slovenia, officially the Republic of Slovenia , is a coastal Alpine country in southern Central Europe bordering Italy...
     – Russian supplies down by around 33 % (40 % of average annual gas supply).


The United KingdomUnited Kingdom

The United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland is a country and sovereign state that lies off the northwest coast...
 has expressed concern that there would be a drop in their supplies in the near future, though none had yet been reported. In response to these drops Gazprom announced that more gas would be pumped to Europe.

The alternative gas pipeline across BelarusBelarus

Belarus is a landlocked nation-state in Eastern Europe, which borders Russia, Ukraine, Poland, Lithuania, and Latvia....
 only has a capacity of 30 bcm a year,
compared to 120 bcm a year flowing west across UkraineUkraine

Ukraine is a country in Eastern Europe....
, and has little spare capacity

"On the very day it takes over chairmanship of the G-8, it cuts off supplies to Ukraine, which indirectly at least threatens gas supplies to Europe. It undermines Russia's credibility straightaway," said Christopher Weafer, chief strategist at Moscow's URALSIB Capital. On January 2 2006, "economic ministers of Germany, Italy, Austria and France warned the government in Kiev that their nations' "perfect relations" with Ukraine could be affected if it failed to deliver all of the gas meant for European countries." On January 3, Russian Prime Minister Mikhail FradkovMikhail Fradkov

Mikhail Yefimovich Fradkov is a Russian politician, and the current Prime Minister of Russia....
 "asked the European Union Tuesday to influence Ukraine to ensure full and uninterrupted gas transit from Russia to EU countries."
In response to Russian demands, EU Energy Commissioner Andris PiebalgsAndris Piebalgs

Andris Piebalgs is a Latvian politician and diplomat, currently serving as European Commissioner for Energy....
 from LatviaLatvia

Latvia, officially the Republic of Latvia , is a country in Eastern Europe....
 warned Russia not to make out of EU a "hostage" of its dealings with Ukraine, "I don't think making the EU a hostage is the proper way."
Austrian Minister of Foreign Affairs Ursula Plassnik criticised Russian action against Ukraine.
On 4th January Poland presented the position of Visegrad Group countries alongside Austria during special meeting of EU devoted to the gas issue. The statement included the opinion that it is unacceptable to demand higher prices by blocking of gas deliveries and that the EU has to find other sources of gas besides Russia.

Agreement to end the dispute

On January 4 2006 the two countries reached an agreement to end the dispute. The 5-year contract was signed, although with the prices set for the next 6 months only. In the deal Gazprom "secured the hefty price hikes it had been demanding, raising the cost for its supply" to US$230 per 1,000 cubic metres to Russian-Swiss company RosUkrEnergoRosUkrEnergo

RosUkrEnergo is a Swiss-registered venture company that transports natural gas from Turkmenistan to East European countries....
, which after mixing it with two thirds of cheaper supplies from Central AsiaCentral Asia

Central Asia is a vast landlocked region of Asia....
 will resell it to Ukraine at a price of US$95 per 1,000 cubic metres. The parties also agreed to raise the tariff for transit from US$1.09 to US$1.60 per 1,000 cubic meters/100 km which concerns not only the transit of Russian gas to Europe but also Turkmen gas through Russia to Ukraine. The agreed price would fluctuate with the market, according to a Gazprom spokesman. Most analysts see it as a face-saving deal as both countries announced they were fully satisfied with the result.

However some experts doubt that this deal is profitable for RosUkrEnergo. The company has to buy 16 bcm of gas from Russia at US$230 per 1000 cubic meters, 40 bcm from Turkmenistan and Kazakhstan at price of $60-65 per1000 cubic meters, and then sell this gas to Ukraine at US$95/1000 cubic meters. Besides, RosUkrEnergo has to transport 40 bln cubic meters of gas to Europe at price US$1.60 per 1000 cubic meters per 100 km, or US$1,920 million. Total expenses become US$2500 +US$3800 + US$1920 million, or US$8.2 billion. Revenues from selling the gas are just US$5.5 billion. Likely the loss of US$2.7 billion is compensated by some undisclosed agreements, possibly covering Ukrainian debt as well as lease of the pipeline. Another analysis shows that, depending on the price from Turkmenistan, assuming the transit revenue, RosUkrEnergo's breakeven point is around US$70 per 1000 cubic meters for Asian gas. At US$65 per 1000 cubic meters it could make a small profit.

