National Assembly for Wales election, 2011
Encyclopedia
The National Assembly for Wales election 2011 was the most recent election for the National Assembly
National Assembly for Wales
The National Assembly for Wales is a devolved assembly with power to make legislation in Wales. The Assembly comprises 60 members, who are known as Assembly Members, or AMs...

. The poll was held on Thursday, 5 May 2011 and decided the incumbency for all the assembly's seats. It was the fourth election for seats in the National Assembly for Wales (previous elections having been held in 1999, 2003 and 2007
National Assembly for Wales election, 2007
The 2007 National Assembly election was held on Thursday 3 May 2007 to elect members to the National Assembly for Wales. It was the third general election. On the same day local elections in England and Scotland, and the Scottish Parliament election took place...

), and the second election taken under the rules of the Government of Wales Act 2006
Government of Wales Act 2006
The Government of Wales Act 2006 is an Act of the Parliament of the United Kingdom that reforms the National Assembly for Wales and allows further powers to be granted to it more easily...

.

The election resulted in gains for the incumbent Welsh Labour Party, which gained four seats compared to the previous election and now has 30 seats, exactly half of the Assembly. The party also secured a swing in its favour of over 10 percentage points. The Welsh Conservatives emerged as the largest opposition party with 14 seats, a net gain of two, but party leader Nick Bourne lost his seat. The junior party in the government coalition, the nationalist Plaid Cymru, suffered a drop in its vote and lost 4 seats. The Welsh Liberal Democrats lost significantly in the popular vote and returned five AMs, a loss of one.

British, Irish, Commonwealth
Commonwealth citizen
A Commonwealth citizen, which replaces the former category of British subject, is generally a person who is a national of any country within the Commonwealth of Nations....

 and European Union
European Union
The European Union is an economic and political union of 27 independent member states which are located primarily in Europe. The EU traces its origins from the European Coal and Steel Community and the European Economic Community , formed by six countries in 1958...

 citizens living in Wales
Wales
Wales is a country that is part of the United Kingdom and the island of Great Britain, bordered by England to its east and the Atlantic Ocean and Irish Sea to its west. It has a population of three million, and a total area of 20,779 km²...

 aged eighteen or over on election day were entitled to vote. The deadline to register to vote in the election was midnight on 14 April 2011, though anyone who qualified as an anonymous elector had until midnight on 26 April 2011 to register.

It was held on the same day as elections for Northern Ireland's 26 local councils
Local government in Northern Ireland
Northern Ireland is divided into 26 districts for local government purposes. In Northern Ireland local councils do not carry out the same range of functions as those in the rest of the United Kingdom, for example they have no responsibility for education, for road building or for housing...

, the Scottish Parliament and Northern Irish Assembly elections, a number of local elections in England and the United Kingdom Alternative Vote referendum.

Electoral method

In general election
General election
In a parliamentary political system, a general election is an election in which all or most members of a given political body are chosen. The term is usually used to refer to elections held for a nation's primary legislative body, as distinguished from by-elections and local elections.The term...

s for the National Assembly for Wales, each voter has two votes in a mixed member system
Mixed member proportional representation
Mixed-member proportional representation, also termed mixed-member proportional voting and commonly abbreviated to MMP, is a voting system originally used to elect representatives to the German Bundestag, and nowadays adopted by numerous legislatures around the world...

. The first vote may be used to vote for a candidate to become the Assembly Member for the voter's constituency, elected by the first past the post system. The second vote may be used to vote for a regional closed party list
Closed list
Closed list describes the variant of party-list proportional representation where voters can only vote for political parties as a whole and thus have no influence on the party-supplied order in which party candidates are elected...

 of candidates. Additional member seats are allocated from the lists by the d'Hondt method
D'Hondt method
The d'Hondt method is a highest averages method for allocating seats in party-list proportional representation. The method described is named after Belgian mathematician Victor D'Hondt who described it in 1878...

, with constituency results being taken into account in the allocation. The overall result is approximately proportional
Proportional representation
Proportional representation is a concept in voting systems used to elect an assembly or council. PR means that the number of seats won by a party or group of candidates is proportionate to the number of votes received. For example, under a PR voting system if 30% of voters support a particular...

.

Electoral results

  • Overall turnout: 42.2%

|-
|   || Total || 949,252 || || || 40 ||   || 949,388 || ||   || 20 || || 60 ||   ||
|}

(source:)

Opinion polls

Constituency Vote (FPTP)
Firm/Client Survey end date Lab PC
Plaid Cymru
' is a political party in Wales. It advocates the establishment of an independent Welsh state within the European Union. was formed in 1925 and won its first seat in 1966...

Con
Welsh Conservative Party
The Welsh Conservatives & Unionists , informally the Welsh Conservatives or Welsh Tories, are the part of the Conservative Party which operates in Wales...

LD
Welsh Liberal Democrats
The Welsh Liberal Democrats are one of the three state parties of the federal Liberal Democrats and operate within Wales, the others being the Scottish Liberal Democrats and the Liberal Democrats in England....

Others
YouGov/ITV Wales 4 May 2011 47% (+2) 18% (NC) 20% (-1) 9% (+1) 6% (-1)
YouGov/ITV Wales 2 May 2011 45% (-4) 18% (+1) 21% (+1) 8% (+1) 7% (+1)
YouGov/ITV Wales 14 April 2011 49% (+2) 17% (NC) 20% (-1) 8% (NC) 6% (NC)
rmg:Clarity/Western Mail 7 April 2011 50.8% 16.7% 20.3% 7.6% 4.5%
YouGov/ITV Wales 30 March 2011 47% (-1) 17% (-2) 21% (+1) 8% (+1) 6% (-1)
YouGov/ITV Wales 8 March 2011 48% (+3) 19% (-2) 20% (-1) 7% (NC) 7% (+1)
YouGov/ITV Wales 26 January 2011 45% (+1) 21% (NC) 21% (-2) 7% (+1) 6% (NC)
YouGov/ITV Wales 22 December 2010 44% (NC) 21% (NC) 23% (+2) 6% (-3) 6% (NC)
YouGov/ITV Wales 24 November 2010 44% (NC) 21% (NC) 21% (+2) 9% (NC) 6% (-2)
YouGov/ITV Wales 27 October 2010 44% 21% 19% 9% 8%
2007 Assembly Election 32.2% 22.4% 22.4% 14.8% 8.2%

Regional Vote (AMS
Mixed member proportional representation
Mixed-member proportional representation, also termed mixed-member proportional voting and commonly abbreviated to MMP, is a voting system originally used to elect representatives to the German Bundestag, and nowadays adopted by numerous legislatures around the world...

)
Firm/Client Survey end date Lab PC
Plaid Cymru
' is a political party in Wales. It advocates the establishment of an independent Welsh state within the European Union. was formed in 1925 and won its first seat in 1966...

Con
Welsh Conservative Party
The Welsh Conservatives & Unionists , informally the Welsh Conservatives or Welsh Tories, are the part of the Conservative Party which operates in Wales...

LD
Welsh Liberal Democrats
The Welsh Liberal Democrats are one of the three state parties of the federal Liberal Democrats and operate within Wales, the others being the Scottish Liberal Democrats and the Liberal Democrats in England....

UKIP Green
Wales Green Party
The Wales Green Party is a semi-autonomous political party within the Green Party of England and Wales . It covers Wales, and is the only regional party with autonomous status within the GPEW....

BNP
British National Party
The British National Party is a British far-right political party formed as a splinter group from the National Front by John Tyndall in 1982...

Others
YouGov/ITV Wales 14 April 2011 44% (-1) 18% (+2) 20% (NC) 8% (NC) 4% (-2) 2% (NC) 2% (+1) 2% (+1)
YouGov/ITV Wales 30 March 2011 45% (NC) 16% (-2) 20% (NC) 8% (+3) 6% (+1) 2% (-2) 1% (NC) 1% (NC)
YouGov/ITV Wales 8 March 2011 45% (+4) 18% (-3) 20% (NC) 5% (-3) 5% (+1) 4% (+2) 1% (NC) 1% (-2)
YouGov/ITV Wales 26 January 2011 41% (-1) 21% (NC) 20% (-2) 8% (+3) 4% (-1) 2% (-1) 1% (NC) 3% (+2)
YouGov/ITV Wales 22 December 2010 42% (+1) 21% (+1) 22% (+2) 5% (-4) 5% (+1) 3% (NC) 1% (-1) 1% (-1)
YouGov/ITV Wales 24 November 2010 41% (+1) 20% (-3) 20% (+2) 9% (NC) 4% (-2) 3% (+1) 2% (NC) 2% (+1)
YouGov/ITV Wales 27 October 2010 40% 23% 18% 9% 6% 2% 2% 1%
2007 Assembly Election 29.6% 21.0% 21.4% 11.7% 4.0% 3.5% 4.3% 4.5%

Constituency nominations

NB: candidates in BOLD text were the incumbent assembly members. Non incumbents are represented in italics. Members elected 2011 are highlighted with party colours.
Constituency Conservative Labour Liberal Democrats
Welsh Liberal Democrats
The Welsh Liberal Democrats are one of the three state parties of the federal Liberal Democrats and operate within Wales, the others being the Scottish Liberal Democrats and the Liberal Democrats in England....

