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Arthur F. Burns

 

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Arthur F. Burns



 
 
Arthur Frank Burns (April 27, 1904 in Stanyslaviv
Ivano-Frankivsk

Ivano-Frankivsk , is a historic city located in western Ukraine.It is the Capital of the Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast , and is designated as its own separate raion within the oblast....
, Galicia
Galicia (Central Europe)

Galicia is a historical region in East Central Europe, currently divided between Poland and Ukraine, named after Ukra?ni?n city of Halych.The nucleus of historic Galicia is formed of three regions of western Ukraine: Lvivska oblast, Ternopilska oblast and Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast....
 (now Ivano-Frankivsk, Ukraine
Ukraine

Ukraine is a country in Eastern Europe. It is bordered by Russia to the east; Belarus to the north; Poland, Slovakia, and Hungary to the west; Romania and Moldova to the southwest; and the Black Sea and Sea of Azov to the south....
) – June 6, 1987 in Baltimore) was an American
United States

The United States of America is a Federal government constitutional republic comprising U.S. state and a federal district. The country is situated mostly in central North America, where its Contiguous United States and Washington, D.C., the Capital districts and territories, lie between the Pacific Ocean and Atlantic Oceans, Borders of the U...
 economist
Economist

An economist is an expert in the social science of economics. The individual may also study, develop, and apply theories and concepts from economics and write about economic policy....
. He served as Chairman of the Federal Reserve
Chairman of the Federal Reserve

The Chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System is the head of the Central bank of the United States. Known colloquially as "Chairman of the Fed," or in market circles "Fed Chair" or "Fed Chief"....
 from 1970 to 1978.

in Stanislawow, Galicia, province of Austrian-Hungarian Empire Arthur Burns soon immigrated with his Austro-Hungarian Jewish parents to New Jersey. He earned his B.A. and Ph.D (1934) from Columbia University
Columbia University

Columbia University in the City of New York , is a private university in the United States and a member of the Ivy League. Columbia's main campus lies in the Morningside Heights, Manhattan neighborhood in the borough of Manhattan, in New York City....
, studying under Wesley Clair Mitchell
Wesley Clair Mitchell

Wesley Clair Mitchell was an United States economist known for his empirical work on business cycle and for guiding the National Bureau of Economic Research in its first decades....
. His career alternated between academia and government.






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Arthur Frank Burns (April 27, 1904 in Stanyslaviv
Ivano-Frankivsk

Ivano-Frankivsk , is a historic city located in western Ukraine.It is the Capital of the Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast , and is designated as its own separate raion within the oblast....
, Galicia
Galicia (Central Europe)

Galicia is a historical region in East Central Europe, currently divided between Poland and Ukraine, named after Ukra?ni?n city of Halych.The nucleus of historic Galicia is formed of three regions of western Ukraine: Lvivska oblast, Ternopilska oblast and Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast....
 (now Ivano-Frankivsk, Ukraine
Ukraine

Ukraine is a country in Eastern Europe. It is bordered by Russia to the east; Belarus to the north; Poland, Slovakia, and Hungary to the west; Romania and Moldova to the southwest; and the Black Sea and Sea of Azov to the south....
) – June 6, 1987 in Baltimore) was an American
United States

The United States of America is a Federal government constitutional republic comprising U.S. state and a federal district. The country is situated mostly in central North America, where its Contiguous United States and Washington, D.C., the Capital districts and territories, lie between the Pacific Ocean and Atlantic Oceans, Borders of the U...
 economist
Economist

An economist is an expert in the social science of economics. The individual may also study, develop, and apply theories and concepts from economics and write about economic policy....
. He served as Chairman of the Federal Reserve
Chairman of the Federal Reserve

The Chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System is the head of the Central bank of the United States. Known colloquially as "Chairman of the Fed," or in market circles "Fed Chair" or "Fed Chief"....
 from 1970 to 1978.