After the agreement was settled, (then) ex-Prime Minister of UkraineFacts About Prime Minister of Ukraine

The Prime Minister of Ukraine presides over the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine, which is the top body of the executive bran...
 Yulia TymoshenkoYulia Tymoshenko

Yulia Volodymyrivna Tymoshenko is a Ukrainian politician and former Prime Minister of Ukraine....
 said that she is going to sue Naftogas of Ukraine for the violation of state-interests of Ukraine. However, the leader of the Liberal Democratic Party of RussiaLiberal Democratic Party of Russia

The Liberal Democratic Party of Russia is a far right political party in Russia....
 Vladimir ZhirinovskyVladimir Zhirinovsky

Vladimir Volfovich Zhirinovsky is a Russian politician, deputy and vice-chairman of the State Duma, and lawyer....
 said that he is going to bring forth a parliamentary investigation because of the possible violation of state interests of Russia.

On 11 January 2006, Vladimir PutinVladimir Putin Summary

Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin is a Russian politician, and the current President of the Russian Federation....
 and Viktor YushchenkoViktor Yushchenko

Viktor Andriyovych Yushchenko is the current President of Ukraine....
 confirmed that the conflict had concluded and promised more cooperation in the fields of science, education and public health services.

Alleged political motivation

Many observers around the globe alleged that Russia's step was an act of political retaliation for Ukraine's moving out of Russia's sphere of influence and for its pro-Western policy. Others alleged that the move to increase gas prices during the winter season may be intended to decrease the popularity of the Ukrainian presidentPresident of Ukraine

The President of Ukraine is the head of the state of Ukraine and acts in its name....
 and his NSNU party among the voters, before the parliamentary elections in spring 2006Ukrainian parliamentary election, 2006

The Ukrainian parliamentary election took place on March 26, 2006....
 or that it was a Russian attempt to win control over the Ukrainian pipeline system.

Russia rejected the accusation that there was any political motivation behind gas prices, pointing out the fact that the Russian ally Armenia pays the same price as Georgia, which is known to have frosty relations with Russia. Russia contends that the move to higher gas prices is economically, and not politically, motivated and points out that other post-Soviet countries, such as ArmeniaArmenia

Armenia , officially the Republic of Armenia, is a landlocked mountainous country in the Southern Caucasus , bordered ...
, GeorgiaGeorgia (country)

Georgia , known officially from 1990 to 1995 as the Republic of Georgia, is a country in Eurasia to the east of the Bl...
, MoldovaMoldova

The Republic of Moldova is a landlocked country in eastern Europe, located between Romania to the west and Ukraine to the e...
, and the Baltic states, are also seeing their prices increased. However, the prices for Armenia, and the Baltic states remain in the much lower range of $110-125 per 1,000 cubic meters in the year 2006. According to Gazprom, the reason for that is said to be that the gas for Transcaucasia originates from gas fields that are not connected to the European market and thus there are no opportunity costs for Russia for not selling this gas to Europe. Concerning the Baltic states, Gazprom pointed at some infrastructure units in common possession as well as the timely signing of agreements on transient prices when the difference with European prices was not yet as high. Moreover, Russia does not have to offer the same prices to all its customers as long as it is not a World Trade OrganizationWorld Trade Organization

The World Trade Organization is an international, multilateral organization, which sets the rules for the global trading sy...
 member.

In the BelarusBelarus

Belarus is a landlocked nation-state in Eastern Europe, which borders Russia, Ukraine, Poland, Lithuania, and Latvia....
 case, lower prices are because GazpromGazprom

Gazprom is the largest Russian company and the biggest extractor of natural gas in the world....
 owns Belarusian pipelines and that it has a long-term lease of the land where the pipelines run. Because of this, as of 27 December 2005 contract, Belarus will be paying only 47 USD per 1,000 cubic meters in 2006. Gazprom pointed out the fact that a similar kind of deal was offered to Ukraine to keep the prices low, but was rejected. On March 30, 2006, Gazprom announced that Belarus will have to pay market prices for gas starting in 2007. From January 2007 Belarus pays 100$ for 1,000 cubic meters, while Ukraine pays 135$, GermanyGermany

Germany , officially the Federal Republic of Germany , is a country in central Europe....
 and other EU country's paid an average of 280$ in 2007 .