Plaid Cymru
Plaid Cymru
' is a political party in Wales. It advocates the establishment of an independent Welsh state within the European Union. was formed in 1925 and won its first seat in 1966...

Others Result
Aberavon TJ Morgan David Rees Helen Ceri Clarke Paul Nicholls Jones Labour HOLD
Aberconwy
Aberconwy (Assembly constituency)
Aberconwy is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales, created for the 2007 Assembly election. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election...

Janet Finch-Saunders
Janet Finch-Saunders
Janet Finch-Saunders is a Conservative Party politician and Assembly Member for Aberconwy in the National Assembly for Wales after the May 2011 election.-Background:...

Eifion Wyn Williams
Eifion Wyn Williams
Eifion Wyn Williams is an environmental development officer and political candidate, working for Environment Wales and the Cylch-Wales Community Recycling Network....

Mike Priestley Iwan Huws
Iwan Huws
Iwan Huws is a former executive of environmental governing bodies and political candidate.Huws, from Y Felinheli, previously served as a chief executive of the Snowdonia National Park and as the Welsh director of the National Trust. In November 2010, Huws was selected as the Aberconwy constituency...

Conservative GAIN
Alyn and Deeside
Alyn and Deeside (Assembly constituency)
Alyn and Deeside is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election...

John Bell Carl Sargeant
Carl Sargeant
Carl Sargeant AM is a Welsh Labour politician and the Minister for Social Justice & Local Government in the Welsh Assembly Government...

Peter Williams Shane Brennan Mike Whitby (British National Party
British National Party
The British National Party is a British far-right political party formed as a splinter group from the National Front by John Tyndall in 1982...

)
Labour HOLD
Arfon
Arfon (Assembly constituency)
Arfon is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales, created for the 2007 Assembly election. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election...

Aled Davies Christina Rees Rhys Jones Alun Ffred Jones
Alun Ffred Jones
Alun Ffred Jones is a Welsh politician and member of Plaid Cymru. Jones was the National Assembly for Wales Member for Caernarfon 2003–07 and for the newly created Arfon constituency since the National Assembly for Wales election, 2007....

Plaid Cymru HOLD
Blaenau Gwent Bob Haywood Alun Davies Martin Blakebrough Darren Jones Jayne Sullivan (Independent
Independent (politician)
In politics, an independent or non-party politician is an individual not affiliated to any political party. Independents may hold a centrist viewpoint between those of major political parties, a viewpoint more extreme than any major party, or they may have a viewpoint based on issues that they do...

)
Brian Urch (British National Party
British National Party
The British National Party is a British far-right political party formed as a splinter group from the National Front by John Tyndall in 1982...

)
Labour GAIN
Brecon and Radnorshire
Brecon and Radnorshire (Assembly constituency)
Brecon and Radnorshire is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election...

Chris Davies Chris Lloyd Kirsty Williams
Kirsty Williams
Victoria Kirsty Williams is a British politician. She is the leader of the Welsh Liberal Democrats and the Member of the Welsh Assembly for Brecon and Radnorshire.-Early life:...

Gary Price LibDem HOLD
Bridgend Alex Williams Carwyn Jones
Carwyn Jones
Carwyn Howell Jones is a Welsh politician and the First Minister of Wales. The third official to lead the Welsh Government, Jones has been Assembly Member for Bridgend since 1999. In the coalition government of Welsh Labour and Plaid Cymru, he was appointed Counsel General for Wales and Leader of...

Briony Davies Tim Thomas Labour HOLD
Caerphilly Owen Meredith Jeff Cuthbert Kay David Ron Davies Anthony King (British National Party
British National Party
The British National Party is a British far-right political party formed as a splinter group from the National Front by John Tyndall in 1982...

)
Labour HOLD
Cardiff Central
Cardiff Central (Assembly constituency)
Cardiff Central is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election...

Matt Smith Jenny Rathbone
Jenny Rathbone
Jenny Rathbone AM is a Welsh Labour and Co-operative politician, who has represented the constituency of Cardiff Central since the National Assembly for Wales election of 2011.-External links:* -Offices held: -References:...

Nigel Howells Chris Williams Mathab Khan (Independent
Independent (politician)
In politics, an independent or non-party politician is an individual not affiliated to any political party. Independents may hold a centrist viewpoint between those of major political parties, a viewpoint more extreme than any major party, or they may have a viewpoint based on issues that they do...

)
Labour GAIN
Cardiff North
Cardiff North (Assembly constituency)
Cardiff North is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election...

Jonathan Morgan
Jonathan Morgan (Welsh politician)
Jonathan Morgan, is a Welsh Conservative politician, who served as a Conservative AM for South Wales Central from 1999–2007 and AM for Cardiff North from 2007-2011...

Julie Morgan
Julie Morgan
Julie Morgan AM is a British Labour Party politician, who was the Member of Parliament for Cardiff North from 1997 until 2010; she is married to former First Minister of Wales, Rhodri Morgan. Julie Morgan won the Cardiff North seat in the Welsh Assembly in the 2011 elections.-Early life,...

Matt Smith Ben Foday Labour GAIN
Cardiff South and Penarth
Cardiff South and Penarth (Assembly constituency)
Cardiff South and Penarth is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post electoral system...

Ben Gray Vaughan Gething
Vaughan Gething
Vaughan Gething AM is a Welsh Labour Co-operative politician, who has represented the constituency of Cardiff South and Penarth since the National Assembly for Wales election of 2011.-Early life:...

Sian Anne Cliff Liz Musa Labour HOLD
Cardiff West
Cardiff West (Assembly constituency)
Cardiff West is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election...

Craig Williams Mark Drakeford
Mark Drakeford
Mark Drakeford AM is a Welsh Labour & Co-operative politician, who has represented the constituency of Cardiff West since the National Assembly for Wales election of 2011.-External links:* -Offices held: -References:...

David Morgan Neil McEvoy Labour HOLD
Carmarthen East and Dinefwr
Carmarthen East and Dinefwr (Assembly constituency)
Carmarthen East and Dinefwr is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election...

Henrietta Hensher Antony Jones Will Griffiths Rhodri Glyn Thomas
Rhodri Glyn Thomas
Rhodri Glyn Thomas AM is a Welsh politician. He has been the Plaid Cymru National Assembly for Wales Member for Carmarthen East and Dinefwr since 1999.-Education:...

Plaid Cymru HOLD
Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire
Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire (Assembly constituency)
Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election...

Angela Burns
Angela Burns
Angela Burns is a British businesswoman and politician who was elected as Conservative member for Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire to the National Assembly for Wales in May 2007.-Background:...

Christine Gwyther
Christine Gwyther
Christine Gwyther is a Welsh Labour politician. She held the Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire constituency seat in the National Assembly for Wales from 1999-2007...

Selwyn Runnett Nerys Evans
Nerys Evans
Nerys Evans is a Welsh politician. She was a member of the National Assembly for Wales representing Plaid Cymru in the Mid and West Wales region...

Conservative HOLD
Ceredigion
Ceredigion (Assembly constituency)
Ceredigion is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election...

Luke Evetts Richard Boudier Elizabeth Evans Elin Jones
Elin Jones
Elin Jones AM , is a Welsh politician, born in Lampeter, Wales, who has represented Ceredigion for Plaid Cymru as a Member of the National Assembly for Wales since 1999.-Background:...

Chris Simpson (Welsh Green Party) Plaid Cymru HOLD
Clwyd South Paul Rogers Kenneth Skates Bruce Roberts Mabon ap Gwynfor Labour HOLD
Clwyd West
Clwyd West (Assembly constituency)
Clwyd West is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election. Also, however, it is one of nine constituencies in the North Wales electoral region, which elects four additional members, in addition to nine constituency...

Darren Millar
Darren Millar
Darren Millar is a Welsh politician. He is currently a Welsh Conservative member of the National Assembly for Wales for Clwyd West.-Personal:Darren Millar lives in the Kinmel Bay area with his wife and two children...

Crispin Jones Brian Cossey Eifion Lloyd Jones Conservative HOLD
Cynon Valley
Cynon Valley (Assembly constituency)
Cynon Valley is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election...