Career

Born in Stanislawow, Galicia, province of Austrian-Hungarian Empire Arthur Burns soon immigrated with his Austro-Hungarian Jewish parents to New Jersey. He earned his B.A. and Ph.D (1934) from Columbia University
Columbia University

Columbia University in the City of New York , is a private university in the United States and a member of the Ivy League. Columbia's main campus lies in the Morningside Heights, Manhattan neighborhood in the borough of Manhattan, in New York City....
, studying under Wesley Clair Mitchell
Wesley Clair Mitchell

Wesley Clair Mitchell was an United States economist known for his empirical work on business cycle and for guiding the National Bureau of Economic Research in its first decades....
. His career alternated between academia and government. He taught at Columbia and studied business cycle
Business cycle

The term business cycle or economic cycle refers to economy-wide fluctuations in production or economic activity over several months or years, around a long-term growth trend....
s while president of the National Bureau of Economic Research
National Bureau of Economic Research

The National Bureau of Economic Research is a private, nonprofit research organization dedicated to studying the science and empirics of economics, especially the Economy of the United States....
. He also was the chairman of the U.S. Council of Economic Advisors from 1953 to 1956 under Dwight D. Eisenhower
Dwight D. Eisenhower

Dwight David ?Ike? Eisenhower was the List of Presidents of the United States President of the United States from 1953 until 1961 and a General of the Army in the United States Army....
's presidency. In 1953, he stated the American economy's "ultimate purpose is to produce more consumer goods." He served as the Chairman of the Federal Reserve
Chairman of the Federal Reserve

The Chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System is the head of the Central bank of the United States. Known colloquially as "Chairman of the Fed," or in market circles "Fed Chair" or "Fed Chief"....
 from 1970–1978 and as ambassador to West Germany
West Germany

West Germany was the common English name for the Germany , from its formation in May 1949 to German reunification in October 1990, when East Germany was dissolved and its States of Germany became part of the Federal Republic, ending the more than 40-year division of Germany....
 from 1981–1985.

Academia

The academic part of Burns's career focused on the measurement of business cycles, including questions such as the duration of economic expansion
Economic expansion

An economic expansion is an increase in the level of economic activity, and of the goods and services available in the market. Its is a period of economic growth as measured by a rise in real GDP.Typically it relates to an upturn in production and utilization of resources....
s, and what economic variables rise during expansions and fall during recessions. He often collaborated with Wesley Clair Mitchell
Wesley Clair Mitchell

Wesley Clair Mitchell was an United States economist known for his empirical work on business cycle and for guiding the National Bureau of Economic Research in its first decades....
 and set the academic tradition continued by the NBER's business cycle dating committee, which is generally considered authoritative in dating recessions. Burns's detailed macroeconomic analysis influenced Milton Friedman
Milton Friedman

Milton Friedman was an United States economist, statistician and public intellectual, and a recipient of the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences....
 and Anna Schwartz
Anna Schwartz

Anna Jacobson Schwartz is an economist at the National Bureau of Economic Research in New York City. She is a past president of the Western Economic Association ....
's classic work A Monetary History of the United States, 1867–1960.

Federal Reserve Chairman

Burns served as Fed Chairman from February 1970 until the end of January 1978. He has a reputation of having been overly influenced by political pressure in his monetary policy decisions during his time as Chairman and for supporting the policy, widely accepted in political and economic circles at the time, that Fed action should try to maintain an unemployment rate of around 4 percent. (See also: Phillips curve
Phillips curve

The Phillips curve is a historical inverse relation between the rate of unemployment and the rate of inflation in an economy. Stated simply, the lower the unemployment in an economy, the higher the rate of increase in nominal wages in the economy....
)

When Vice President
Vice President of the United States

The Vice President of the United States is the holder of a public office in the United States of America created by the Constitution of the United States....
 Richard Nixon
Richard Nixon

Richard Milhous Nixon was the List of Presidents of the United States President of the United States and the only president to resign the office....
 was running for President
President of the United States

The President of the United States is the head of state and head of government of the United States and is the highest political official in the United States by influence and recognition....
 in 1959–1960, the Fed was undertaking a monetary tightening policy that resulted in a recession in April 1960. In his book Six Crises, Nixon later blamed his defeat in 1960
United States presidential election, 1960