Earlier this year Gazprom declined TurkmenistanTurkmenistan

Turkmenistan is a country in Central Asia....
's offer to buy natural gas at $58 per 1,000 cubic meters as too expensive, in December 2005 it made an unexpected deal to buy additional 30 billion cubic metres of gas at $65 (with 15 billion cu metres to be delivered in 1Q2006). Many observers say that was done to limit Ukraine's options to seek alternative sources of the gas. While that may be the motivation, one should note that oil and gas price doubled during the year of 2005. At the same time Russia openly admitted it had limited Ukraine's access to the gas that Ukraine had been importing from Turkmenistan (it should be noted that Ukraine never bought gas directly from Turkmenistan, but always through Russia, the more so there is no common border between countries).

Some observers point out that it is hard to regard economic motives as being the basis for Gazprom's behaviour, since Gazprom's behaviour is economically inconsistent, while it is possible to regard political motives as the basis for Gazprom's behaviour, since it is largely state-owned and the prices it charges seem to correlate with the political relationship of Russia with the purchaser (although ArmeniaArmenia

Armenia , officially the Republic of Armenia, is a landlocked mountainous country in the Southern Caucasus , bordered ...
, which is politically friendly to Russia, still gets the same price as the rest of the less-politically friendly Transcaucasia, thus MoscowMoscow

Moscow is the capital of Russia and the country's principal political, economic, financial, educational, and transportation...
 denies the claim that political friendliness plays a role in the formation of the prices). On the other hand, the price offered to Ukraine is still lower than that to Romania, and to EU, since transport cost to Ukraine are significantly lower than to Western Europe. (For EU, there was long term contract dated back to 1970s which helped to lower the average price.) Therefore, one could also argue that Russia is offering a discount to market price to Ukraine. It is the deal with Belarus, not the one with Ukraine, which is at a deep discount, which is politically minded.

Some analysts attributed Russian actions to the start of a parliamentary election campaign in Ukraine, in which the pro-Western forces were bound to face a challenge from opposition parties dedicated to tightening Ukraine-Russia relations.

Gas dispute of 2007-2008

On October 2 2007 Gazprom once again threatened to cut off gas supplies to Ukraine; because a US$1.3 billion bill wasn't paid, the dispute appeared to be settled on October 8 2007. But on January 5 2008 Gazprom warned Ukraine again it will reduce its gas supplies on January 11 2008 if a US$1.5 billion gas debt would not be paid. Russian President Vladimir PutinVladimir Putin

Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin is a Russian politician, and the current President of the Russian Federation....
 and Ukrainian PresidentPresident of Ukraine

The President of Ukraine is the head of the state of Ukraine and acts in its name....
 Viktor YushchenkoViktor Yushchenko

Viktor Andriyovych Yushchenko is the current President of Ukraine....
 announced on Tuesday February 12 2008 an agreement on the gas issue at a news conference in MoscowMoscow

Moscow is the capital of Russia and the country's principal political, economic, financial, educational, and transportation...
, Ukraine would begin paying off its debts for natural gas, consumed in November-December 2007 and the price at US$179.5 will be preserved in the year 2008. In an earlier deal reached on December 2 2007 it was agreed that UkraineUkraine

Ukraine is a country in Eastern Europe....
 will pay US$179.5 per 1,000 cubic meters in 2008 (from US$130 in 2007), the presidents also decided to replace RosukrenergoRosUkrEnergo

RosUkrEnergo is a Swiss-registered venture company that transports natural gas from Turkmenistan to East European countries....
 and Ukrgazenergo by two new intermediaries, creating them as joint ventures of Gazprom and Naftogaz.

At the end of February 2008, GazpromGazprom

Gazprom is the largest Russian company and the biggest extractor of natural gas in the world....
 threatened to reduce the supply of natural gasNatural gas

Natural gas, commonly referred to as gas, is a gaseous fossil fuel consisting primarily of methane....
 to Ukraine from March 3 2008, unless the pre-payment for 2008 had been paid. The Ukrainian governmentCabinet of Ministers of Ukraine

The Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine is the highest body in the system of state executive power of Ukraine, i.e., the cabinet...
 said it paid the gas bill for 2007 but still has refused to pay the bill for 2008. A Gazprom spokesman claimed that 1.9 billion cubic metres of gas deliveries worth about 600 million dollars still wasn't paid. Ukraine disagrees with a debt that accumulated in recent months when Russia used its own gas to make up for a shortfall in less expensive Central Asian gas. 3 March 2008 Gazprom cut it's shipments to Ukraine by 25% (a day later with another 25%), claiming that the US$1.5 billion debt still wasn't paid, Ukraine officials said it had been paid. Gas supplies where restored march 5 after Gazprom CEO Alexei MillerFacts About Alexei Miller