Daniel Saxton Christine Chapman
Christine Chapman
Christine Chapman is a Welsh Labour Co-operative politician who has been a Member of the National Assembly for Wales for Cynon Valley since 1999....

Ian Walton Dafydd Trystan Davies Labour HOLD
Delyn
Delyn (Assembly constituency)
Delyn is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election. Also, however, it is one of nine constituencies in the North Wales electoral region, which elects four additional members, in addition to nine constituency...

Matthew Wright Sandy Mewies
Sandy Mewies
Sandra Mewies AM is a Welsh Labour politician. Born in Brymbo, Clwyd, Mewies has represented the constituency of Delyn at the National Assembly for Wales since her election in 2003.-Education:...

Michele Jones Carrie Harper Labour HOLD
Dwyfor Meirionnydd
Dwyfor Meirionnydd (Assembly constituency)
Dwyfor Meirionnydd is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales, created for the 2007 Assembly election. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election...

Simon Baynes Martyn Singleton Steve Churchman Lord Elis-Thomas
Dafydd Elis-Thomas
Dafydd Elis Elis-Thomas, Baron Elis-Thomas, PC, AM, is a Welsh politician and was the Presiding Officer of the National Assembly for Wales until 2011...

Louise Hughes (Llais Gwynedd
Llais Gwynedd
' or Voice of Gwynedd is a small regionalist political party based in Gwynedd in North Wales. The party formed following the Plaid Cymru executive's proposal to more than halve the number of primary schools in Gwynedd by closing rural schools, many of the members being former members of Plaid...

)
Plaid Cymru HOLD
Gower Caroline Jones Edwina Hart
Edwina Hart
Edwina Hart, MBE, AM is a Welsh Labour politician who has represented the constituency of Gower since the National Assembly for Wales was established in 1999. Hart was appointed Minister for Health and Social Services in the Welsh Government in May 2007.-Background:Hart was born and raised in...

Peter May Darren Price Labour HOLD
Islwyn David Chipp Gwyn Price Tom Sullivan Steffan Lewis Peter Whalley (British National Party
British National Party
The British National Party is a British far-right political party formed as a splinter group from the National Front by John Tyndall in 1982...

)
Labour HOLD
Llanelli
Llanelli (Assembly constituency)
Llanelli is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election. Also, however, it is one of eight constituencies in the Mid and West Wales electoral region, which elects four additional members, in addition to eight...

Andrew Morgan Keith Davies Cheryl Philpott Helen Mary Jones
Helen Mary Jones
Helen Mary Jones is a Plaid Cymru politician, who was a member of the National Assembly for Wales from 1999 to 2011.-Background:...

Sian Caiach (Putting Llanelli First) Labour GAIN
Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney Chris O'Brien Huw Lewis
Huw Lewis
Huw Lewis AM is a Welsh Labour Co-operative politician. Born in Merthyr Tydfil, Glamorgan, Lewis has represented the Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney constituency since the National Assembly for Wales was established in 1999.-Early life:...

Amy Kitcher Noel Turner Tony Rogers (Independent
Independent (politician)
In politics, an independent or non-party politician is an individual not affiliated to any political party. Independents may hold a centrist viewpoint between those of major political parties, a viewpoint more extreme than any major party, or they may have a viewpoint based on issues that they do...

)
Labour HOLD
Monmouth Nick Ramsay
Nick Ramsay
Nick Ramsay is a British Conservative politician who has been a Member of the Welsh Assembly since 2007. He currently represents the constituency of Monmouth.-Early life:...

Mark Whitcutt Janet Ellard Fiona Cross Steve Uncles (English Democrats) Conservative HOLD
Montgomeryshire
Montgomeryshire (Assembly constituency)
Montgomeryshire is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election...

Russell George
Russell George
Russell Ian George is a Conservative Party politician and was elected as the Montgomeryshire Assembly Member in the National Assembly for Wales at the May 2011 election.-Background:Russell was born in Welshpool and brought up in Montgomeryshire...

Nick Colbourne Wyn Williams David Senior Conservative GAIN
Neath Alex Powell Gwenda Thomas
Gwenda Thomas
Gwenda Thomas AM is the Labour Assembly Member for Neath. Mrs Thomas was first elected to the National Assembly for Wales in 1999 and re-elected in 2003, having almost doubled her majority. She is a fluent Welsh speaker...

Matthew McCarthy Alun Llewellyn Mike Green (British National Party
British National Party
The British National Party is a British far-right political party formed as a splinter group from the National Front by John Tyndall in 1982...

)
Labour HOLD
Newport East Nick Webb John Griffiths
John Griffiths
John Griffiths AM is a Welsh Labour Co-operative politician and the Minister for Environment and Sustainable Development...

Ed Townsend Chris Paul Labour HOLD
Newport West David Williams Rosemary Butler
Rosemary Butler
Rosemary Butler began her career playing bass and singing in an all-girl band named the Ladybirds. The band appeared on several LA area television shows before opening for the Rolling Stones in 1964. She then joined all-female hard rock band Birtha who released two albums for Dunhill Records...

Elizabeth Newton Lyndon Binding Labour HOLD
Ogmore Martyn Hughes Janice Gregory
Janice Gregory
Janice Gregory AM is a Welsh Labour politician, who has represented the constituency of Ogmore since the National Assembly for Wales was established in 1999...

Gerald Francis Danny Clark Labour HOLD
Pontypridd
Pontypridd (Assembly constituency)
Pontypridd is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election...

Joel James Mick Antoniw
Mick Antoniw
Mick Antoniw AM is a Welsh Labour & Co-operative politician, who has represented the constituency of Pontypridd since the National Assembly for Wales election of 2011.-Early life:...

Mike Powell Ioan Bellin Ken Owen (Independent
Independent (politician)
In politics, an independent or non-party politician is an individual not affiliated to any political party. Independents may hold a centrist viewpoint between those of major political parties, a viewpoint more extreme than any major party, or they may have a viewpoint based on issues that they do...

))
Labour HOLD
Preseli Pembrokeshire
Preseli Pembrokeshire (Assembly constituency)
Preseli Pembrokeshire is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election...

Paul Davies Terry Mills Bob Kilmister Rhys Sinnett Conservative HOLD
Rhondda
Rhondda (Assembly constituency)
Rhondda is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election. Also, however, it is one of eight constituencies in the South Wales Central electoral region, which elects four additional members, in addition to eight...

James Eric Jefferys Leighton Andrews
Leighton Andrews
Leighton Andrews is a Welsh Labour politician, currently the National Assembly for Wales member for Rhondda since 2003...

George Summers Sera Evans-Fear Labour HOLD
Swansea East Dan Boucher Michael Hedges
Michael Hedges
Michael Alden Hedges was an American composer, Acoustic guitarist and singer-songwriter.-Background:...

Sam Samuel Dic Jones Joanne Shannon (British National Party
British National Party
The British National Party is a British far-right political party formed as a splinter group from the National Front by John Tyndall in 1982...

)
Labour HOLD
Swansea West Stephen Jenkins Julie James
Julie James
Julie James AM is a Welsh Labour politician, who has represented the constituency of Swansea West since the National Assembly for Wales election of 2011.-Offices held:...

Rob Speht Carl Harris Labour HOLD
Torfaen Natasha Asghar Lynne Neagle
Lynne Neagle
Lynne Neagle AM is a Welsh Labour & Co-operative politician. Born in Merthyr Tydfil, Glamorgan, Wales, Neagle has represented the constituency of Torfaen since the National Assembly for Wales was established in 1999.-Background:...

Will Griffiths Jeff Rees Susan Harwood (British National Party
British National Party
The British National Party is a British far-right political party formed as a splinter group from the National Front by John Tyndall in 1982...

)
Elizabeth Haynes (Independent
Independent (politician)
In politics, an independent or non-party politician is an individual not affiliated to any political party. Independents may hold a centrist viewpoint between those of major political parties, a viewpoint more extreme than any major party, or they may have a viewpoint based on issues that they do...

))
Labour HOLD
Vale of Clwyd
Vale of Clwyd (Assembly constituency)
The Vale of Clwyd is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election...

Ian Gunning Ann Jones
Ann Jones (Welsh politician)
Margaret Ann Jones AM is a Welsh Labour Co-operative politician. Born in Rhyl, Denbighshire, Jones has represented the Vale of Clwyd constituency since the National Assembly for Wales was established in 1999. Jones is presently Chair of the Equality of Opportunity Committee...

Heather Prydderch Alun Lloyd Jones Labour HOLD
Vale of Glamorgan
Vale of Glamorgan (Assembly constituency)
Vale of Glamorgan is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election...