The United States presidential election of 1960 marked the end of Dwight D. Eisenhower's two terms as President. Eisenhower's Vice President of the United States, Richard Nixon, who had transformed his office into a national political base, was the Republican candidate....
 in part on Fed policy and the resulting tight credit conditions and slow growth. After finally winning the presidential election of 1968
United States presidential election, 1968

The United States presidential election of 1968 was a wrenching national experience, conducted against a backdrop that included the assassination of civil rights leader Martin Luther King, Jr....
, Nixon named Burns to the Fed Chairmanship in 1970 with instructions to ensure easy access to credit when Nixon was running for reelection in 1972.

Later, when Burns resisted, negative press about him was planted in newspapers and, under the threat of legislation to dilute the Fed's influence, Burns and other Governors succumbed. Inflation
Inflation

In economics, inflation is a rise in the general price level of goods and services in an economy over a period of time. The term "inflation" once referred to increases in the money supply ; however, economic debates about the relationship between money supply and price levels have led to its primary use today in describing price inflatio...
 resulted, which Nixon attempted to manage through wage and price controls
Incomes policy

Incomes policies in economics are wage and price controls, most commonly instituted as a response to inflation, and usually below free market level....
 while the Fed under Burns maintained an expansive monetary policy
Monetary policy

Monetary policy is the process by which the government, central bank, or monetary authority of a country controls the supply of money, availability of money, and cost of money or rate of interest, in order to attain a set of objectives oriented towards the growth and stability of the economy....
. After the 1972 election, price controls began to fail and by 1974, the inflation rate was 12.3 percent. Burns also had to cope with the 1973 oil crisis
1973 oil crisis

The 1973 oil crisis started on October 15, 1973, when the members of Organization of Arab Petroleum Exporting Countries or the OAPEC proclaimed an oil embargo "in response to the U.S....
.

Another factor contributing to inflation under the Burns Fed was the belief among Burns and other Fed Governors that "the country" was not willing to accept rates of unemployment
Unemployment

File:World map of countries by rate of unemployment.pngUnemployment occurs when a person is available to work and currently seeking work, but the person is without Wage labour....
 in the range of six percent as a means of quelling inflation. From the Board of Governors meeting minutes of November 1970, Burns believed that:

...prospects were dim for any easing of the cost-push inflation generated by union demands. However, the Federal Reserve could not do anything about those influences except to impose monetary restraint, and he did not believe the country was willing to accept for any long period an unemployment rate in the area of 6 percent. Therefore, he believed that the Federal Reserve should not take on the responsibility for attempting to accomplish by itself, under its existing powers, a reduction in the rate of inflation to, say, 2 percent... he did not believe that the Federal Reserve should be expected to cope with inflation single-handedly. The only effective answer, in his opinion, lay in some form of incomes policy
Incomes policy

Incomes policies in economics are wage and price controls, most commonly instituted as a response to inflation, and usually below free market level....
.


During Burns' tenure, the consumer price index
Consumer price index

A consumer price index is a measure of the average price of consumer goods and services purchased by households. It is a price index determined by measuring the price of a standard group of goods meant to represent the typical market basket of a typical urban consumer....
 rose from 6%/year in early 1970 to over 12%/year in late 1974 after the Arab Oil embargo, and eventually falling to under 7%/year from 1976 to the end of his tenure in January, 1978, with an annual average rate of consumer price inflation of approximately 9% during his term. Negative economic events included multiple oil shocks and heavy government deficit
Deficit

A budget deficit occurs when an entity spends more money than it takes in. The opposite of a budget deficit is a budget surplus. Debt is essentially an accumulated flow of deficits....
s arising in part from the Vietnam War
Vietnam War

The Vietnam War, also known as the Second Indochina Wars, the Vietnam Conflict, or often in Vietnam the American War occurred in Vietnam, Laos and Cambodia from 1959 to April 30, 1975....
 and Great Society
Great Society

The Great Society was a set of domestic programs proposed or enacted in the United States on the initiative of President of the United States Lyndon B....
 government programs. The high interest rates set by Paul Volcker
Paul Volcker

Paul Adolph Volcker is an American economist. He was the Chairman of the Federal Reserve under President of the United Statess Jimmy Carter and Ronald Reagan ....
  were able to mitigate certain policy outcomes derived from the earlier actions of Burns and the FOMC under his leadership.