Alexei Borisovich Miller is Deputy Chairman of the Board of Directors and Chairman of the Management Committee of Russian...
 and Naftogaz Ukrainy CEO Oleh Dubyna agreed during negotiations by phone on a settlement to the crisis with gas supplies to Ukraine. On March 6 the Ukrainian cabinet refused to execute the gas agreements the President of UkrainePresident of Ukraine

The President of Ukraine is the head of the state of Ukraine and acts in its name....
 Viktor YushchenkoViktor Yushchenko

Viktor Andriyovych Yushchenko is the current President of Ukraine....
 had reached with President of Russia Vladimir PutinVladimir Putin

Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin is a Russian politician, and the current President of the Russian Federation....
. The government doesn't want to pay in advance for 2008 and it opposes the creation of Naftogaz-Gazprom venture that would sell gas in Ukraine. Prime MinisterPrime minister

A prime minister is the most senior minister of a cabinet in the executive branch of government in a parliamentary system....
 Yulia TymoshenkoYulia Tymoshenko

Yulia Volodymyrivna Tymoshenko is a Ukrainian politician and former Prime Minister of Ukraine....
 stated that "Ukraine doesn’t need any additional newly created joint ventures. As of March 1, UkrGazEnergo will no longer be operating on Ukraine’s domestic gas market, the costs (for gas consumed in January and February) will be paid directly to RosUkrEnergoRosUkrEnergo

RosUkrEnergo is a Swiss-registered venture company that transports natural gas from Turkmenistan to East European countries....
. But for January and February we are ready to transfer the money to wherever we agree with Gazprom, so that it’s convenient for Gazprom”.

See also

  • Druzhba pipelineFacts About Druzhba pipeline

    The Druzhba pipeline is the world's longest oil pipeline....
  • Energy policy of RussiaEnergy policy of Russia

    The Energy policy of Russia is contained in an Energy Strategy document, which sets out policy for the period up to 2020....
  • Energy superpowerEnergy superpower

    The term energy superpower has several potential definitions that might be used relating to different contexts....
  • Nord Stream
  • Politics of UkrainePolitics of Ukraine

    Politics of Ukraine takes place in a framework of a semi-presidential representative democratic republic and of a multi-part...
  • Politics of RussiaPolitics of Russia

    The politics of Russia take place in a framework of a federal presidential republic, whereby the President of Russia is hea...
  • Russia-Belarus energy disputeRussia-Belarus energy dispute

    The Russia-Belarus energy dispute began when Russian state-owned gas supplier Gazprom demanded an increase in gas prices pai...
  • South StreamSouth Stream

    South Stream is a proposed gas pipeline to transport Russian natural gas to Italy....
  • Yamal-Europe pipelineYamal-Europe pipeline

    The Yamal-Europe natural gas pipeline is a 4,196-kilometer-long pipeline connecting natural gas fields on the Yamal penins...


External links

  • , New York Times, January 3, 2006
  • , BBC (based on )
  • "Who is blackmailing whom?", Ukrayinska PravdaUkrayinska Pravda Summary

    Ukrayinska Pravda is a popular Ukrainian internet newspaper, founded by Georgiy R....
    ,
  • , in Zerkalo NedeliZerkalo Nedeli Summary

    Zerkalo Nedeli, usually referred to in English as the Mirror Weekly, is one of Ukraines most influential analy...
    , December 17 - December 23 2005.
  • , ibid.
  • , New York Times, December 16 2005.
  • , Washington Post, December 17 2005.
  • , PravdaPravda

    Pravda was a leading newspaper of the Soviet Union and an official organ of the Central Committee of the Communist Party...
    , December 22 2005
  • , Energy Bulletin, November 8 2005
  • , New York Times, December 27 2005
  • - has the original text of the agreement in Russian./
  • , The TimesThe Times

    The Times is a national newspaper published daily in the United Kingdom since 1785, and under its current name since 178...
    , January 4 2006.
  • ,
  • , PravdaPravda Summary

    Pravda was a leading newspaper of the Soviet Union and an official organ of the Central Committee of the Communist Party...
    , 4 January 2006
  • , BBC NewsBBC News

    BBC News and Current Affairs is a major arm of the BBC responsible for the corporation's newsgathering and production of ne...
    , January 24, 2006


2006


ry 24, 2006