Angela Jones-Evans Jane Hutt
Jane Hutt
Jane Hutt AM is a Welsh Labour politician and a Minister in the Welsh Assembly Government. Hutt has represented the Vale of Glamorgan constituency since the National Assembly for Wales was established in 1999...

Damian Chick Ian Johnson Labour HOLD
Wrexham John Marek Lesley Griffiths
Lesley Griffiths
Lesley Griffiths AM is a Welsh Labour politician. She worked as a secretary to John Marek and the constituency assistant to Ian Lucas, successive Members of Parliament for Wrexham, and was elected to the National Assembly for Wales from the Wrexham constituency in 2007...

Bill Brereton Marc Jones Labour HOLD
Ynys Môn
Ynys Môn (Assembly constituency)
Ynys Môn is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election...

Paul Williams Joe Lock Rhys Taylor Ieuan Wyn Jones
Ieuan Wyn Jones
Ieuan Wyn Jones, AM is a Welsh politician, who was the Deputy First Minister in the Welsh Assembly Government from 2007 until 2011. Jones is the current leader of Plaid Cymru and Member of the National Assembly for Wales for the Ynys Môn constituency...

Plaid Cymru HOLD

Mid and West Wales

British National Party
British National Party
The British National Party is a British far-right political party formed as a splinter group from the National Front by John Tyndall in 1982...

Communist Party of Britain
Communist Party of Britain
The Communist Party of Britain is a communist political party in Great Britain. Although founded in 1988 it traces its origins back to 1920 and the Communist Party of Great Britain, and claims the legacy of that party and its most influential members Harry Pollitt and John Gollan as its...

Welsh Conservative Party
Welsh Conservative Party
The Welsh Conservatives & Unionists , informally the Welsh Conservatives or Welsh Tories, are the part of the Conservative Party which operates in Wales...

Green Party of England and Wales
Green Party of England and Wales
The Green Party of England and Wales is a political party in England and Wales which follows the traditions of Green politics and maintains a strong commitment to social progressivism. It is the largest Green party in the United Kingdom, containing within it various regional divisions including...

Welsh Labour Welsh Liberal Democrats
Welsh Liberal Democrats
The Welsh Liberal Democrats are one of the three state parties of the federal Liberal Democrats and operate within Wales, the others being the Scottish Liberal Democrats and the Liberal Democrats in England....

Plaid Cymru
Plaid Cymru
' is a political party in Wales. It advocates the establishment of an independent Welsh state within the European Union. was formed in 1925 and won its first seat in 1966...

Socialist Labour Party
Socialist Labour Party (UK)
The Socialist Labour Party is a far left socialist political party in the United Kingdom. The party is led by former trade union leader Arthur Scargill, who established it in 1996 as a breakaway from the Labour Party...

UK Independence Party Welsh Christian Party
1. Kay Thomas Catrin Ashton Nick Bourne
Nick Bourne
Nicholas Henry Bourne is a Welsh Conservative politician. He served as the Leader of the Welsh Conservative Party and as a member of the National Assembly for Wales for the Mid and West Wales electoral region from August 1999 until May 2011...

Leila Kiersch Joyce Watson
Joyce Watson
Joyce Watson, born 1955, is a Welsh Labour politician who has been a Member of the National Assembly for Wales for Mid and West Wales since 2007.-Career:...

William Powell
William Powell (Welsh politician)
William Powell is a Liberal Democrat politician and a member of the National Assembly of Wales for Mid and West Wales. In 1999 he stood for the pro European Conservatives in the European election in Wales but joined the Liberal Democrats shortly afterwards...

Simon Thomas Liz Screen Christine Williams Jeff Green
2. Watcyn Richards Rick Newnham Lisa Francis
Lisa Francis
Lisa Francis is a former member of the National Assembly for Wales for the Welsh Conservative Party in the Mid and West Wales region. The region covers the areas of Powys, Pembrokeshire, Ceredigion, Camarthenshire and Gwynedd; Francis represented the region from 2003 to 2007.Francis currently ...

Marilyn Elson Rebecca Evans Mark Cole Rhys Davies Adam Kelsey Clive Easton Adam Bridgman
3. Roger Phillips Barbara Thomas Ian Harrison Pat McCarthy Matthew Dorrance Edward Wilson Llywelyn Rees Barry Giddings David W Rowlands Martin Wiltshire
4. Gary Tumulty Clive Eliassen Gareth Ratcliffe Neil Lewis Iqbal Malik Steffan John Ellen ap Gwynn Robert Board Nick Powell Sue Green
5. Keith Evans Ken Simpkin Gemma Bowker
6. Stephen Kaye Rachael Sweeting
7. Dan Munford
8. Evan Price
  • RESULT: Labour - 2 seats; Plaid Cymru - 1 seat; Liberal Democrats - 1 seat
    (Change: LibDem GAIN 1 seat from Conservative)
  • Nick Bourne
    Nick Bourne
    Nicholas Henry Bourne is a Welsh Conservative politician. He served as the Leader of the Welsh Conservative Party and as a member of the National Assembly for Wales for the Mid and West Wales electoral region from August 1999 until May 2011...

    , Welsh Conservative Party leader, lost his seat

North Wales

British National Party
British National Party
The British National Party is a British far-right political party formed as a splinter group from the National Front by John Tyndall in 1982...

Communist Party of Britain
Communist Party of Britain
The Communist Party of Britain is a communist political party in Great Britain. Although founded in 1988 it traces its origins back to 1920 and the Communist Party of Great Britain, and claims the legacy of that party and its most influential members Harry Pollitt and John Gollan as its...

Welsh Conservative Party
Welsh Conservative Party
The Welsh Conservatives & Unionists , informally the Welsh Conservatives or Welsh Tories, are the part of the Conservative Party which operates in Wales...

Green Party of England and Wales
Green Party of England and Wales
The Green Party of England and Wales is a political party in England and Wales which follows the traditions of Green politics and maintains a strong commitment to social progressivism. It is the largest Green party in the United Kingdom, containing within it various regional divisions including...

Independent
Independent (politician)
In politics, an independent or non-party politician is an individual not affiliated to any political party. Independents may hold a centrist viewpoint between those of major political parties, a viewpoint more extreme than any major party, or they may have a viewpoint based on issues that they do...

Welsh Labour Welsh Liberal Democrats
Welsh Liberal Democrats
The Welsh Liberal Democrats are one of the three state parties of the federal Liberal Democrats and operate within Wales, the others being the Scottish Liberal Democrats and the Liberal Democrats in England....

Plaid Cymru
Plaid Cymru
' is a political party in Wales. It advocates the establishment of an independent Welsh state within the European Union. was formed in 1925 and won its first seat in 1966...

Socialist Labour Party
Socialist Labour Party (UK)
The Socialist Labour Party is a far left socialist political party in the United Kingdom. The party is led by former trade union leader Arthur Scargill, who established it in 1996 as a breakaway from the Labour Party...

UK Independence Party Welsh Christian Party
1. John Walker Glyn Davies Mark Isherwood
Mark Isherwood
Mark Isherwood, born 21 January 1959, is a Conservative member of the National Assembly for Wales for the region of North Wales. He is the son of Liberal Democrat politician Rodney Isherwood.-Education:Stockport Grammar School...

Dorienne Robinson Jason Weyman Gwyneth Thomas Aled Roberts (Disqualified, then reinstated) Llyr Huws Griffiths Kathrine Jones Nathan Gill Ralph Kinch
2. Richard Barnes Trevor Jones Antoinette Sandbach
Antoinette Sandbach
Antoinette Sandbach is a Conservative Party politician and was elected as a North Wales regional Assembly Member in the National Assembly for Wales at the May 2011 election....

Timothy Foster David Phillips Eleanor Burnham
Eleanor Burnham
Eleanor Burnham is a Welsh Liberal Democrat politician, and was a Member of the Welsh Assembly for the North Wales Regional Constituency until May 2011.-Background:...