Sources

  • Engelbourg, Saul. "The Council of Economic Advisers and the Recession of 1953–1954." Business History Review 1980 54(2): 192-214. ISSN 0007-6805 Fulltext in Jstor. Abstract: The 1953-54 recession was the first in which a Council of Economic Advisers (CEA) appointed by a Republican President, Dwight D. Eisenhower, recommended policy actions. Despite traditional Republican Party rhetoric, the CEA supported an activist contracyclical approach that helped to establish Keynesianism as a bipartisan economic policy for the nation. Especially important in formulating the CEA response to the recession - accelerating public works programs, easing credit, and reducing taxes - were Arthur F. Burns and Neil H. Jacoby.
  • Leeson, Robert. "The Political Economy of the Inflation-unemployment Trade-off." History of Political Economy 1997 29(1): 117-156. ISSN 0018-2702 Fulltext in Swetswise and Ebsco. Abstract: Reviews the debate over the inflation-unemployment trade-off, which was a critical part of the 1960 presidential election campaign. At the 1959 American Economic Association Conference (AEAC), Paul Samuelson and Robert Solow, economists from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, argued that the application of American wage and price statistical data to the Phillips curve indicated high levels of employment could be achieved with moderate levels of inflation. While this proposition supported John F. Kennedy's goal of minimizing unemployment, Richard Nixon advocated zero inflation and was supported in this policy by Arthur Burns, who delivered the 1959 AEAC presidential address. Burns was an opponent of Keynesian economics
    Keynesian economics

    Keynesian economics The theories forming the basis of Keynesian economics were first presented in The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money, published in 1936....
     and personified the anti-Keynesian sentiment that prevailed in the United States in the 1950s. Keynesianism and communism were seen by many at the time to be one and the same.
  • Robert Sobel
    Robert Sobel

    Robert Sobel was an United States professor of history at Hofstra University, and a well-known and prolific writer of business histories. He was also a chess Master, who represented the United States at the 1957 and 1958 Student chess Olympiads; he defeated thirteen-year-old future World Champion Bobby Fischer at Montreal 1956....
     The Worldly Economists(1980).
  • Throckmorton, H. Bruce. "The Moral Suasion of Arthur F. Burns: 1970–1977." Essays in Economic and Business History 1991 9: 111-121. ISSN 0896-226X. Abstract: Reviews key words in Arthur F. Burns's testimony on various occasions before the Joint Economic Committee of Congress while he served as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
    Federal Reserve System

    The Federal Reserve System is the central banking system of the United States. Created in 1913 by the enactment of the Federal Reserve Act, it is a quasi-public banking system that comprises the presidentially appointed Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System in Washington, D.C.; the Federal Open Market Committee; twelve regiona...
    , 1970-78. Correlates the key words with rates of inflation and interest rates to determine if there is a relationship between key words of testimony and selected economic variables.
  • Wells, Wyatt C. Economist in an Uncertain World: Arthur F. Burns and the Federal Reserve, 1970-78. Columbia U. Press, 1994. 334 pp.

Primary sources

  • Burns, Arthur F. Reflections of an Economic Policy Maker: Speeches and Congressional Statements: 1969–1978 (AEI Studies no. 217; Washington: American Enterprise Inst., 1978); reviewed by Paul W. McCracken, "Reflections of an Economic Policy Maker: a Review Article" in Journal of Economic Literature 1980 18(2): 579-585. ISSN 0022-0515 Fulltext online at Jstor and Ebsco.
  • Burns, Arthur F. "Progress Towards Economic Stability." American Economic Review 1960 50(1): 1-19. ISSN 0002-8282 Fulltext in Jstor and Ebsco. Abstract: Views economic growth, 1929-59; discusses corporate growth, government subsidies, increased consumer expenditures, rise in personal income, industrialization, and overall improvement in economic organization.


External links