Heledd Fychan David Jones Warwick Nicholson Louise Wynne-Jones
3. Ian Si’Ree Rhian Cartwright Janet Howarth Peter Haig Diane Green Mark Young Dyfed Edwards Robert English Andrew Haigh Lindsay Griffiths
4. Clive Jefferson Graham Morgan Julian Thompson-Hill Ann Were Colin Hughes Anne Williams Liz Saville Roberts John Mcleod Elwyn Williams Neil Bastow
5. Ranil Jayawardena Victor Babu
6. Samantha Cotton
7. Martin Peet
8. Sam Rowlands
9. John Broughton
  • RESULT: Conservative - 2 seats; Plaid Cymru - 1 seat; Liberal Democrats - 1 seat
    (No change)

South Wales Central

British National Party - Plaid Genedlaethol Prydain Ceidwadwyr Cymreig / Welsh Conservatives Christian Party (Wales) "Proclaiming Christ's Lordship" / Plaid Gristionogol Cymru "Datgan Arglwyddiaeth Cris" Green Party / Plaid Werdd Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales Socialist Labour Party Plaid Lafur Sosialaidd The Official Monster Raving Loony Party Trade Unionists and Socialists Against Cuts UKIP Wales - UKIP Cymru Welsh Communist Party / YBlaid Gomiwynyddol Gymreig Welsh Labour / Lafur Cymru Welsh Liberal Democrats / Democratiaid Rhyddfrydol Cymru
1. Gareth Connors Andrew R.T. Davies John Harrold Jake Griffiths Leanne Wood
Leanne Wood
Leanne Wood AM , is a Welsh politician, born in the Rhondda, Wales, who has represented the South Wales Central region for Plaid Cymru as a Member of the National Assembly for Wales since 2003. Wood is known as a republican and socialist....

Andrew Jordan Mark Beech
Mark Beech
Mark Beech is an unemployed career politician nominally affiliated with the Official Monster Raving Loony Party, he has also represented the Labour party and as an independent campaigner.-University Politics:...

Ross Saunders Kevin Philip Mahoney Robert David Griffiths
Robert Griffiths (politician)
Robert Griffiths is the general-secretary of the Communist Party of Britain . He was elected by the CPB's Executive Committee in January 1998, in place of Mike Hicks, who, along with others, subsequently left the party he had a major role in founding....

Jane Brencher John Dixon (Disqualified)
2. Mary John David Melding Clive Bate Sam Coates Chris Franks
Chris Franks
Christopher Paul Franks is a Welsh engineer and politician. A member of Plaid Cymru, he has led the party's group on the Vale of Glamorgan council. Between 2007 and 2011 he was a member of the National Assembly for Wales losing in 2011....

Adrian Dumphy Pinkandorevil Gem Sarah Mayo Simon Christopher David Zeigler Gwen Griffiths Craig Jones Eluned Parrott
Eluned Parrott
- Biography :Eluned Parrott became the first Welsh Liberal Democrat to be elected to the South Wales Central Assembly seat in 2011 on the failure of the number one candidate John Dixon to be reinstated following his suspension. He had been suspended on the grounds of being a member of the Care...

(sworn in 6 July 2011)
3. Keith Fairhurst Lyn Hudson Donald Watson John Matthews Delme Bowen Diana Whitley-Jones Brian Lewis Lawrence Douglas Gwynn Fran Rawlings Alex Thomas Rachael Hitchinson
4. Edward O’Sullivan Richard Howard Hopkins Derek Thomson Matt Townsend Richard Grigg Harry Parfitt Helen Jones Anthony John Jenkins Clive Griffiths John David Drysdale Elgan Morgan
5. Christopher Williams Teleri Clark Andrew Price Andrew Sherwood
6. Kyle Robert Smith Filipa Machado
7. Axel Kaehne Leanne Francis
8. Helen Hancock Rae Lewis-Ayling
9. Nagina Kabul
10. Glyn Matthews
11. Keiron Hopkins
12. Rowena Mason
  • RESULT: Conservative - 2 seats; Plaid Cymru - 1 seat; Liberal Democrats - 1 seat

South Wales East

British National Party
British National Party
The British National Party is a British far-right political party formed as a splinter group from the National Front by John Tyndall in 1982...

Communist Party of Britain
Communist Party of Britain
The Communist Party of Britain is a communist political party in Great Britain. Although founded in 1988 it traces its origins back to 1920 and the Communist Party of Great Britain, and claims the legacy of that party and its most influential members Harry Pollitt and John Gollan as its...

Welsh Conservative Party
Welsh Conservative Party
The Welsh Conservatives & Unionists , informally the Welsh Conservatives or Welsh Tories, are the part of the Conservative Party which operates in Wales...

English Democrats Green Party of England and Wales
Green Party of England and Wales
The Green Party of England and Wales is a political party in England and Wales which follows the traditions of Green politics and maintains a strong commitment to social progressivism. It is the largest Green party in the United Kingdom, containing within it various regional divisions including...

Welsh Labour Welsh Liberal Democrats
Welsh Liberal Democrats
The Welsh Liberal Democrats are one of the three state parties of the federal Liberal Democrats and operate within Wales, the others being the Scottish Liberal Democrats and the Liberal Democrats in England....

Plaid Cymru
Plaid Cymru
' is a political party in Wales. It advocates the establishment of an independent Welsh state within the European Union. was formed in 1925 and won its first seat in 1966...

Socialist Labour Party
Socialist Labour Party (UK)
The Socialist Labour Party is a far left socialist political party in the United Kingdom. The party is led by former trade union leader Arthur Scargill, who established it in 1996 as a breakaway from the Labour Party...

UK Independence Party Welsh Christian Party
1. Laurence Reid Tommy Roberts William Graham
William Graham (Welsh politician)
William Graham JP is a Conservative politician, currently European Affairs spokesman for the Official Opposition in the National Assembly for Wales and Conservative group chairman and Chief Whip.-Background:...

Laurence Williams Christopher Were Debbie Wilcox Veronica German
Veronica German
Veronica German is a Liberal Democrat politician and a former member of the National Assembly of Wales. She was a list member for South Wales East between 2010 and 2011.-Background:...

Jocelyn Davies
Jocelyn Davies
Jocelyn Davies is a Plaid Cymru politician and a member of the National Assembly of Wales, list member for South Wales East since 1999. She was Deputy Minister for Housing and Regeneration...

Alyson O'Connell David J Rowlands Dave Owen
2. Jennie Noble Roy Evans Mohammad Asghar
Mohammad Asghar
Mohammad Asghar , known as Oscar, is an Asian politician, who has been a member of the Conservative party, the Labour party, and Plaid Cymru. He came to prominence after being elected to the Welsh Assembly in 2007 as a member of Plaid Cymru on the list for South Wales East...

Kim Burelli Pippa Bartolotti Anthony Hunt Phil Hobson Lindsay Whittle
Lindsay Whittle
Lindsay Whittle is a Welsh politician, a member of Plaid Cymru and an Assembly Member for the South Wales East electoral region in the National Assembly for Wales.-Political career:...

Susan Lesley Deare Neil (Jock) Greer Steve McCreery
3. John Voisey Julian Jones Caroline Oag Robin Tilbrook
Robin Tilbrook
Robin William Charles Tilbrook is a solicitor and English politician, the chairman and founder member of the English Democrats.-Politics:...

Owen Clarke Karen Wilkie Bob Griffin Bleddyn Hancock Alan Brian Cowdell Peter Osbourne Raphael Martin
4. Jennifer Matthys Angharad Khan-Raja Benjamin Smith Teresa Canon Alan Williams Hefin David Alison Willott Jonathan Clark Joyce Irene Giblin Gareth Dunn Tracey Martin
5. Paul Pavia Mike Tibby Brendan D'Cruz
6. Susannah Beatson-Hird
7. Paul Williams
8. Paul Stafford
  • RESULT: Conservative - 2 seats; Plaid Cymru - 2 seats
    (Change: Plaid Cymru GAIN 1 seat from LibDem)

South Wales West

British National Party
British National Party
The British National Party is a British far-right political party formed as a splinter group from the National Front by John Tyndall in 1982...

Communist Party of Britain
Communist Party of Britain
The Communist Party of Britain is a communist political party in Great Britain. Although founded in 1988 it traces its origins back to 1920 and the Communist Party of Great Britain, and claims the legacy of that party and its most influential members Harry Pollitt and John Gollan as its...

Welsh Conservative Party
Welsh Conservative Party
The Welsh Conservatives & Unionists , informally the Welsh Conservatives or Welsh Tories, are the part of the Conservative Party which operates in Wales...

Green Party of England and Wales
Green Party of England and Wales
The Green Party of England and Wales is a political party in England and Wales which follows the traditions of Green politics and maintains a strong commitment to social progressivism. It is the largest Green party in the United Kingdom, containing within it various regional divisions including...

Welsh Labour Welsh Liberal Democrats
Welsh Liberal Democrats
The Welsh Liberal Democrats are one of the three state parties of the federal Liberal Democrats and operate within Wales, the others being the Scottish Liberal Democrats and the Liberal Democrats in England....

Plaid Cymru
Plaid Cymru
' is a political party in Wales. It advocates the establishment of an independent Welsh state within the European Union. was formed in 1925 and won its first seat in 1966...

Socialist Labour Party
Socialist Labour Party (UK)
The Socialist Labour Party is a far left socialist political party in the United Kingdom. The party is led by former trade union leader Arthur Scargill, who established it in 1996 as a breakaway from the Labour Party...

Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition
Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition
Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition is a socialist electoral alliance launched in Britain for the 2010 General Election.The coalition was negotiated between groups which had taken part in the No2EU coalition that fought the June 2009 European elections...

UK Independence Party Welsh Christian Party
1. Clive Bennett John Morrissey Suzy Davies
Suzy Davies (Welsh politician)
Suzy Davies is a Welsh Conservative Party politician, and first on the Conservative list for the region of South Wales West in the National Assembly for Wales election in May 2011...

Keith Ross Alana Davies Peter Black
Peter Black (Welsh politician)
Peter Black is a Welsh Liberal Democrat politician, and Member of the Welsh Assembly for the South Wales West Region.-Background:...

Bethan Jenkins
Bethan Jenkins
Bethan Jenkins AM , is a Welsh politician, born in Aberdare, Wales, who has represented the South Wales West Region for Plaid Cymru as a Member of the National Assembly for Wales since 2007.-Background:...

David Leonard Davies Ronnie Job David Bevan David Griffths
2. Adam Walker Laura Picand Byron Davies
Byron Davies
Henry Byron Davies is a Conservative Party politician and was elected as a South Wales West regional Assembly Member in the National Assembly for Wales at the May 2011 election.-Background:...

Huw Evans Geraint Hopkins Stuart Rice David Lloyd
David Lloyd (Welsh politician)
Dr David Rees Lloyd is a Welsh politician. He has a wife Catherine, and they have 3 children. He was the Plaid Cymru National Assembly for Wales Member for South Wales West from 1999 to 2011....

Derek Roy Isaacs Owen Herbert John Atkinson Dick Van Steenis
3. Sion Owens David Brown Altaf Hussain Delyth Margaret Miller Marie John Cheryl Green Myfanwy Davies Shangara Singh Bhatoe Mark Evans Tim Jenkins Maggie Harrold
4. Adam Lloyd Dan Cole Helen Baker Andrew Paul Chyba Edward Jones Wayne Morgan Linet Purcell Ranjit Singh Bhatoe Les Woodward David Rodgers Ray Bridgman
5. Matthew Voisey Frank Little Claire Job
6. Steve Gallagher Alec Thraves
7. Dayne Powell Caroline Butchers
8. Gareth Williams Dave Phillips
9. Helen Stew
10. Martin White
11. Rob Williams
12. Rob Owen
  • RESULT: Conservative - 2 seats; Plaid Cymru - 1 seat; LibDem - 1 seat
    (Change: Conservative GAIN 1 seat from Plaid Cymru)

Target seats for the main parties

Below are listed all the constituencies which require a swing
Swing (politics)
An electoral swing analysis shows the extent of change in voter support from one election to another. It is an indicator of voter support for individual candidates or political parties, or voter preference between two or more candidates or parties...

 of less than 7.5% from the 2007 result to change hands.

Labour Targets

Rank Constituency Winning party 2007 Swing to gain Labour's place 2007 Result
1 Carmarthen West & South Pembrokeshire
Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire (Assembly constituency)
Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election...


0.17 2nd Conservative hold
2 Clwyd West
Clwyd West (Assembly constituency)
Clwyd West is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election. Also, however, it is one of nine constituencies in the North Wales electoral region, which elects four additional members, in addition to nine constituency...


3.05 2nd Conservative hold
3 Preseli Pembrokeshire
Preseli Pembrokeshire (Assembly constituency)
Preseli Pembrokeshire is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election...


5.58 2nd Conservative hold
4 Llanelli
Llanelli (Assembly constituency)
Llanelli is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election. Also, however, it is one of eight constituencies in the Mid and West Wales electoral region, which elects four additional members, in addition to eight...


7.04 2nd Labour gain
5 Cardiff North
Cardiff North (Assembly constituency)
Cardiff North is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election...


7.19 2nd Labour gain

Plaid Cymru Targets

Rank Constituency Winning party 2007 Swing to gain PC's place 2007 Result
1 Carmarthen West & South Pembrokeshire
Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire (Assembly constituency)
Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election...


0.44 3rd Conservative hold
2 Clwyd West
Clwyd West (Assembly constituency)
Clwyd West is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election. Also, however, it is one of nine constituencies in the North Wales electoral region, which elects four additional members, in addition to nine constituency...


3.33 3rd Conservative hold
3 Neath
3.36 2nd Labour hold
4 Caerphilly
4.38 2nd Labour hold
5 Preseli Pembrokeshire
Preseli Pembrokeshire (Assembly constituency)
Preseli Pembrokeshire is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election...


6.92 3rd Conservative hold

Conservative Targets

Rank Constituency Winning party 2007 Swing to gain Con's place 2007 Result
1 Vale of Glamorgan
Vale of Glamorgan (Assembly constituency)
Vale of Glamorgan is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election...


0.13 2nd Labour hold
2 Vale of Clwyd
Vale of Clwyd (Assembly constituency)
The Vale of Clwyd is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election...


0.21 2nd Labour hold
3 Delyn
Delyn (Assembly constituency)
Delyn is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election. Also, however, it is one of nine constituencies in the North Wales electoral region, which elects four additional members, in addition to nine constituency...


1.18 2nd Labour hold
4 Gower
2.17 2nd Labour hold
5 Clwyd South
2.87 2nd Labour hold
6 Newport West
2.96 2nd Labour hold
7 Aberconwy
Aberconwy (Assembly constituency)
Aberconwy is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales, created for the 2007 Assembly election. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election...


4.09 2nd Conservative gain
8 Montgomeryshire
Montgomeryshire (Assembly constituency)
Montgomeryshire is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election...


4.44 2nd Conservative gain
9 Newport East
4.73 3rd Labour hold
10 Cardiff South & Penarth
Cardiff South and Penarth (Assembly constituency)
Cardiff South and Penarth is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post electoral system...


5.15 2nd Labour hold
11 Bridgend
5.21 2nd Labour hold
12 Wrexham
5.78 3rd Labour hold
13 Swansea West
6.58 3rd Labour hold
14 Cardiff West
Cardiff West (Assembly constituency)
Cardiff West is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election...


6.88 2nd Labour hold

Liberal Democrat Targets

Rank Constituency Winning party 2007 Swing to gain LD's place 2007 Result
1 Newport East
2.20 2nd Labour hold
2 Swansea West
3.30 2nd Labour hold
3 Wrexham
6.05 4th Labour hold
4 Ceredigion
Ceredigion (Assembly constituency)
Ceredigion is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election...


6.57 2nd Plaid Cymru hold
5 Pontypridd
Pontypridd (Assembly constituency)
Pontypridd is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election...


7.11 2nd Labour hold

New members

23 of the members elected to the Assembly in the election were not members of the previous Assembly.
  • Mick Antoniw
    Mick Antoniw
    Mick Antoniw AM is a Welsh Labour & Co-operative politician, who has represented the constituency of Pontypridd since the National Assembly for Wales election of 2011.-Early life:...

    , Labour, Pontypridd
    Pontypridd (Assembly constituency)
    Pontypridd is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election...

  • Byron Davies
    Byron Davies
    Henry Byron Davies is a Conservative Party politician and was elected as a South Wales West regional Assembly Member in the National Assembly for Wales at the May 2011 election.-Background:...

    , Welsh Conservative, South Wales West electoral region
  • Keith Davies, Labour, Llanelli
    Llanelli (Assembly constituency)
    Llanelli is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election. Also, however, it is one of eight constituencies in the Mid and West Wales electoral region, which elects four additional members, in addition to eight...

  • Suzy Davies
    Suzy Davies (Welsh politician)
    Suzy Davies is a Welsh Conservative Party politician, and first on the Conservative list for the region of South Wales West in the National Assembly for Wales election in May 2011...

    , Welsh Conservative, South Wales West electoral region
  • Mark Drakeford
    Mark Drakeford
    Mark Drakeford AM is a Welsh Labour & Co-operative politician, who has represented the constituency of Cardiff West since the National Assembly for Wales election of 2011.-External links:* -Offices held: -References:...

    , Labour, Cardiff West
    Cardiff West (Assembly constituency)
    Cardiff West is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election...

  • Rebecca Evans, Labour, Mid and West Wales electoral region
  • Janet Finch-Saunders
    Janet Finch-Saunders
    Janet Finch-Saunders is a Conservative Party politician and Assembly Member for Aberconwy in the National Assembly for Wales after the May 2011 election.-Background:...

    , Welsh Conservative, Aberconwy
    Aberconwy (Assembly constituency)
    Aberconwy is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales, created for the 2007 Assembly election. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election...

  • Russell George
    Russell George
    Russell Ian George is a Conservative Party politician and was elected as the Montgomeryshire Assembly Member in the National Assembly for Wales at the May 2011 election.-Background:Russell was born in Welshpool and brought up in Montgomeryshire...

    , Welsh Conservative, Montgomeryshire
    Montgomeryshire (Assembly constituency)
    Montgomeryshire is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election...

  • Vaughan Gething
    Vaughan Gething
    Vaughan Gething AM is a Welsh Labour Co-operative politician, who has represented the constituency of Cardiff South and Penarth since the National Assembly for Wales election of 2011.-Early life:...

    , Labour, Cardiff South and Penarth
    Cardiff South and Penarth (Assembly constituency)
    Cardiff South and Penarth is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post electoral system...

  • Llyr Huws Gruffydd
    Llyr Huws Gruffydd
    Llyr Huws Gruffydd, sometimes known as Llyr Hughes Griffiths, is a Welsh Plaid Cymru politician, and a Member of the Welsh Assembly for the North Wales region.-Background:...

    , Plaid Cymru
    Plaid Cymru
    ' is a political party in Wales. It advocates the establishment of an independent Welsh state within the European Union. was formed in 1925 and won its first seat in 1966...

    , North Wales electoral region
  • Michael Hedges, Labour, Swansea East
  • Julie James
    Julie James
    Julie James AM is a Welsh Labour politician, who has represented the constituency of Swansea West since the National Assembly for Wales election of 2011.-Offices held:...

    , Labour, Swansea West
  • Julie Morgan
    Julie Morgan
    Julie Morgan AM is a British Labour Party politician, who was the Member of Parliament for Cardiff North from 1997 until 2010; she is married to former First Minister of Wales, Rhodri Morgan. Julie Morgan won the Cardiff North seat in the Welsh Assembly in the 2011 elections.-Early life,...

    , Labour, Cardiff North
    Cardiff North (Assembly constituency)
    Cardiff North is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election...

  • Eluned Parrott
    Eluned Parrott
    - Biography :Eluned Parrott became the first Welsh Liberal Democrat to be elected to the South Wales Central Assembly seat in 2011 on the failure of the number one candidate John Dixon to be reinstated following his suspension. He had been suspended on the grounds of being a member of the Care...

    , Liberal Democrat
    Welsh Liberal Democrats
    The Welsh Liberal Democrats are one of the three state parties of the federal Liberal Democrats and operate within Wales, the others being the Scottish Liberal Democrats and the Liberal Democrats in England....

    , South Wales Central electoral region
  • William Powell
    William Powell (Welsh politician)
    William Powell is a Liberal Democrat politician and a member of the National Assembly of Wales for Mid and West Wales. In 1999 he stood for the pro European Conservatives in the European election in Wales but joined the Liberal Democrats shortly afterwards...

    , Liberal Democrat
    Welsh Liberal Democrats
    The Welsh Liberal Democrats are one of the three state parties of the federal Liberal Democrats and operate within Wales, the others being the Scottish Liberal Democrats and the Liberal Democrats in England....

    , Mid and West Wales electoral region
  • Gwyn Price, Labour, Islwyn
  • Jenny Rathbone
    Jenny Rathbone
    Jenny Rathbone AM is a Welsh Labour and Co-operative politician, who has represented the constituency of Cardiff Central since the National Assembly for Wales election of 2011.-External links:* -Offices held: -References:...

    , Labour, Cardiff Central
    Cardiff Central (Assembly constituency)
    Cardiff Central is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election...

  • David Rees, Labour, Aberavon
  • Aled Roberts, Liberal Democrat
    Welsh Liberal Democrats
    The Welsh Liberal Democrats are one of the three state parties of the federal Liberal Democrats and operate within Wales, the others being the Scottish Liberal Democrats and the Liberal Democrats in England....

    , North Wales electoral region (see below)
  • Antoinette Sandbach
    Antoinette Sandbach
    Antoinette Sandbach is a Conservative Party politician and was elected as a North Wales regional Assembly Member in the National Assembly for Wales at the May 2011 election....

    , Welsh Conservative, North Wales electoral region
  • Ken Skates
    Ken Skates
    Ken Skate AM is a Welsh Labour politician, who has represented the constituency of Clwyd South since the National Assembly for Wales election of 2011.-External links:* -Offices held: -References:...

    , Labour, Clwyd South
  • Simon Thomas, Plaid Cymru
    Plaid Cymru
    ' is a political party in Wales. It advocates the establishment of an independent Welsh state within the European Union. was formed in 1925 and won its first seat in 1966...

    , Mid and West Wales electoral region
  • Lindsay Whittle
    Lindsay Whittle
    Lindsay Whittle is a Welsh politician, a member of Plaid Cymru and an Assembly Member for the South Wales East electoral region in the National Assembly for Wales.-Political career:...

    , Plaid Cymru
    Plaid Cymru
    ' is a political party in Wales. It advocates the establishment of an independent Welsh state within the European Union. was formed in 1925 and won its first seat in 1966...

    , South Wales East electoral region


On 17 May it was discovered that two of the newly-elected AMs, John Dixon and Aled Roberts, held posts which disqualified them from election to the Assembly. Although they had formally taken their seats at the first meeting on 11 May, they were then removed from membership of Assembly. Both resigned the posts which had given rise to the disqualification. After taking legal advice, the Presiding Officer Rosemary Butler
Rosemary Butler
Rosemary Butler began her career playing bass and singing in an all-girl band named the Ladybirds. The band appeared on several LA area television shows before opening for the Rolling Stones in 1964. She then joined all-female hard rock band Birtha who released two albums for Dunhill Records...

 was told that she must formally declare their seats vacant on Friday 27 May, which would mean the candidates placed second on the list being elected unless motions were tabled to reinstate the two. Motions to reinstate Dixon and Roberts were subsequently tabled, and the Assembly Commission issued a press statement explaining the legal situation as they saw it.

The Liberal Democrats withdrew the motion to reinstate John Dixon
John Dixon
John Dixon may refer to:*John Dixon , Nottinghamshire cricketer and international footballer*John Dixon , Member of Parliament for Carlisle, England, 1847–1848...

 on 5 July 2011, after the assembly standards commissioner Gerard Elias QC made clear that he had failed to take notice of the relevant rules. On 6 July, Eluned Parrott
Eluned Parrott
- Biography :Eluned Parrott became the first Welsh Liberal Democrat to be elected to the South Wales Central Assembly seat in 2011 on the failure of the number one candidate John Dixon to be reinstated following his suspension. He had been suspended on the grounds of being a member of the Care...

 was sworn in as an AM in his place, and the Assembly voted to readmit Aled Roberts, as evidence showed that he had been directed to out-of-date information in Welsh.

Defeated members

8 incumbent AMs were defeated at the polls.
  • Eleanor Burnham
    Eleanor Burnham
    Eleanor Burnham is a Welsh Liberal Democrat politician, and was a Member of the Welsh Assembly for the North Wales Regional Constituency until May 2011.-Background:...

    , Welsh Liberal Democrat
    Liberal Democrats
    The Liberal Democrats are a social liberal political party in the United Kingdom which supports constitutional and electoral reform, progressive taxation, wealth taxation, human rights laws, cultural liberalism, banking reform and civil liberties .The party was formed in 1988 by a merger of the...

    , North Wales electoral region NB: Was selected by party members as second on the regional list, so her seat was retained.
  • Nick Bourne
    Nick Bourne
    Nicholas Henry Bourne is a Welsh Conservative politician. He served as the Leader of the Welsh Conservative Party and as a member of the National Assembly for Wales for the Mid and West Wales electoral region from August 1999 until May 2011...

    , Welsh Conservative, Mid and West Wales electoral region
  • Nerys Evans
    Nerys Evans
    Nerys Evans is a Welsh politician. She was a member of the National Assembly for Wales representing Plaid Cymru in the Mid and West Wales region...

    , Plaid Cymru
    Plaid Cymru
    ' is a political party in Wales. It advocates the establishment of an independent Welsh state within the European Union. was formed in 1925 and won its first seat in 1966...

    , Mid and West Wales electoral region NB: Stood down from region to contest Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire
    Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire (Assembly constituency)
    Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election...

    , where she was placed 3rd.
  • Chris Franks
    Chris Franks
    Christopher Paul Franks is a Welsh engineer and politician. A member of Plaid Cymru, he has led the party's group on the Vale of Glamorgan council. Between 2007 and 2011 he was a member of the National Assembly for Wales losing in 2011....

    , Plaid Cymru
    Plaid Cymru
    ' is a political party in Wales. It advocates the establishment of an independent Welsh state within the European Union. was formed in 1925 and won its first seat in 1966...

    , South Wales Central electoral region
  • Veronica German
    Veronica German
    Veronica German is a Liberal Democrat politician and a former member of the National Assembly of Wales. She was a list member for South Wales East between 2010 and 2011.-Background:...

    , Welsh Liberal Democrat
    Liberal Democrats
    The Liberal Democrats are a social liberal political party in the United Kingdom which supports constitutional and electoral reform, progressive taxation, wealth taxation, human rights laws, cultural liberalism, banking reform and civil liberties .The party was formed in 1988 by a merger of the...

    , South Wales East electoral region
  • Helen Mary Jones
    Helen Mary Jones
    Helen Mary Jones is a Plaid Cymru politician, who was a member of the National Assembly for Wales from 1999 to 2011.-Background:...

    , Plaid Cymru
    Plaid Cymru
    ' is a political party in Wales. It advocates the establishment of an independent Welsh state within the European Union. was formed in 1925 and won its first seat in 1966...

    , Llanelli
    Llanelli (Assembly constituency)
    Llanelli is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election. Also, however, it is one of eight constituencies in the Mid and West Wales electoral region, which elects four additional members, in addition to eight...

  • Dai Lloyd
    David Lloyd (Welsh politician)
    Dr David Rees Lloyd is a Welsh politician. He has a wife Catherine, and they have 3 children. He was the Plaid Cymru National Assembly for Wales Member for South Wales West from 1999 to 2011....

    , Plaid Cymru
    Plaid Cymru
    ' is a political party in Wales. It advocates the establishment of an independent Welsh state within the European Union. was formed in 1925 and won its first seat in 1966...

    , South Wales West electoral region
  • Jonathan Morgan
    Jonathan Morgan (Welsh politician)
    Jonathan Morgan, is a Welsh Conservative politician, who served as a Conservative AM for South Wales Central from 1999–2007 and AM for Cardiff North from 2007-2011...

    , Welsh Conservative, Cardiff North
    Cardiff North (Assembly constituency)
    Cardiff North is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election...


Retiring members

The following incumbent AMs did not offer themselves for re-election:
  • Lorraine Barrett
    Lorraine Barrett
    Lorraine Barrett is a former Welsh Labour & Co-operative Member of the National Assembly for Wales for Cardiff South and Penarth and an Assembly Commissioner since 2007...

    , Welsh Labour, Cardiff South and Penarth
  • Mick Bates
    Mick Bates (politician)
    Mick Bates is an Independent Liberal Democrat politician. He was Member of the National Assembly for Wales for Montgomeryshire between 1999 and 2011.-Background:...

    , Independent
    Independent (politician)
    In politics, an independent or non-party politician is an individual not affiliated to any political party. Independents may hold a centrist viewpoint between those of major political parties, a viewpoint more extreme than any major party, or they may have a viewpoint based on issues that they do...

     (elected Welsh Liberal Democrat
    Liberal Democrats
    The Liberal Democrats are a social liberal political party in the United Kingdom which supports constitutional and electoral reform, progressive taxation, wealth taxation, human rights laws, cultural liberalism, banking reform and civil liberties .The party was formed in 1988 by a merger of the...

    ), Montgomeryshire
  • Alun Cairns
    Alun Cairns
    Alun Hugh Cairns is a Welsh Conservative Party politician. A member of the National Assembly for Wales for the in the South Wales West region since 1999, he was elected at the 2010 general election as the Member of Parliament for the Vale of Glamorgan.-Background:Brought up in Clydach near...

    , Welsh Conservative, South Wales West electoral region
  • Jane Davidson
    Jane Davidson
    Jane Davidson, AM was the Labour Assembly Member for Pontypridd and the Minister for Environment, Sustainability and Housing in the Welsh Assembly Government. She lives in Gwaelod-y-Garth with her husband and three children...

    , Welsh Labour, Pontypridd
  • Andrew Davies, Welsh Labour, Swansea West
    Swansea West (National Assembly for Wales constituency)
    Swansea West is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election...

  • Brian Gibbons
    Brian Gibbons
    Dr Brian Gibbons, AM, FRCGP was the Labour Party Assembly Member for Aberavon from May 1999 to May 2010, when he stood down...

    , Welsh Labour, Aberavon
    Aberavon (National Assembly for Wales constituency)
    Aberavon is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election. Also, however, it is one of seven constituencies in the South Wales West electoral region, which elects four additional members, in addition to seven...

  • Irene James
    Irene James
    Irene James AM is a Welsh Labour politician who has represented the constituency of Islwyn in the National Assembly for Wales since 2003....

    , Welsh Labour, Islwyn
    Islwyn (National Assembly for Wales constituency)
    Islwyn is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election. Also, however, it is one of eight constituencies in the South Wales East electoral region, which elects four additional members, in addition to eight...

  • Gareth Jones
    Gareth Jones (Welsh politician)
    Gareth Jones OBE is a Welsh politician. He was a member of the National Assembly for Wales for the Aberconwy constituency from 1999 to 2011, as well as being a Llandudno town councillor representing the Craig-y-Don ward....

    , Plaid Cymru
    Plaid Cymru
    ' is a political party in Wales. It advocates the establishment of an independent Welsh state within the European Union. was formed in 1925 and won its first seat in 1966...

    , Aberconwy
  • Trish Law
    Trish Law
    Patricia Law, née Bolter was the Blaenau Gwent People's Voice AM for Blaenau Gwent in Wales between 2006 and 2011.-Background:...

    , Independent
    Independent (politician)
    In politics, an independent or non-party politician is an individual not affiliated to any political party. Independents may hold a centrist viewpoint between those of major political parties, a viewpoint more extreme than any major party, or they may have a viewpoint based on issues that they do...

    , Blaenau Gwent
    Blaenau Gwent (National Assembly for Wales constituency)
    Blaenau Gwent is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election...

  • Val Lloyd
    Val Lloyd
    Valerie "Val" Lloyd AM is a Welsh Labour politician, who has represented the constituency of Swansea East at the National Assembly for Wales since 2001.-Education:...

    , Welsh Labour, Swansea East
    Swansea East (National Assembly for Wales constituency)
    Swansea East is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election...

  • Rhodri Morgan
    Rhodri Morgan
    Hywel Rhodri Morgan is a Welsh Labour politician who, as First Secretary for Wales, and subsequently First Minister, was leader of the Welsh Assembly Government from 2000 to 2009. A former leader of Welsh Labour, he was the Assembly Member for Cardiff West from 1999 to 2011...

    , Welsh Labour, Cardiff West
  • Jenny Randerson, Welsh Liberal Democrat
    Liberal Democrats
    The Liberal Democrats are a social liberal political party in the United Kingdom which supports constitutional and electoral reform, progressive taxation, wealth taxation, human rights laws, cultural liberalism, banking reform and civil liberties .The party was formed in 1988 by a merger of the...

    , Cardiff Central
  • Janet Ryder
    Janet Ryder
    Janet Ryder is a Welsh politician. She was a Plaid Cymru member of the National Assembly for Wales for North Wales from 1999 to 2011. She moved with her family to Wales in 1990 and has since learnt Welsh....

    , Plaid Cymru
    Plaid Cymru
    ' is a political party in Wales. It advocates the establishment of an independent Welsh state within the European Union. was formed in 1925 and won its first seat in 1966...

    , North Wales electoral region
    North Wales (National Assembly for Wales constituency)
    North Wales is an electoral region of the National Assembly for Wales, consisting of nine constituencies. The region elects thirteen members, nine directly elected constituency members and four additional members...

  • Karen Sinclair
    Karen Sinclair
    Karen Sinclair AM is a Welsh Labour politician, who has represented the constituency of Clwyd South since the National Assembly for Wales was established in 1999. Born and brought up in Wrexham, north Wales, Sinclair has lived in Llangollen for over twenty years.-Education and professional...

    , Welsh Labour, Clwyd South
    Clwyd South (National Assembly for Wales constituency)
    Clwyd South is a constituency of the National Assembly for Wales. It elects one Assembly Member by the first past the post method of election...

  • Brynle Williams
    Brynle Williams
    Brynle Williams was a North Wales Assembly Member for the Welsh Conservative Party in the National Assembly for Wales. Elected from the North Wales Regional list, he was Shadow Minister for Rural Affairs from 2007-2011...

    , Welsh Conservative, North Wales electoral region
    North Wales (National Assembly for Wales constituency)
    North Wales is an electoral region of the National Assembly for Wales, consisting of nine constituencies. The region elects thirteen members, nine directly elected constituency members and four additional members...

     (died 1 April 2011).

See also

  • Scottish Parliament general election, 2011
  • Northern Ireland Assembly election, 2011
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